Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$96

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved (90d)

146

Trades (90d)

614

624 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.24K

$3.30K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-17

last 11-09 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

95% 53% -$82

Politics

4% 56% -$12

Tech

1% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+21	$5	36¢	$8	+$3	11-07 20:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+18	$8	42¢	$7	-$1	11-09 11:16
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+36	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	10-02 10:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	10	$118	343	343	+0	No	-$16	10-22 16:14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	9	$99	228	228	+0	Yes	-$17	10-23 13:03
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	8	$99	78	59	+19	Yes	+$6	10-01 00:42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	11	$94	205	205	+0	No	-$23	10-23 14:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	6	$79	111	111	+0	Yes	-$2	10-04 17:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	8	$78	51	51	+0	No	+$0	09-28 15:54
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	7	$77	120	120	+0	No	+$6	10-20 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	6	$76	134	134	+0	No	$0	10-05 22:13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	4	$62	89	72	+17	No	+$8	10-02 06:24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	6	$61	35	35	+0	Yes	+$6	09-29 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	9	$59	72	72	+0	Yes	+$22	10-13 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$56	106	106	+0	No	+$1	10-05 11:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	11	$56	90	52	+38	No	-$14	10-21 14:19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	11	$53	72	72	+0	No	+$17	10-16 07:35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	12	$51	58	58	+0	No	+$3	10-24 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	11	$49	80	80	+0	No	+$7	10-16 02:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	14	$46	76	76	+0	No	+$0	10-27 15:25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	5	$46	28	28	+0	Yes	+$10	11-07 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	8	$42	50	50	+0	No	+$2	10-15 05:36
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	4	$40	38	38	+0	No	+$4	10-01 00:41
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	11	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	+$2	10-27 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	7	$39	219	219	+0	No	-$6	10-23 14:14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	+$18	10-16 09:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	4	$38	66	66	+0	No	+$14	10-05 10:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	5	$36	72	72	+0	No	+$6	10-21 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	4	$36	24	24	+0	Yes	+$6	10-05 10:27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	7	$35	32	32	+0	Yes	+$15	11-06 16:08
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	3	$34	22	22	+0	No	+$10	09-04 04:26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	4	$33	50	50	+0	No	+$5	10-16 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	3	$33	68	68	+0	No	+$4	10-01 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 11:16:40	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x6321a4…
11-09 10:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb9ac0c…
11-08 20:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$1	0x8149ce…
11-08 20:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	3¢	$1	0x8f40f1…
11-08 20:30:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x23430d…
11-08 20:30:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	42¢	$11	0xc43cb3…
11-08 13:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x1fff39…
11-07 21:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x1ba4e3…
11-07 21:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x557012…
11-07 20:04:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xe1145c…
11-07 20:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x499c40…
11-07 20:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xecf8dc…
11-07 20:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x92ee3d…
11-07 19:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x997dbb…
11-07 17:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x409f7b…
11-07 17:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x79bd47…
11-07 16:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x8fd73c…
11-07 16:08:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x2214a2…
11-07 15:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0xea31a5…
11-07 15:10:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xf848d8…
11-07 13:19:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x3f8ece…
11-07 08:51:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8c9d35…
11-07 08:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5f13c6…
11-07 08:31:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x46abc2…
11-07 08:02:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xec3523…
11-07 05:54:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x1059d0…
11-07 05:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x9fc53f…
11-06 22:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x5fe3ae…
11-06 21:34:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x388b62…
11-06 21:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0xd48cc2…
11-06 21:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb41951…
11-06 16:53:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x82f235…
11-06 16:51:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x566623…
11-06 16:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1911f9…
11-06 16:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x3cee4c…
11-06 16:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	24¢	$6	0x4dd608…
11-06 16:17:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x41fc72…
11-06 16:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa3c953…
11-06 16:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x250261…
11-06 15:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x93f515…
11-06 15:37:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xd0060c…
11-06 09:47:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xbcdf46…
11-06 09:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x0b736d…
11-06 09:26:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x22326d…
11-06 09:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x335a50…
11-06 07:33:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x0b3122…
11-06 07:11:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x498ed6…
11-05 16:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x5f593b…
11-05 16:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb1d652…
11-05 15:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x220b49…
11-05 15:32:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7161dd…
11-05 15:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcccce5…
11-05 15:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb890ff…
11-05 15:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xcb5de4…
11-05 15:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcde98b…
11-04 07:45:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0xe01c47…
11-04 07:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0x84907a…
11-03 19:56:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x69f0fe…
11-03 17:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x420aaf…
11-03 17:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbd72d8…
11-03 17:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbebfa9…
10-28 08:25:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x271e58…
10-27 18:30:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x3880e5…
10-27 18:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x9ff402…
10-27 17:26:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb02f62…
10-27 17:08:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x28a059…
10-27 17:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb33acf…
10-27 17:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1f8325…
10-27 16:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x80e471…
10-27 16:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcd6f22…
10-27 16:05:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xf201db…
10-27 16:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x29176f…
10-27 15:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6fc986…
10-27 15:36:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2282dc…
10-27 15:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x4e0436…
10-27 15:25:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0xe9c44e…
10-27 15:23:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1296dd…
10-27 15:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9099a7…
10-27 15:05:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xca9558…
10-27 15:05:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x152c73…
10-27 15:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x795d67…
10-27 15:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x542666…
10-27 14:49:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x0fb7e3…
10-27 14:19:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x49a5fb…
10-27 10:03:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0xcb3ae5…
10-27 07:11:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x0f5720…
10-26 19:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2b2bae…
10-26 19:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x70e351…
10-26 19:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x573ffc…
10-26 18:46:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xbc940e…
10-26 17:50:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1945ab…
10-26 17:44:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x153b85…
10-26 17:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0xe05204…
10-26 17:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x60b0af…
10-26 16:46:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa4bd7d…
10-26 16:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x76b4da…
10-26 15:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xe851e2…
10-24 14:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x163d71…
10-24 06:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe60e53…
10-23 22:19:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xc04e42…