Fat-Temporariness — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

27 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$7.15K lifetime

Avg / trade

$265

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 09-13 07:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

99% 64% -$359

Politics

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.2K	1,807	1,807	+0	No	+$6	05-11 10:58
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	633	633	+0	No	-$1	05-08 02:24
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	3	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$1	05-07 05:49
farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	2	$889	472	472	+0	No	+$1	07-23 07:32
Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	1	$612	644	0	+644	Racing Club de Lens	+$32	05-08 02:27
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$584	615	0	+615	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$31	05-07 05:52
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$526	541	0	+541	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$15	05-11 11:02
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	1	$414	455	0	+455	Yes	-$414	06-02 08:20
den fcf vbk 2026 04 13 spread away 2pt5	1	$402	423	0	+423	FC Fredericia	+$21	04-13 06:56
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	2	$49	1,265	0	+1,265	Cagliari Calcio	-$49	05-09 06:55
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	2	$48	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	06-12 04:04
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	3	$32	424	424	+0	No	-$1	07-09 10:47
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-13 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 07:22:10	0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$4	0x1d07d4…
07-23 07:32:07	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	SELL	472	94¢	$445	0x1f6615…
07-23 07:00:16	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	No	BUY	472	94¢	$444	0x54d094…
07-09 10:47:04	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	424	4¢	$16	0x4cbb39…
07-09 08:36:56	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	214	4¢	$8	0xda3649…
07-09 08:36:52	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	210	4¢	$8	0x30bb28…
06-12 04:04:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x5e1009…
06-12 03:10:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x86ec81…
06-02 08:20:54	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	No	BUY	455	91¢	$414	0x09441d…
05-11 11:02:15	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	541	97¢	$526	0x6f99dd…
05-11 10:58:16	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	560	94¢	$525	0x5c5247…
05-11 09:07:22	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	560	94¢	$526	0xe3a324…
05-09 06:55:07	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	Udinese Calcio	BUY	633	4¢	$25	0x88ebf7…
05-09 06:54:48	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	Udinese Calcio	BUY	632	4¢	$25	0x90c11b…
05-09 06:48:23	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	647	7¢	$43	0x4132b9…
05-09 06:43:33	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	7¢	$40	0xf6b260…
05-09 05:41:48	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	607	6¢	$37	0xaa206b…
05-09 05:37:27	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	640	6¢	$38	0xc9f339…
05-08 02:27:31	Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5)	Racing Club de Lens	BUY	644	95¢	$612	0x4e0389…
05-08 02:24:41	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0x22a0ad…
05-08 02:24:17	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	581	95¢	$554	0x521a1e…
05-08 01:40:40	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	633	96¢	$605	0xc3b8d1…
05-07 05:52:01	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	615	95¢	$584	0xc4d365…
05-07 05:49:08	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc964e5…
05-07 05:48:52	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	597	97¢	$581	0x85bfd2…
05-07 04:18:23	US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	98¢	$585	0x4fa889…
04-13 06:56:45	den fcf vbk 2026 04 13 spread away 2pt5	FC Fredericia	BUY	423	95¢	$402	0x06c3fa…