Realized P&L (90d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved (90d)
1,171
Trades (90d)
2,842
3,294 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.37K
$6.98K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$86
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-08 16:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
98% 30% -$24
Crypto
1% 31% -$31
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -612 -$13 3¢ $-17 -$4 06-11 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 8? Yes +8 $4 100¢ $8 +$4 11-07 23:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 8? Yes +7 $2 100¢ $7 +$5 11-08 09:17
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -357 -$11 1¢ $-5 +$6 06-11 00:31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 8? Yes +7 $4 73¢ $5 +$1 11-07 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on November 9? Yes +8 $4 62¢ $5 +$1 11-07 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 9? Yes +11 $5 45¢ $5 $0 11-07 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 8? Yes +6 $4 65¢ $4 +$0 11-08 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on November 8? Yes +5 $3 61¢ $3 +$1 11-07 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 8? Yes +3 $1 100¢ $3 +$2 11-06 12:36
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -556 -$6 0¢ $-2 +$4 06-11 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on November 9? Yes +6 $3 39¢ $2 $0 11-08 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 10? Yes +4 $2 60¢ $2 +$0 11-08 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 10? Yes — +4 $2 52¢ $2 +$0 11-08 15:04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on November 9? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 11-08 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on November 8? Yes +6 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 11-08 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 9? Yes +4 $2 38¢ $2 $0 11-07 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on November 9? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $0 11-08 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on November 8? Yes +5 $2 31¢ $2 -$1 11-07 05:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 8? Yes +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 11-06 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on November 8? Yes +6 $3 20¢ $1 -$1 11-07 08:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 8? Yes +3 $1 44¢ $1 $0 11-06 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 9? Yes +3 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 11-08 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 9? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 11-07 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 8? Yes +6 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-08 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on November 8? Yes +5 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-07 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 8? Yes +6 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 11-07 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 8? Yes +2 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on November 8? Yes +3 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 22:36