Reasonable-Cry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-21 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

62% 50% -$1

Crypto

38% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	9	$552	278	278	+0	No	+$0	06-17 06:52
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	2	$136	70	70	+0	No	-$1	07-21 15:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	10	$129	69	69	-0	open	—	06-01 10:47
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 26?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-28 10:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-05 09:34
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 2	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-02 03:34
ethereum above 1800 on april 3	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-03 04:47
ethereum above 2300 on april 1	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-01 05:10
solana above 90 on march 30	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	03-30 03:52
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	03-28 05:20
ethereum above 1800 on march 29	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	03-29 03:41
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	03-27 04:36
ethereum above 2300 on march 31	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-31 02:52
ethereum above 2600 on april 16	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-16 07:46
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-07 04:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	03-26 05:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	05-23 04:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-10 05:22
solana above 100 on april 17	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-17 06:38
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	04-15 09:06
ethereum above 2300 on march 23	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-23 07:27
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-24 06:32
ethereum above 1900 on april 8	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	04-08 05:07
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 22	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-22 07:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-18 07:51
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 12	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-12 07:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 13	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-13 10:14
ethereum above 2400 on march 25	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-25 04:00
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on april 21	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-21 10:28
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on april 14	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-14 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:48:57	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	70	96¢	$68	0x17d954…
07-08 07:34:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x72e9ed…
06-17 06:52:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb6cfcf…
06-17 06:52:41	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x9cef4e…
06-16 04:48:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xfbed5f…
06-10 11:33:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0xb11cca…
06-09 13:44:15	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0xe6545a…
06-06 03:58:55	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xa1979b…
06-04 09:15:16	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x3b5f13…
06-01 10:47:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	69	93¢	$65	0x0c055b…
05-31 18:56:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x245372…
05-31 18:56:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$13	0x078a08…
05-31 18:54:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xc60151…
05-31 18:53:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xececb6…
05-31 18:47:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x402330…
05-31 18:44:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x7f7aa4…
05-31 18:41:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xa06117…
05-31 18:35:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xdb9817…
05-31 18:29:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x40d638…
05-30 10:08:11	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0xbb78e4…
05-28 18:09:59	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x7e1fd5…
05-28 10:27:35	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9e5bd4…
05-26 10:15:42	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x8315ec…
05-25 11:25:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x286067…
05-24 10:58:23	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc8d922…
05-23 04:28:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa445cc…
05-20 11:25:36	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9711d1…
05-18 10:15:21	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03ac09…
05-17 12:03:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6424a7…
04-23 08:57:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf03e60…
04-21 10:28:34	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on april 21	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x963d77…
04-17 06:38:12	solana above 100 on april 17	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb438f7…
04-16 07:46:48	ethereum above 2600 on april 16	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcf4868…
04-15 09:06:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2096e1…
04-14 10:58:49	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on april 14	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2d5709…
04-13 10:14:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdfb260…
04-12 07:23:19	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 12	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xebaa12…
04-10 05:22:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 10	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x78e172…
04-09 02:40:41	solana above 70 on april 9	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2539fd…
04-08 05:07:25	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x902bb9…
04-07 04:31:01	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x775b0a…
04-06 07:58:37	solana above 70 on april 6	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8ced5…
04-05 09:34:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc9fbdf…
04-03 04:47:17	ethereum above 1800 on april 3	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xef76ad…
04-02 03:34:39	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 2	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x51ccc8…
04-01 05:10:55	ethereum above 2300 on april 1	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x251d36…
03-31 02:52:33	ethereum above 2300 on march 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4d3d5a…
03-30 03:52:02	solana above 90 on march 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd4653e…
03-29 03:41:42	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x74d35b…
03-28 05:20:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7266c4…
03-27 04:36:03	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa446f7…
03-26 05:08:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9a0e03…
03-25 04:00:25	ethereum above 2400 on march 25	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x42e8d7…
03-24 06:32:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfd84bf…
03-23 07:27:43	ethereum above 2300 on march 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e79ff…
03-22 07:39:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 22	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x89a248…
03-21 06:59:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 21	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x536362…
03-20 05:00:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 20	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa4a46e…
03-19 07:46:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf9bef2…
03-18 07:51:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x6163da…