Dual-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

289

Trades

4,441

lifetime

Volume

$67.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-21 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% $-1,616

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	44	$1.7K	3,200	0	+3,200	Down	+$1,532	05-08 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$1.2K	2,244	0	+2,244	Down	+$1,092	05-08 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	39	$1.1K	740	740	+0	open	—	05-21 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	43	$969	1,700	0	+1,700	Down	+$731	05-07 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	33	$954	1,800	0	+1,800	Up	$-954	05-08 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	64	$832	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	$-832	05-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$714	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	$-714	05-09 08:47
btc updown 15m 1770663600	78	$660	750	750	+0	open	—	02-09 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$604	625	625	+0	open	—	05-03 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$521	900	0	+900	open	—	04-28 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	10	$520	500	500	+0	open	—	06-03 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	16	$496	344	333	+11	open	—	04-25 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	28	$480	960	0	+960	open	—	05-03 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	19	$477	900	0	+900	Up	$-477	05-08 10:45
btc updown 15m 1770664500	48	$460	600	450	+150	open	—	02-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	22	$424	800	0	+800	Down	+$376	05-05 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$423	800	0	+800	Up	$-423	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$420	700	0	+700	open	—	04-29 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	19	$418	800	0	+800	open	—	05-16 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$416	800	0	+800	open	—	05-18 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	29	$416	800	0	+800	open	—	05-03 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	12	$415	800	0	+800	Down	+$384	05-06 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$400	800	0	+800	Up	$-400	05-07 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	22	$400	800	0	+800	Up	+$400	05-08 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	43	$400	800	0	+800	open	—	05-03 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	10	$400	800	0	+800	Down	$-400	05-09 08:37
cs2 bb3 hotu 2026 01 04	4	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	01-04 11:12
cs2 nvq allin 2026 01 03	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	01-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	21	$362	382	382	+0	Down	$-19	05-05 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	15	$351	500	200	+300	open	—	05-04 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 17:40:36	btc updown 15m 1784655900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x04d538…
07-21 16:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784649600	Up	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0x33ea08…
07-21 15:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784649600	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x8b0ec1…
07-21 15:30:10	btc updown 15m 1784648700	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x2e8ee0…
07-21 04:00:21	btc updown 15m 1784606400	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xeacef4…
07-21 04:00:21	btc updown 15m 1784606400	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x96e6ee…
07-21 04:00:21	btc updown 15m 1784606400	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x709dd0…
07-21 03:15:09	btc updown 15m 1784604600	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xd1093f…
07-21 02:24:04	btc updown 15m 1784600100	Up	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0x6bba0c…
07-21 02:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784600100	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0x3f26a9…
07-21 01:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784599200	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x81514b…
07-20 23:45:33	btc updown 15m 1784591100	Down	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0xbcfd30…
07-20 23:30:09	btc updown 15m 1784591100	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x568398…
07-20 21:15:10	btc updown 15m 1784582100	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xd38972…
07-20 21:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784582100	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x932053…
07-20 19:30:10	btc updown 15m 1784575800	Up	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0xd1641e…
07-20 19:15:10	btc updown 15m 1784575800	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x4e40f1…
07-20 19:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784574900	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x5a89cf…
07-20 16:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784566800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe8f6af…
07-20 13:11:12	btc updown 5m 1784553000	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x2706b6…
07-20 13:05:10	btc updown 5m 1784553000	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc40dc7…
07-20 12:05:10	btc updown 5m 1784549100	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xb90143…
07-20 12:00:12	btc updown 5m 1784549100	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xf8c68c…
07-20 11:45:49	btc updown 5m 1784547900	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x806cea…
07-20 11:40:10	btc updown 5m 1784547900	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe0d699…
07-20 11:30:15	btc updown 5m 1784547000	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x8a6fa7…
07-20 11:25:10	btc updown 5m 1784547000	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xee96a1…
07-20 11:00:21	btc updown 5m 1784545200	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xaf5bee…
07-20 11:00:21	btc updown 5m 1784545200	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6b7f63…
07-20 10:55:10	btc updown 5m 1784545200	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xed888b…
07-20 10:45:10	btc updown 5m 1784544300	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xebbd2a…
07-20 10:40:10	btc updown 5m 1784544300	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x3de7da…
07-20 10:20:09	btc updown 5m 1784542800	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x4b53e7…
07-20 10:15:10	btc updown 5m 1784542800	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf17339…
07-20 10:05:09	btc updown 5m 1784541900	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x7ebd98…
07-20 10:00:12	btc updown 5m 1784541900	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x97a7f6…
07-20 05:45:00	btc updown 15m 1784526300	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1c4e10…
07-20 05:44:49	btc updown 15m 1784526300	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xa715e3…
07-20 05:30:25	btc updown 15m 1784525400	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x347042…
07-20 01:15:09	btc updown 15m 1784510100	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x57f7c8…
07-20 01:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784510100	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x28171f…
07-19 23:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784502000	Down	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x312b4e…
07-19 22:45:09	btc updown 15m 1784502000	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x9b40bd…
07-19 22:30:09	btc updown 15m 1784501100	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x928cca…
07-19 21:31:30	btc updown 15m 1784496600	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xf068e7…
07-19 21:31:28	btc updown 15m 1784496600	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe5dbc4…
07-19 21:15:12	btc updown 15m 1784496600	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3f8a90…
07-19 18:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784486700	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xfd34f9…
07-19 18:30:10	btc updown 15m 1784486700	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x43668e…
07-19 17:45:10	btc updown 5m 1784483100	Down	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x3eeb85…
07-19 17:40:10	btc updown 5m 1784483100	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xd115ac…
07-19 17:35:09	btc updown 5m 1784482800	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x3f87c5…
07-19 16:35:10	btc updown 5m 1784479200	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5b0064…
07-19 16:30:19	btc updown 5m 1784478600	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xec0cd0…
07-19 16:17:39	btc updown 5m 1784477700	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x03dbfd…
07-19 16:10:21	btc updown 5m 1784477700	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf99bb4…
07-19 15:55:36	btc updown 5m 1784476800	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x932ce0…
07-19 15:28:49	btc updown 5m 1784475000	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x430120…
07-19 15:14:16	btc updown 5m 1784474400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeaba07…
07-19 15:05:37	btc updown 5m 1784473800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1a1174…
07-19 14:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784470500	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x83814e…
07-19 12:51:27	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	SELL	13	48¢	$6	0x516b67…
07-19 12:51:27	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	SELL	33	48¢	$16	0x3b181b…
07-19 12:51:25	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xbfd6be…
07-19 12:51:25	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xbcaf19…
07-19 12:51:24	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x7d04e4…
07-19 12:39:48	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	BUY	49	52¢	$26	0x86736e…
07-19 12:38:10	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xda87e8…
07-19 12:34:18	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b1ba9…
07-19 12:30:10	btc updown 15m 1784465100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9f5a46…
07-19 12:04:16	btc updown 15m 1784463300	Up	BUY	51	52¢	$26	0x5a0454…
07-19 12:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784463300	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x54bac4…
07-19 11:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784462400	Up	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x618573…
07-19 11:30:10	btc updown 15m 1784461500	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x16c906…
07-19 11:00:09	btc updown 15m 1784458800	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x2bbf5a…
07-19 10:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784458800	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x53bab2…
07-19 10:15:18	btc updown 15m 1784456100	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x1c5fc4…
07-19 10:15:16	btc updown 15m 1784456100	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xe23053…
07-19 10:15:09	btc updown 15m 1784456100	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x6335fc…
07-19 10:15:09	btc updown 15m 1784456100	Up	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x507155…
07-19 10:00:10	btc updown 15m 1784456100	Up	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xe9ded0…
07-19 09:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784455200	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x99fd1b…
07-19 09:00:09	btc updown 15m 1784451600	Up	SELL	31	57¢	$18	0x9c91ed…
07-19 08:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784451600	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x27de35…
07-19 08:30:10	btc updown 15m 1784450700	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x637943…
07-19 04:00:18	btc updown 15m 1784433600	Up	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0x847c1d…
07-19 04:00:12	btc updown 15m 1784433600	Up	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x3b2e7f…
07-19 03:45:09	btc updown 15m 1784433600	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xf8981e…
07-19 03:30:09	btc updown 15m 1784432700	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x727b9d…
07-19 02:15:19	btc updown 15m 1784427300	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x144f45…
07-19 02:15:18	btc updown 15m 1784427300	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x2fbcec…
07-19 02:15:13	btc updown 15m 1784427300	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xb5f08e…
07-19 02:00:09	btc updown 15m 1784427300	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xfba42c…
07-19 01:45:10	btc updown 15m 1784426400	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xc24794…
07-18 20:45:19	btc updown 15m 1784407500	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x4c43df…
07-18 20:45:16	btc updown 15m 1784407500	Down	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xfbeb9e…
07-18 20:45:16	btc updown 15m 1784407500	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd25022…
07-18 20:35:25	btc updown 15m 1784407500	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x4faa26…
07-18 20:32:45	btc updown 15m 1784407500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbdba73…
07-18 20:30:09	btc updown 15m 1784407500	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xccc328…