Realized P&L
-$828
Unrealized P&L
+$494
Hit rate
0.9%
Resolved
31
Trades
2,401
lifetime
Volume
$122.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$63.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 10:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
58% 0% -$94
Politics
28% — —
Sports
15% 38% -$734
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +9,343 $8,813 95¢ $8.9K +$54 09-24 17:18
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8,698 $7,628 90¢ $7.8K +$156 10-19 10:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +7,727 $7,212 90¢ $7.0K -$220 10-19 15:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +6,957 $6,690 97¢ $6.8K +$68 10-17 11:57
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,329 $6,825 90¢ $6.6K -$232 10-05 09:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +4,184 $3,894 100¢ $4.2K +$279 09-26 16:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +3,681 $3,439 92¢ $3.4K -$34 10-18 13:44
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,104 $2,866 95¢ $2.9K +$79 09-02 22:13
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +2,658 $2,578 98¢ $2.6K +$37 09-26 04:17
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,139 $1,867 90¢ $1.9K +$66 09-04 16:37
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,304 $1,276 97¢ $1.3K -$17 10-07 07:30
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +8,698 $1,062 11¢ $913 -$149 10-18 07:04
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +898 $877 98¢ $881 +$4 10-18 05:41
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +875 $825 97¢ $853 +$28 09-03 20:59
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +758 $741 99¢ $747 +$6 08-28 03:53
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,329 $551 10¢ $737 +$185 10-10 11:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +7,727 $531 10¢ $734 +$203 10-18 02:19
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +738 $642 91¢ $671 +$30 10-17 15:53
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +653 $641 98¢ $640 -$1 10-20 07:39
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +511 $474 96¢ $490 +$17 09-01 19:38
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,343 $527 5¢ $476 -$50 09-30 07:25
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +453 $442 98¢ $445 +$4 08-21 10:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +456 $401 94¢ $426 +$25 08-21 06:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +3,681 $241 8¢ $276 +$35 10-20 05:12
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +295 $278 92¢ $273 -$4 10-17 14:02
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +265 $259 97¢ $258 $0 08-21 06:34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +273 $242 89¢ $243 +$1 09-28 00:05
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +244 $237 97¢ $237 +$0 10-18 15:07
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +267 $232 86¢ $231 -$1 10-17 12:24
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,139 $279 10¢ $206 -$72 08-26 23:06