Dual-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved (30d)

632

Trades (30d)

651

6,389 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.62K

$76.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-05 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 57% -$935

Other

2% 50% -$12

Sports

1% 46% -$175

Politics

1% 100% +$135

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	44	$1.7K	3,200	0	+3,200	Down	+$1,532	05-08 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$1.2K	2,244	0	+2,244	Down	+$1,092	05-08 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	39	$1.1K	740	740	+0	Down	+$337	05-21 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	43	$969	1,700	0	+1,700	Down	+$731	05-07 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	33	$954	1,800	0	+1,800	Up	-$954	05-08 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	64	$832	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$832	05-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$714	1,600	0	+1,600	Down	-$714	05-09 08:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:00 UTC	78	$660	750	750	+0	Up	+$75	02-09 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	8	$604	625	625	+0	Down	-$19	05-03 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$521	900	0	+900	Up	+$379	04-28 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	10	$520	500	500	+0	Up	+$0	06-03 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	16	$496	344	333	+11	Down	+$174	04-25 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	28	$480	960	0	+960	Up	-$480	05-03 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	19	$477	900	0	+900	Up	-$477	05-08 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:15 UTC	48	$460	600	450	+150	Up	+$11	02-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	22	$424	800	0	+800	Down	+$376	05-05 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$423	800	0	+800	Up	-$423	05-08 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$420	700	0	+700	Down	+$280	04-29 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	19	$418	800	0	+800	Up	+$382	05-16 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$416	800	0	+800	Down	-$416	05-18 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	29	$416	800	0	+800	Up	+$384	05-03 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	12	$415	800	0	+800	Down	+$384	05-06 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	22	$400	800	0	+800	Up	+$400	05-08 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$400	800	0	+800	Up	-$400	05-07 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	43	$400	800	0	+800	Down	+$400	05-03 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	10	$400	800	0	+800	Down	-$400	05-09 08:37
cs2 bb3 hotu 2026 01 04	4	$396	200	200	+0	BetBoom Team	+$4	01-04 11:12
cs2 nvq allin 2026 01 03	2	$391	200	200	+0	Team Novaq	+$5	01-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	21	$362	382	382	+0	Down	-$19	05-05 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	15	$351	500	200	+300	Down	+$165	05-04 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:25:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe98dcd…
11-05 15:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcedbb2…
11-05 14:14:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa942f8…
11-05 12:40:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x57097a…
11-05 12:33:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x48910a…
11-05 12:13:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x742f7f…
11-04 15:46:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x14e8d9…
11-04 15:05:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0d82f8…
11-04 09:00:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xea3984…
11-04 08:59:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xe439e0…
11-03 22:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x447e72…
11-02 23:00:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on november 9 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe22348…
11-02 22:12:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9b2472…
11-01 21:50:30	will us gas price be between 4pt16 and 4pt17 on november 2 2026	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x40e3e0…
11-01 17:07:19	bitcoin above 74k on november 8 2026	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x408b89…
11-01 17:07:18	bitcoin above 68k on november 8 2026	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc00fba…
11-01 17:07:18	bitcoin above 72k on november 8 2026	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x826322…
11-01 17:07:18	bitcoin above 70k on november 8 2026	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x671858…
11-01 10:24:12	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xfe2576…
11-01 09:55:40	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1700 and $4.1799 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x911701…
10-23 20:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe03a0c…
10-23 20:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb2b27e…
10-23 20:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xefe03a…
10-23 20:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x126768…
10-23 20:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc3e21f…
10-23 20:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x20277d…
10-23 20:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb90d95…
10-23 20:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x885db9…
10-23 20:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x192a48…
10-23 19:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc430c3…
10-23 19:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8a5514…
10-23 19:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xce85b5…
10-23 19:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd8a10c…
10-23 19:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x34f597…
10-23 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x64ce97…
10-23 19:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd13fdd…
10-23 18:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe319c8…
10-23 18:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc10d6b…
10-23 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xff9113…
10-23 18:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc048d2…
10-23 18:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0a6af6…
10-23 18:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x26d25b…
10-23 17:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5935df…
10-23 17:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf98a8e…
10-23 17:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x69f39f…
10-23 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdda7f0…
10-23 17:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb0e12e…
10-23 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x130237…
10-23 17:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x763266…
10-23 17:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd1d678…
10-23 17:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7ffcad…
10-23 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x934549…
10-23 16:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0db536…
10-23 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x99d6f9…
10-23 16:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa49ae6…
10-23 16:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x28a742…
10-23 16:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbc0a15…
10-23 16:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcaef6e…
10-23 16:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x928231…
10-23 15:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x72eb6b…
10-23 15:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x102d30…
10-23 15:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x03f3b7…
10-23 15:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x22a7ce…
10-23 15:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd18b3d…
10-23 15:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x717d75…
10-23 15:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4ee28d…
10-23 15:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcf4505…
10-23 15:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xffa02b…
10-23 14:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa0367d…
10-23 14:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x81d646…
10-23 14:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x170c0c…
10-23 14:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa5f4ac…
10-23 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1d1993…
10-23 14:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xba1019…
10-23 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x545dff…
10-23 13:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x55c67e…
10-23 13:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x931fbf…
10-23 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xef93fb…
10-23 13:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6490cb…
10-23 13:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbf5fbc…
10-21 15:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfbe32c…
10-21 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x563309…
10-21 15:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3b6617…
10-21 15:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcf081b…
10-21 14:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7c027e…
10-21 14:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6a23b8…
10-21 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb08eca…
10-21 14:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x650ce6…
10-21 14:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x296f4f…
10-21 14:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x65e096…
10-21 14:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe9c8f9…
10-21 14:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x75e683…
10-21 14:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe2ec71…
10-21 14:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0fc470…
10-21 14:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc56f47…
10-21 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfdbaa5…
10-21 13:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfeafd1…
10-21 13:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x608fe4…
10-21 13:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9ee740…
10-21 13:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xce1a4b…