Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

79.1%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$261

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-27 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

63% 55% +$28

Sports

18% 57% +$13

Crypto

9% 46% -$17

Politics

7% 100% +$19

Tech

4% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+120	$109	97¢	$116	+$7	08-20 16:49
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+89	$81	90¢	$81	$0	10-05 12:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	+35	$28	82¢	$29	+$1	08-16 09:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+31	$22	82¢	$25	+$3	07-23 06:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+19	$11	54¢	$10	-$1	09-04 13:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	7	$338	175	175	+0	No	+$7	09-14 14:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	2	$196	100	100	+0	No	+$2	08-22 10:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	3	$173	91	91	+0	open	—	10-03 03:27
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	2	$109	120	0	+120	open	—	08-20 16:49
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 743	3	$106	122	0	+122	Yes	+$16	07-07 01:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$100	54	54	+0	No	+$6	08-15 09:39
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	3	$85	72	72	+0	Yes	+$53	07-01 13:59
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	1	$81	89	0	+89	open	—	10-05 12:24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$77	132	0	+132	Yes	+$55	07-15 07:29
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	5	$75	46	46	+0	No	+$11	09-20 15:00
will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	9	$68	40	40	+0	Yes	+$5	08-18 14:28
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	2	$67	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-03 12:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$65	38	38	+0	No	+$9	05-30 23:19
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	4	$54	39	39	+0	No	+$4	07-01 13:59
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$52	32	32	+0	Yes	+$12	06-14 04:48
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	7	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$6	08-19 11:42
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	7	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$4	08-13 12:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$41	28	28	+0	No	+$7	07-08 06:18
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$40	45	45	+0	No	-$7	06-10 18:23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	122	0	+122	No	-$40	07-01 16:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	06-13 06:03
will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	2	$38	23	23	+0	Yes	+$8	07-06 04:00
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	10-24 18:52
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$36	51	0	+51	Yes	+$15	06-09 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$4	06-28 04:00
will lionel messi score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$35	44	5	+39	Yes	+$12	07-07 17:47
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	2	$35	22	22	+0	No	+$5	07-27 21:57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	2	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	10-19 19:51
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	4	$33	53	0	+53	Yes	-$33	07-20 14:32
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	08-13 04:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:25:06	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xf96d02…
10-26 02:33:48	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x5b34c2…
10-24 18:52:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xbf62c0…
10-23 02:32:56	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x2a75b5…
10-22 12:24:03	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x176617…
10-19 19:51:29	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0x4829d7…
10-17 18:22:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x9fa797…
10-16 12:30:34	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xbe9114…
10-12 20:08:30	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x57beb5…
10-12 20:08:30	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x449cbe…
10-12 18:21:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x0742ef…
10-05 12:24:58	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	89	91¢	$81	0x32fb56…
10-03 03:27:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x954206…
10-02 06:42:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xe8ba2c…
10-02 06:40:00	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xcd320e…
10-02 05:48:11	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	23	73¢	$16	0x45fa67…
10-02 04:46:27	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xa5a77f…
09-30 10:59:14	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xc776b7…
09-29 12:59:15	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xfba1ee…
09-27 12:27:11	will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x4806b8…
09-27 00:16:30	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x0c3728…
09-26 13:14:54	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe24e3a…
09-26 02:40:00	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x25a398…
09-26 02:10:03	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x459077…
09-25 16:04:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x82c20e…
09-24 15:21:35	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xd29c4a…
09-24 15:20:47	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x07c9c1…
09-23 04:10:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x1489ea…
09-23 03:41:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x0be61b…
09-22 05:18:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x93e7f7…
09-21 07:33:35	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xe8c0a2…
09-20 15:00:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0xbca389…
09-19 04:37:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc929ab…
09-17 13:21:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc8663e…
09-17 13:19:07	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x43f1f2…
09-16 02:46:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2e5b05…
09-15 08:05:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x1c4ebb…
09-15 00:17:03	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x802847…
09-15 00:17:03	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x3fb085…
09-14 14:35:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x8ce46e…
09-13 22:21:45	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x911b94…
09-12 05:12:18	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xdc7bb8…
09-12 04:51:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x874dc4…
09-12 04:49:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xfe41b5…
09-12 04:34:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x25e1ae…
09-11 21:18:12	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc08eb9…
09-08 18:57:28	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xbdb58e…
09-08 18:56:28	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x127251…
09-08 18:48:57	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x76c9c8…
09-05 18:24:19	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa1257e…
09-04 13:17:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x1335c9…
09-04 01:42:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xb00801…
09-03 13:28:52	Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x11c58a…
09-03 08:51:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x1c41f2…
08-31 12:36:46	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4d99b3…
08-30 18:35:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe99c96…
08-29 16:12:43	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x468b50…
08-29 12:02:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x452342…
08-29 08:56:25	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x65afc7…
08-28 10:21:30	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x5dc73c…
08-26 18:40:37	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa766df…
08-26 12:15:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe2f5e1…
08-25 19:59:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xea38f6…
08-23 15:04:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x74fd3c…
08-22 21:07:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x086f5f…
08-22 15:35:37	will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x5718ed…
08-22 10:14:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x63701c…
08-22 10:13:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	SELL	100	98¢	$99	0x179d03…
08-22 03:48:10	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	67¢	$20	0x395812…
08-21 09:49:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x1b8240…
08-21 01:57:28	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x1c1ceb…
08-20 16:49:30	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd8ac2b…
08-20 11:33:10	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x5507c7…
08-20 08:08:52	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe834ad…
08-19 21:46:37	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xb0b57d…
08-19 18:46:49	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x156204…
08-19 18:39:15	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x3136b3…
08-19 17:07:34	will bitcoin dip to 65k in august 2026 from august 19	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1f553b…
08-19 11:42:03	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x348241…
08-19 06:31:57	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x58bab1…
08-19 06:31:45	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x1bed9f…
08-19 06:31:34	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2080c1…
08-19 01:56:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xfa0445…
08-18 20:53:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xcf0611…
08-18 16:20:34	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x6980d1…
08-18 14:28:00	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x1bfed9…
08-18 14:25:31	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x79bc75…
08-17 18:23:57	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xf37282…
08-16 09:42:34	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb75c88…
08-16 03:21:31	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcb0d7d…
08-15 11:13:07	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8f2abf…
08-15 10:12:57	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xc9fb42…
08-15 09:39:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x6be0b8…
08-14 19:51:57	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x07bd12…
08-14 19:51:51	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7914a0…
08-14 19:00:46	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5a167c…
08-14 18:51:04	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xf5c567…
08-14 06:52:46	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026 from august 10	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc6cdb9…
08-13 19:05:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0fddde…
08-13 12:55:00	Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xe5ecf1…