Strict-Tonic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-25 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-1

Sports

31% 0% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	12	$1.4K	728	728	+0	open	—	04-13 16:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$854	444	444	+0	open	—	03-30 20:19
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	5	$809	425	425	-0	open	—	03-20 09:50
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$648	341	341	+0	No	$-1	04-12 03:25
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$505	262	262	+0	open	—	03-31 22:58
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$492	262	262	+0	open	—	04-10 13:46
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$480	246	246	+0	open	—	03-31 05:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	4	$466	248	248	+1	open	—	04-24 17:21
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$442	232	232	+0	open	—	03-11 20:59
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$440	228	228	+0	open	—	03-12 20:17
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$419	219	219	+0	open	—	03-13 08:55
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$417	219	219	+0	open	—	03-16 17:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$416	215	215	+0	open	—	03-16 13:21
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$405	217	217	+0	open	—	03-19 10:40
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$404	207	207	+0	open	—	03-18 08:39
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$404	209	209	+0	open	—	03-18 02:59
will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$403	206	206	+0	open	—	03-15 10:32
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$397	207	207	-0	open	—	03-20 17:02
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$392	207	207	+0	open	—	03-24 16:55
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$385	197	197	+0	open	—	03-20 23:50
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$384	202	202	+0	Yes	$-1	03-25 23:45
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$382	201	201	+0	open	—	03-23 02:38
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$375	198	198	+0	open	—	03-28 13:14
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$372	201	201	-0	open	—	03-29 13:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$366	187	187	+0	open	—	03-29 03:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$338	173	173	+0	open	—	04-25 01:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$330	175	174	+0	open	—	04-27 11:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$300	166	166	+0	open	—	06-20 04:37
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$217	114	114	+0	open	—	04-10 03:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$216	116	116	+0	open	—	06-09 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 22:00:21	mlb laa sf 2026 07 25 extra innings	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x5dee03…
07-25 17:59:48	mlb laa sf 2026 07 25 extra innings	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x255449…
07-24 21:42:55	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xcce953…
07-24 13:42:10	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3adb81…
06-22 01:32:05	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	56	98¢	$54	0x450288…
06-21 01:32:28	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0xcdaa9c…
06-20 17:28:35	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$55	0x80f753…
06-20 04:37:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0xc38215…
06-19 21:29:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	59	91¢	$53	0x52930e…
06-19 20:50:07	Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xa35bfe…
06-19 13:48:25	Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x55f4d7…
06-19 13:17:01	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x64fa1e…
06-19 06:10:58	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x9414cc…
06-19 05:37:53	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x788814…
06-19 00:34:25	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0x86bb45…
06-18 23:57:50	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	66	93¢	$61	0xda4d93…
06-18 16:56:20	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0xd6d334…
06-15 01:41:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0xbcf702…
06-14 17:35:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x4c5df4…
06-14 03:49:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x2847e3…
06-13 22:42:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$52	0xcb35e9…
06-13 22:05:30	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x1199f7…
06-13 16:00:36	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x91e464…
06-13 06:42:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0xe0a060…
06-13 00:31:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x2e659c…
06-12 11:33:30	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x839975…
06-12 03:32:01	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0xe2067e…
06-11 11:39:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xe96281…
06-11 03:36:00	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x734fbd…
06-09 08:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x6359e9…
06-07 07:31:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0xe37099…
06-07 00:18:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0xe8f31f…
06-06 20:13:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xb760dd…
06-06 19:38:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0x848674…
06-06 14:33:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xb817cd…
06-06 13:45:33	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$55	0x464f38…
06-06 05:36:37	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x4556c2…
06-05 16:12:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x744bdc…
06-05 10:09:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x896c7e…
06-04 13:01:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xd26a75…
06-04 04:59:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	56	96¢	$53	0x73336e…
06-03 19:51:18	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x7df5b0…
06-03 13:46:25	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x35fce1…
05-20 05:47:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0x0b2ed9…
05-19 23:45:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x0d747e…
05-19 14:02:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xac7f30…
05-19 09:55:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x6a6710…
04-27 11:53:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	174	95¢	$165	0x326632…
04-27 04:38:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	175	94¢	$165	0x955ec4…
04-25 01:13:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	173	97¢	$168	0xd62140…
04-24 17:59:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x969024…
04-24 17:21:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	181	95¢	$172	0x4a7538…
04-24 10:13:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	182	95¢	$173	0x3f2e24…
04-22 07:11:18	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xc58484…
04-21 23:16:44	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0x32feaf…
04-15 16:54:00	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x4b0d3e…
04-15 09:00:22	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0cbcb8…
04-15 08:58:46	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x84f404…
04-15 08:58:24	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x6c803b…
04-15 08:55:30	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xf328b4…
04-15 00:50:44	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x784cf2…
04-14 08:25:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xcff986…
04-14 01:33:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	66	89¢	$59	0x45416b…
04-13 18:29:57	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$63	0xae054f…
04-13 16:57:15	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0x3ba5a0…
04-13 09:48:31	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x35bdf7…
04-12 03:25:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	58	92¢	$53	0x493404…
04-11 23:09:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0x54b8c6…
04-11 22:52:31	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x71d838…
04-11 18:46:27	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xe9df35…
04-11 08:54:41	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x79f16f…
04-11 01:37:03	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x5ad271…
04-10 13:46:39	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xaf7f6d…
04-10 07:17:33	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0xae4046…
04-10 03:32:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0xb7d57a…
04-09 23:08:13	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$52	0x1674f4…
04-09 00:49:29	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xc94457…
04-08 19:35:21	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xd8814c…
04-08 18:32:39	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xc7b401…
04-08 14:15:47	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x21527d…
04-08 12:24:31	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x13eb4d…
04-08 07:46:07	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x8ddd7b…
04-07 19:05:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xb2706e…
04-07 11:52:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x6e049c…
03-31 22:58:15	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$61	0x960e9e…
03-31 17:17:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xfbc4f4…
03-31 05:07:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xf34842…
03-30 22:07:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xc91ff2…
03-30 20:19:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xc10322…
03-30 14:41:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x4f0cbb…
03-30 07:01:14	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	190	97¢	$185	0x0cc905…
03-30 02:38:20	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	190	97¢	$185	0x06911a…
03-29 13:31:46	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	201	91¢	$183	0x36a107…
03-29 05:00:28	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcd096b…
03-29 05:00:16	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xccd6b2…
03-29 04:58:46	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	191	94¢	$178	0x5909aa…
03-29 03:56:24	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	187	98¢	$183	0x81fed5…
03-28 22:32:36	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	187	98¢	$183	0xae4a07…
03-28 13:14:35	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	198	95¢	$188	0xcf64eb…
03-28 08:14:07	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	198	95¢	$188	0xac130f…