Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$896

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$8.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$63

5 positions

First seen

2026-11-12

last 11-14 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 59% +$377

Other

9% 80% +$520

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No	+877	$52	3¢	$23	-$29	11-14 02:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+167	$15	8¢	$14	-$1	11-14 00:47
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+690	$20	1¢	$10	-$10	11-14 01:46
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,667	$10	1¢	$9	-$1	11-14 02:43
Will Jay Puri be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	+329	$9	2¢	$6	-$3	11-13 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	8	$713	1,310	667	+643	Up	+$99	11-14 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	6	$706	599	564	+35	Down	+$106	11-14 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$544	555	346	+208	Down	-$56	11-14 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$521	392	392	+0	Down	+$121	11-14 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$513	1,045	312	+733	Down	-$97	11-14 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$503	1,394	405	+989	Down	+$53	11-14 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$480	553	320	+233	Down	-$120	11-14 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$473	415	415	+0	Up	+$23	11-14 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	8	$434	478	458	+20	Down	+$12	11-14 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$431	383	231	+152	Down	+$22	11-14 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$412	309	309	+0	Down	+$12	11-14 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$372	483	425	+58	resolved	-$228	11-14 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$360	384	162	+222	Down	-$40	11-14 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	12	$313	6,379	650	+5,729	Up	-$24	11-14 03:39
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 9:00 PM ET?	4	$285	266	266	+0	Yes	+$245	11-14 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$276	613	159	+454	Up	-$34	11-14 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$276	672	172	+500	Down	+$66	11-14 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$269	185	185	+0	Down	+$69	11-14 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	8	$255	993	243	+750	Up	-$75	11-14 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$206	346	71	+274	Down	+$71	11-14 12:08
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET?	3	$189	159	159	+0	Yes	+$129	11-14 01:41
Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 AM ET?	2	$155	120	120	+0	Yes	+$84	11-14 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$139	835	222	+612	Down	-$18	11-14 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$130	165	0	+165	Up	+$35	11-14 02:47
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	2	$104	176	0	+176	No	+$72	11-12 02:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	2	$52	877	0	+877	open	—	11-14 02:20
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	2	$48	100	100	+0	open	—	11-14 03:54
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	3	$48	253	252	+0	open	—	11-14 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$35	370	0	+370	Down	-$35	11-14 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$30	5,376	0	+5,376	resolved	-$30	11-14 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6056c9…
11-14 14:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	158	62¢	$98	0xd0f917…
11-14 14:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xdf1397…
11-14 14:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0xc0e9fa…
11-14 14:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	154	72¢	$110	0xb2df63…
11-14 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xd87690…
11-14 14:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	425	17¢	$72	0x13165b…
11-14 14:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x55e7a4…
11-14 14:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xfb7a7c…
11-14 14:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0x272eb1…
11-14 14:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	162	99¢	$160	0xf76512…
11-14 14:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xa1675e…
11-14 14:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xd7b86e…
11-14 13:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7b796a…
11-14 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	376	7¢	$25	0x48ebd2…
11-14 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	327	8¢	$25	0x381a0c…
11-14 13:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x507701…
11-14 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xec62bf…
11-14 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	159	76¢	$121	0xcbb57b…
11-14 13:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x6e3dfd…
11-14 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	257	94¢	$241	0x790ab5…
11-14 13:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	135	59¢	$80	0xecb727…
11-14 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x77d4ae…
11-14 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x94c37e…
11-14 13:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	145	71¢	$103	0xd55d40…
11-14 13:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x5406ea…
11-14 13:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	164	66¢	$108	0x232402…
11-14 13:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x804a45…
11-14 12:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	185	91¢	$169	0x57ac8a…
11-14 12:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x84481d…
11-14 12:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x402851…
11-14 12:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	172	99¢	$171	0x3b2fb9…
11-14 12:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x0c71ec…
11-14 12:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x8465cf…
11-14 12:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x77b572…
11-14 12:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x896813…
11-14 12:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xa3f95a…
11-14 04:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x83f7a5…
11-14 04:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xee30ee…
11-14 04:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8ff634…
11-14 03:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8cb74b…
11-14 03:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x990412…
11-14 03:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x9d7d02…
11-14 03:54:52	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0xeb6372…
11-14 03:54:28	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	SELL	252	9¢	$22	0xe450cb…
11-14 03:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	174	97¢	$168	0x1fb630…
11-14 03:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	241	33¢	$80	0x21e7f5…
11-14 03:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0x98f318…
11-14 03:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x46ddec…
11-14 03:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xf0de4a…
11-14 03:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x374373…
11-14 03:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x5d7dec…
11-14 03:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfe41ca…
11-14 03:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x9b8cb9…
11-14 03:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xc7ac79…
11-14 03:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xe5e5d1…
11-14 03:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	208	28¢	$59	0xd82237…
11-14 03:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe5f269…
11-14 03:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	231	98¢	$227	0xed25ff…
11-14 03:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0xb4504e…
11-14 03:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc1e53c…
11-14 03:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x162bd0…
11-14 03:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc8439f…
11-14 03:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xac7170…
11-14 03:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x56e8e7…
11-14 03:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	229	15¢	$34	0x715a0c…
11-14 03:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	475	3¢	$14	0xcb7190…
11-14 03:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xcd9b7b…
11-14 03:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7cc984…
11-14 03:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xfe718f…
11-14 03:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6baac3…
11-14 03:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6e02ff…
11-14 03:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	170	74¢	$125	0x394465…
11-14 03:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x91b1ce…
11-14 03:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe776ea…
11-14 03:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4896b0…
11-14 03:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xdc51e5…
11-14 03:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	557	4¢	$25	0x73d080…
11-14 03:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xa9a089…
11-14 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	184	59¢	$109	0xd43c3f…
11-14 03:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x9cbb57…
11-14 03:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	346	46¢	$160	0xcca4ec…
11-14 03:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	137	69¢	$94	0x8f875a…
11-14 03:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	346	29¢	$100	0x812923…
11-14 03:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x4f53fd…
11-14 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	292	84¢	$244	0x4e7e3d…
11-14 03:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	90	37¢	$34	0xa671f9…
11-14 03:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	292	34¢	$100	0x662ec4…
11-14 03:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xc2a364…
11-14 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	182	70¢	$128	0x5cae59…
11-14 03:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x98a7b0…
11-14 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	656	2¢	$15	0x367e03…
11-14 03:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	332	3¢	$10	0x0b1b13…
11-14 03:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	266	96¢	$256	0x0ae346…
11-14 03:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	139	16¢	$22	0x4ffc00…
11-14 03:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	266	38¢	$100	0x2b99b8…
11-14 03:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xda0590…
11-14 03:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	148	43¢	$63	0x689835…
11-14 03:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xdf7b95…
11-14 03:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x280c4b…