Second-Hand-Track — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$57

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

120

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$112

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-06 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

42% 90% +$53

Other

38% 99% +$3

Crypto

19% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes		+114	$109	98¢	$112	+$3	11-06 02:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$301	158	158	+0	No	+$3	10-28 11:36
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$216	110	110	+0	Yes	+$1	10-29 15:16
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$211	111	111	+0	open	—	11-03 17:38
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	2	$111	57	57	+0	Yes	+$1	10-13 03:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$110	55	55	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:47
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$110	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 01:11
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	3	$109	114	0	+114	open	—	11-06 02:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$109	112	0	+112	Yes	+$2	11-04 05:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$104	52	52	+0	No	+$0	08-14 12:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	09-01 03:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	2	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$0	09-29 14:57
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	10-05 00:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$58	59	0	+59	No	+$1	09-30 17:33
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	09-16 00:24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	2	$57	57	0	+57	Yes	+$0	09-15 18:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	09-14 16:52
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$55	56	0	+56	Yes	+$1	09-10 10:14
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	09-01 05:55
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$54	55	0	+55	Yes	+$1	08-04 21:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$0	08-15 20:04
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$45	45	0	+45	Yes	+$0	09-23 08:39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	08-27 15:20
will spy reach 800 in june 2026	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	06-30 00:47
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	06-26 15:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-28 08:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	05-30 15:34
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$16	67	8	+59	No	+$45	10-17 20:30
amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-31 02:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-30 14:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-29 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:15:28	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x725d04…
11-06 02:15:27	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xfc0975…
11-06 02:15:27	Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	65	96¢	$63	0xe51557…
11-04 05:34:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$109	0x945232…
11-03 17:38:24	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	111	96¢	$106	0xabe71b…
11-01 16:19:54	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	111	95¢	$105	0xa43e5f…
10-29 15:16:07	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xd08347…
10-29 09:16:31	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xa3c852…
10-28 11:36:17	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	109	96¢	$105	0xe4ca8d…
10-28 09:08:29	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	109	96¢	$104	0xbe6adb…
10-28 03:10:33	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0xb75bb3…
10-28 03:09:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x26dd31…
10-24 00:15:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x001ef3…
10-22 06:30:05	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0xfa8ed2…
10-17 20:30:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	59	23¢	$14	0xd72e9b…
10-14 23:34:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xe14777…
10-13 03:39:50	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x343903…
10-12 22:03:36	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x56b4b0…
10-08 15:04:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xa11db3…
10-05 00:59:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x544f47…
09-30 17:33:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd068c3…
09-30 14:06:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd411c7…
09-30 10:16:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc723f4…
09-29 22:23:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7f3b77…
09-29 14:57:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x529c4b…
09-28 02:16:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x98fc67…
09-23 08:39:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x8ef704…
09-23 08:20:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcdd702…
09-22 22:23:58	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc3b933…
09-16 00:24:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xdda93b…
09-15 18:10:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x36eb1a…
09-15 18:09:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa6c438…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xb5a3b4…
09-10 10:14:06	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x6ec293…
09-10 01:11:48	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xa999d2…
09-10 00:41:25	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xb8fa9b…
09-07 12:47:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x63aca7…
09-04 14:13:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x9cf4ff…
09-01 13:06:00	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xd19afd…
09-01 05:55:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x3af136…
09-01 03:51:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x8dddf2…
08-30 05:41:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x8991c4…
08-28 08:57:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8cbd48…
08-27 15:20:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x50d681…
08-26 18:00:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x557274…
08-26 17:56:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd81735…
08-23 00:16:07	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0xd3defb…
08-22 10:12:49	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bff9b…
08-20 15:03:33	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3c2030…
08-17 09:09:09	Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2d7a35…
08-15 20:04:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x6bf846…
08-14 17:55:10	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8e8eb7…
08-14 12:21:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x138786…
08-11 06:52:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x79ad25…
08-10 22:03:45	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51813f…
08-09 04:03:33	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8b4562…
08-04 21:50:02	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x3ef831…
07-31 07:51:44	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x02b8b7…
07-30 22:55:41	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34f449…
07-30 20:10:00	will nvda reach 224 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4849d9…
07-30 10:34:57	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x112e04…
07-30 05:53:36	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a10c0…
07-28 06:35:46	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc9d35…
07-27 06:52:43	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaeaf81…
07-26 18:14:33	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae223c…
07-26 14:10:30	will ethereum dip to 1300 in july 2026 715	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x689a8b…
07-25 19:35:37	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xfc4597…
07-25 19:18:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdda75…
07-25 10:23:40	will wti dip to 70 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc98264…
07-25 00:27:27	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc518fe…
07-24 02:38:42	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaacc9e…
07-23 12:57:57	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7c3e3…
07-23 02:48:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95ac36…
07-22 12:43:10	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf168fc…
07-22 10:43:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a4039…
07-22 05:43:28	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x30a62b…
07-21 08:45:57	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x457966…
07-20 21:38:27	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x576366…
07-13 16:36:59	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x545736…
07-11 19:50:47	will xauusd dip to 3500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x773f04…
07-03 20:34:58	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c8bba…
06-30 00:47:01	will spy reach 800 in june 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2fdc50…
06-28 04:16:44	will ng reach 4 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x51b543…
06-27 07:32:38	will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x79b06c…
06-26 21:40:49	Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xab883a…
06-26 15:10:37	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x1663c6…
05-30 15:34:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb3736a…
05-11 19:16:17	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75bce0…
05-09 12:49:11	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5019b6…
05-09 10:16:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa80c1a…
05-08 22:02:46	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6236b5…
05-08 07:00:48	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x983c34…
05-07 13:25:05	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf65a6b…
05-07 12:59:43	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x648440…
05-07 12:09:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x068063…
05-05 18:30:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3e3ac8…
05-05 16:51:48	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x809914…
05-05 16:30:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21fb99…
04-28 09:54:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0410f0…
04-23 01:53:06	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4257fb…