Realized P&L
-$340
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
178
Trades
481
lifetime
Volume
$4.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$294
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 11-03 02:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
54% 64% -$259
Other
44% 64% -$39
Sports
1% 0% -$32
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +627 $152 20¢ $128 -$23 08-04 05:32
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +43 $17 92¢ $39 +$22 08-06 04:31
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +53 $35 66¢ $35 $0 11-02 04:12
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +29 $20 96¢ $28 +$8 08-22 01:42
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 No +24 $20 96¢ $23 +$3 09-07 21:27
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes +8 $3 76¢ $6 +$3 06-27 02:49
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +6 $3 94¢ $6 +$3 08-05 03:00
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? Yes +44 $11 12¢ $5 -$6 08-04 23:12
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +68 $21 7¢ $5 -$16 06-01 20:45
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4 $2 74¢ $3 +$1 08-04 03:58
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +75 $7 4¢ $3 -$4 07-13 05:18
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 08-01 12:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 08-01 01:12
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 08-03 22:17
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-08 03:34
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 08-08 03:38
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 08-08 03:34
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-02 22:26
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-08 02:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-24 04:51
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-07 02:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 11-03 02:36
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +20 $7 4¢ $1 -$6 08-03 22:29