Ringed-Grenade — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$192

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

16 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$783

$783 lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$579

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% — —

Crypto

2% 75% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes		+4,278	$770	14¢	$578	$-193	05-08 19:03
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+5	$1	25¢	$1	+$0	05-14 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	3	$770	4,278	+4,278	open	—	05-08 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$4	21	+21	Down	$-4	05-06 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$4	13	+13	Down	+$9	05-06 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 19:20
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-14 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	50	+50	open	—	05-14 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$1	4	+4	Up	+$3	05-09 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 15:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xad6465…
05-14 11:37:18	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xff8b3a…
05-09 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x993439…
05-08 19:03:10	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xd64452…
05-06 20:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x113c46…
05-06 20:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x75fb93…
05-06 20:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9ca7c9…
05-06 20:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf3e2d3…
05-06 20:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe04bfc…
05-06 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xacd650…
05-06 20:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x643a09…
05-06 20:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x48b143…
05-06 19:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x02ce20…
05-06 19:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x09b73c…
05-06 19:15:08	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x2473f6…
05-06 19:14:21	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,191	18¢	$754	0x775594…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	5	$1.62K	56	05-14 15:44
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	5	$599	41	05-14 15:41
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$514	8	05-14 15:41