Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
35.7%
Resolved
9
Trades
484
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$473
6 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-30 22:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
58% 50% $-0
Other
38% 0% $-2
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Sports
0% 50% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +284 $250 88¢ $249 $-1 06-28 08:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +140 $123 86¢ $121 $-2 06-16 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +75 $52 74¢ $55 +$3 06-19 13:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +50 $17 96¢ $48 +$31 06-27 23:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -47 $4 $-0 $-4 06-28 00:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +45 $5 $0 $-5 06-09 01:59