Dual-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

6,676 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$77.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-12 05:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 59% -$976

Other

2% 50% -$12

Sports

1% 46% -$175

Politics

1% 100% +$135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 187 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	44	$1.7K	3,200	0	+3,200	Down	+$1,532	05-08 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$1.2K	2,244	0	+2,244	Down	+$1,092	05-08 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	39	$1.1K	740	740	+0	Down	+$337	05-21 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	43	$969	1,700	0	+1,700	Down	+$731	05-07 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	33	$954	1,800	0	+1,800	Up	-$954	05-08 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	64	$832	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$832	05-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$714	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	-$714	05-09 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:00 UTC	78	$660	750	750	+0	Up	+$75	02-09 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$604	625	625	+0	Down	-$19	05-03 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$521	900	0	+900	Up	+$379	04-28 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	10	$520	500	500	+0	Up	+$0	06-03 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	16	$496	344	333	+11	Down	+$174	04-25 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	28	$480	960	0	+960	Up	-$480	05-03 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	19	$477	900	0	+900	Up	-$477	05-08 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:15 UTC	48	$460	600	450	+150	Up	+$11	02-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	22	$424	800	0	+800	Down	+$376	05-05 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$423	800	0	+800	Up	-$423	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$420	700	0	+700	Down	+$280	04-29 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	19	$418	800	0	+800	Up	+$382	05-16 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$416	800	0	+800	Down	-$416	05-18 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	29	$416	800	0	+800	Up	+$384	05-03 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	12	$415	800	0	+800	Down	+$384	05-06 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	22	$400	800	0	+800	Up	+$400	05-08 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$400	800	0	+800	Up	-$400	05-07 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	43	$400	800	0	+800	Down	+$400	05-03 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	10	$400	800	0	+800	Down	-$400	05-09 08:37
cs2 bb3 hotu 2026 01 04	4	$396	200	200	+0	BetBoom Team	+$4	01-04 11:12
cs2 nvq allin 2026 01 03	2	$391	200	200	+0	Team Novaq	+$5	01-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	21	$362	382	382	+0	Down	-$19	05-05 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	15	$351	500	200	+300	Down	+$165	05-04 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 05:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xae642e…
11-12 05:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x49c3ba…
11-12 05:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc304c9…
11-12 04:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x441ce3…
11-12 04:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2faff1…
11-12 04:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1de68e…
11-12 04:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd07f02…
11-12 04:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x1f70e1…
11-12 04:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbe475b…
11-12 04:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0d0b13…
11-12 04:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4e07cc…
11-12 04:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x084ce9…
11-12 04:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf135e5…
11-12 04:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa09eb1…
11-12 04:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe8b080…
11-12 04:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x35fe25…
11-12 03:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x272827…
11-12 03:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc9ad26…
11-12 03:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x70c6ef…
11-12 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9f9ad0…
11-12 03:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x98ce1c…
11-12 03:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd01e58…
11-12 03:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf6d3a4…
11-12 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8c3634…
11-12 03:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe08488…
11-12 03:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x740eb6…
11-12 03:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0b98da…
11-12 03:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x71d66d…
11-12 03:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0ecaea…
11-12 02:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8b650e…
11-12 02:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x281e8e…
11-12 02:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x980bf9…
11-12 02:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf81480…
11-12 02:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe10f48…
11-12 02:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x143047…
11-12 02:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfd472a…
11-12 02:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x592c43…
11-12 02:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x076f1b…
11-12 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4ca03…
11-12 01:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0f6718…
11-12 01:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x9cadcb…
11-12 01:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x36f5d5…
11-12 01:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x668afd…
11-12 01:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4f9110…
11-12 01:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x513aa4…
11-12 01:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x55c433…
11-12 01:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc20890…
11-12 01:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfd8839…
11-12 01:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd90a76…
11-12 01:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x357d8c…
11-12 01:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x19a6c0…
11-12 01:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4b1f9f…
11-12 01:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1a039d…
11-12 01:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x772c97…
11-12 01:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3f51af…
11-12 01:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2c04ba…
11-12 01:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfb9f99…
11-12 00:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7330a2…
11-12 00:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x79574d…
11-12 00:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf36e2c…
11-12 00:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7fc7a3…
11-12 00:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb98811…
11-12 00:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4697a2…
11-12 00:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xed6d5d…
11-12 00:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf32797…
11-12 00:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9b5769…
11-12 00:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xec682e…
11-12 00:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8dc5e4…
11-12 00:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3993e1…
11-12 00:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x50d207…
11-11 23:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2dd493…
11-11 23:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x547fac…
11-11 23:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x799cf5…
11-11 23:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x45710b…
11-11 23:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3727ae…
11-11 23:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcd9a8e…
11-11 23:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x55a744…
11-11 23:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x66620f…
11-11 23:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x30db6f…
11-11 23:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5da193…
11-11 23:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa68b87…
11-11 23:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x93caf7…
11-11 22:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x877e46…
11-11 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4396dd…
11-11 22:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x617f2d…
11-11 22:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x921a8e…
11-11 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb2538e…
11-11 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa11261…
11-11 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xae376a…
11-11 22:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc0b737…
11-11 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x439484…
11-11 22:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x23f2b5…
11-11 22:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xff30bd…
11-11 21:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb2a985…
11-11 21:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x00ef70…
11-11 21:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6c1fa9…
11-11 21:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3a2acb…
11-11 21:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2b1981…
11-11 21:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd92cdd…
11-11 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x05dfb6…