Realized P&L (30d)
-$84
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved (30d)
54
Trades (30d)
323
617 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.62K
$3.28K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$29
6 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-07 21:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
95% 53% -$82
Politics
4% 56% -$12
Tech
1% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? Yes +27 $10 40¢ $11 +$1 11-07 21:08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? Yes +23 $7 24¢ $5 -$2 11-07 21:10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +21 $5 26¢ $5 +$0 11-07 20:02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +22 $4 17¢ $4 $0 11-07 17:06
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? Yes +27 $4 10¢ $3 -$1 11-07 20:00
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +36 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 10-02 10:14