Realized P&L
+$100
Unrealized P&L
+$391
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
812
lifetime
Volume
$55.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$1.89K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-01 06:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
82% 100% +$100
Other
13%
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,947 $602 70¢ $1.4K +$771 07-01 06:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -405 $-142 54¢ $-217 $-75 06-18 16:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -263 $-111 42¢ $-109 +$1 06-14 00:30
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -268 $-70 31¢ $-83 $-13 06-14 01:17
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -765 $-88 10¢ $-73 +$16 06-14 00:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +350 $120 10¢ $33 $-87 06-10 21:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +3,200 $128 $3 $-124 06-03 10:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +333 $100 $2 $-98 06-15 09:15