Silly-Presence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

109

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

95% 61% -$7

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-19 20:38
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 21:06
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	05-08 10:59
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-25 12:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-28 22:10
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-29 02:30
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 03:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:49
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-30 01:54
Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-16 21:09
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 15c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 12:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 29?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-28 17:15
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 30c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-02 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 00:29
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 16:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 03:47
highest temperature in singapore on april 24 2026 35corhigher	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on May 6?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-15 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 17?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-17 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?	3	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-10 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 29?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	7	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 19:24
highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 25c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 09:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf3cb4c…
06-29 08:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8d3996…
06-29 08:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa97bfc…
06-29 03:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfdeb4c…
06-29 02:30:22	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdc0246…
06-28 13:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x126d6d…
06-28 12:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0547c5…
06-27 21:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x434c5a…
06-27 20:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xd97e7b…
06-26 22:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x798b03…
06-26 21:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x7f9f9b…
06-25 21:41:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8510ca…
06-25 21:41:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 26?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfc7f57…
06-25 12:41:59	Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb3b9ec…
06-25 07:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9b157c…
06-25 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5c404c…
06-24 18:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x54d95f…
06-24 04:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x95e81a…
06-24 04:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x126627…
06-24 03:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 24?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x265c72…
06-23 02:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xeb532c…
06-23 02:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 23?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6925bc…
06-22 03:18:07	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf736d7…
06-21 19:54:35	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x84c55a…
06-20 15:32:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2c415c…
06-20 15:31:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9f19b…
06-20 15:18:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2db5b4…
06-20 13:36:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4ee6e…
06-19 20:38:40	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb5a21e…
06-19 14:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xb51685…
06-19 14:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x2a77ab…
06-19 08:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf12454…
06-16 21:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x1f05ca…
06-16 18:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x09995c…
06-15 20:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x91b4fd…
06-15 18:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x26bc90…
06-15 01:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x167421…
06-14 23:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x32eaae…
06-14 00:44:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x7807b1…
06-13 01:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x38c862…
06-13 01:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 13?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x616335…
06-12 06:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfd19ee…
06-12 06:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x034930…
06-12 02:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3cf28f…
06-11 16:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8f851a…
06-11 12:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1bcb12…
06-10 15:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xec6090…
06-10 13:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x8b629f…
06-10 12:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4fdfe8…
06-09 04:50:21	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xdf6f2a…
06-08 21:06:21	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xaea6cb…
06-08 12:09:30	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 9?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x581adb…
06-07 18:16:03	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x555ddf…
06-07 06:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x0e198b…
06-07 05:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xdf10d4…
06-06 13:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf5754b…
06-06 12:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x17c08f…
06-06 12:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 7?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x8da15f…
06-05 16:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe9cca4…
06-05 14:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 6?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf0567d…
06-04 17:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6a1429…
06-04 17:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c79ef…
06-04 17:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x87907c…
06-04 17:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x78de53…
06-04 17:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb7793c…
06-03 23:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9bb1a1…
06-03 12:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 4?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc000c4…
06-02 18:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xac20c1…
06-02 12:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 3?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x1cd729…
06-02 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd62829…
06-02 08:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xe2a21d…
06-02 08:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8adebc…
06-02 07:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x70c58e…
06-02 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x239fba…
06-01 23:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x28aaad…
06-01 14:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xfd5321…
06-01 13:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2aa412…
06-01 06:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xfb0880…
06-01 06:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb33d3c…
05-31 14:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xccce75…
05-31 12:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xaebad8…
05-31 03:39:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbd7afe…
05-31 03:39:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3d5201…
05-30 14:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xf1657d…
05-30 12:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2de70c…
05-30 01:54:15	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc6d61b…
05-29 21:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xaf8645…
05-29 20:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xeeefa5…
05-29 19:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb34330…
05-29 19:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x35770d…
05-29 19:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x68b5b3…
05-29 19:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0c350a…
05-29 18:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0d1c49…
05-29 18:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf3f844…
05-29 07:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3727c6…
05-28 22:10:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7dc4af…
05-28 17:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcc1a57…
05-28 16:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3cbccf…
05-28 13:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa13bb3…
05-28 12:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9b8be6…