Dual-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

289

Trades

3,792

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-30 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% $-1,616

Other

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	44	$1.7K	3,200	0	+3,200	Down	+$1,532	05-08 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$1.2K	2,244	0	+2,244	Down	+$1,092	05-08 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	39	$1.1K	740	740	+0	open	—	05-21 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	43	$969	1,700	0	+1,700	Down	+$731	05-07 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	33	$954	1,800	0	+1,800	Up	$-954	05-08 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	64	$832	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	$-832	05-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$714	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	$-714	05-09 08:47
btc updown 15m 1770663600	78	$660	750	750	+0	open	—	02-09 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$604	625	625	+0	open	—	05-03 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$521	900	0	+900	open	—	04-28 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	10	$520	500	500	+0	open	—	06-03 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	16	$496	344	333	+11	open	—	04-25 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	28	$480	960	0	+960	open	—	05-03 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	19	$477	900	0	+900	Up	$-477	05-08 10:45
btc updown 15m 1770664500	48	$460	600	450	+150	open	—	02-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	22	$424	800	0	+800	Down	+$376	05-05 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$423	800	0	+800	Up	$-423	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$420	700	0	+700	open	—	04-29 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	19	$418	800	0	+800	open	—	05-16 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$416	800	0	+800	open	—	05-18 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	29	$416	800	0	+800	open	—	05-03 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	12	$415	800	0	+800	Down	+$384	05-06 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$400	800	0	+800	Up	$-400	05-07 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	22	$400	800	0	+800	Up	+$400	05-08 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	43	$400	800	0	+800	open	—	05-03 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	10	$400	800	0	+800	Down	$-400	05-09 08:37
cs2 bb3 hotu 2026 01 04	4	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	01-04 11:12
cs2 nvq allin 2026 01 03	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	01-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	21	$362	382	382	+0	Down	$-19	05-05 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	15	$351	500	200	+300	open	—	05-04 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 06:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x0fd0a8…
06-30 13:58:05	btc updown 15m 1782828000	Down	BUY	296	50¢	$148	0x7998e4…
06-30 13:58:05	btc updown 15m 1782828000	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x723291…
06-30 13:58:05	btc updown 15m 1782828000	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x3c39ac…
06-30 12:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782824400	Up	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x7651bf…
06-30 12:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782823500	Up	BUY	63	55¢	$35	0x0ff6fa…
06-30 03:43:05	btc updown 15m 1782791100	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x162007…
06-29 23:14:05	btc updown 15m 1782774900	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x1106b8…
06-29 22:58:05	btc updown 15m 1782774000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3d2bbd…
06-29 17:44:29	btc updown 15m 1782755100	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xb277a6…
06-29 17:28:26	btc updown 15m 1782754200	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x638498…
06-29 11:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782731700	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbd6cf5…
06-29 08:28:05	btc updown 15m 1782721800	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf02279…
06-29 06:30:04	btc updown 15m 1782714600	Down	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x385c26…
06-29 06:28:04	btc updown 15m 1782714600	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xa45595…
06-29 06:13:05	btc updown 15m 1782713700	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x324c1e…
06-28 16:28:04	btc updown 15m 1782664200	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x18fc4f…
06-28 16:13:26	btc updown 15m 1782663300	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8eb87a…
06-28 15:15:04	btc updown 15m 1782659700	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x195b18…
06-28 15:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782659700	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xbea332…
06-28 07:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782630900	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa1d316…
06-28 05:28:04	btc updown 15m 1782624600	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x9961e0…
06-28 05:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782623700	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x10f39b…
06-28 03:29:49	btc updown 15m 1782617400	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x00b6bb…
06-27 23:15:04	btc updown 15m 1782602100	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xeb6c4a…
06-27 23:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782602100	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x96794b…
06-27 13:43:05	btc updown 15m 1782567900	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x140c86…
06-27 11:45:04	btc updown 15m 1782560700	Up	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0xeb3f0b…
06-27 11:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782560700	Up	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0xd57d38…
06-27 11:28:04	btc updown 15m 1782559800	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xf2264b…
06-27 11:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782558900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2cd4d3…
06-27 10:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782555300	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x0781e0…
06-26 20:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782504900	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc00499…
06-26 09:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782468000	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9d3d41…
06-26 03:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782446400	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x3109e8…
06-25 23:28:04	btc updown 15m 1782430200	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x59674d…
06-25 21:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782424800	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb87f3d…
06-25 15:00:04	btc updown 15m 1782399600	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x1fb62b…
06-25 14:58:47	btc updown 15m 1782399600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6ae0ec…
06-25 11:15:04	btc updown 15m 1782386100	Up	SELL	31	52¢	$16	0x592789…
06-25 11:13:05	btc updown 15m 1782386100	Up	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x54ad20…
06-25 10:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782385200	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x4698a2…
06-25 10:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782384300	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x806257…
06-25 08:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782378000	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x43b785…
06-25 08:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782377100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7927fa…
06-25 05:13:05	btc updown 15m 1782364500	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8cc928…
06-25 01:13:05	btc updown 15m 1782350100	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd48463…
06-25 00:13:05	btc updown 15m 1782346500	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x1d762b…
06-24 23:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782345600	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf347b4…
06-24 20:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782334800	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x0c1108…
06-24 20:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782333900	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x2f4d2f…
06-24 15:28:47	btc updown 15m 1782315000	Up	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x200dc4…
06-24 14:29:08	btc updown 15m 1782311400	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x81f657…
06-24 14:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782310500	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xa88487…
06-24 13:58:10	btc updown 15m 1782309600	Up	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe2cdae…
06-24 13:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782308700	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xc5a49b…
06-24 08:59:17	btc updown 15m 1782291600	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc20cbf…
06-24 05:43:05	btc updown 15m 1782279900	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x35ee34…
06-24 03:14:16	btc updown 15m 1782270900	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x2ea991…
06-24 02:58:04	btc updown 15m 1782270000	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x2bd29d…
06-24 02:43:17	btc updown 15m 1782269100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0c8424…
06-21 10:59:26	btc updown 15m 1782039600	Down	BUY	402	56¢	$225	0x1fb61a…
06-21 10:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782038700	Down	BUY	169	60¢	$101	0xcc79db…
06-21 10:28:05	btc updown 15m 1782037800	Down	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0xaad7d4…
06-21 10:13:04	btc updown 15m 1782036900	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xd719e2…
06-21 08:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782031500	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xe4a0d9…
06-21 03:43:04	btc updown 15m 1782013500	Down	BUY	64	58¢	$37	0x2c5ee9…
06-21 03:28:04	btc updown 15m 1782012600	Down	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x6df33a…
06-20 15:28:04	btc updown 15m 1781969400	Down	BUY	64	60¢	$38	0x37b244…
06-20 15:14:20	btc updown 15m 1781968500	Down	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x0ddf3d…
06-20 10:24:34	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	92	49¢	$45	0x5de82f…
06-20 10:24:32	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x64d806…
06-20 10:24:29	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x7f5f57…
06-20 10:24:23	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x703bb5…
06-20 10:24:13	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x420f0f…
06-20 10:24:13	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3ee33c…
06-20 10:24:10	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8bca19…
06-20 10:24:05	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb2d098…
06-20 10:23:56	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x867bac…
06-20 10:23:52	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x788815…
06-20 10:19:55	btc updown 5m 1781950800	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfda299…
06-20 10:11:16	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xde7e0d…
06-20 10:11:16	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xad3f4b…
06-20 10:11:14	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xdd1cff…
06-20 10:11:14	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x98058e…
06-20 10:11:14	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x6d97d6…
06-20 10:11:14	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x4ace08…
06-20 10:11:14	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x14b4a3…
06-20 10:11:13	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	94	53¢	$50	0xc492d6…
06-20 10:11:13	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$2	0x665b34…
06-20 10:11:13	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x5d515a…
06-20 10:11:13	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x2905d6…
06-20 10:10:07	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x2bca48…
06-20 10:08:04	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xfd2e8b…
06-20 10:07:47	btc updown 5m 1781950200	Down	BUY	173	52¢	$90	0xad7356…
06-20 10:05:05	btc updown 5m 1781949900	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xfc0f2e…
06-20 10:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781949900	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xfc097e…
06-20 10:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781949900	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x970a04…
06-20 10:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781949900	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x72a1ba…
06-20 10:05:04	btc updown 5m 1781949900	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x65e23f…