Spanish-Airman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$313

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

1,695

Trades

2,186

lifetime

Volume

$27.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-31 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 72% +$285

Other

3% 46% -$98

Politics

1% 100% +$115

Sports

0% 100% +$11

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No		+20	$8	18¢	$4	-$5	10-09 04:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$430	405	167	+238	Up	+$17	05-16 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$284	370	100	+270	Up	-$246	05-16 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$279	277	147	+130	Down	+$59	05-15 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	8	$219	241	28	+213	Up	-$100	05-16 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$200	243	0	+243	Up	+$43	05-16 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$180	220	0	+220	Down	+$40	05-16 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	7	$180	226	119	+107	Down	-$68	05-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	12	$175	200	0	+200	Down	+$25	05-16 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$170	208	0	+208	Down	+$38	05-16 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$167	209	87	+122	Up	+$39	05-15 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$162	144	42	+102	Up	+$14	05-15 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$151	141	29	+111	Down	+$12	05-11 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$150	201	0	+201	Down	+$51	05-16 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$150	176	0	+176	Up	+$26	05-16 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$150	169	0	+169	Up	+$19	05-16 13:29
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$135	126	126	+0	Yes	+$115	05-04 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$125	200	0	+200	Up	-$125	05-15 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$125	174	0	+174	Up	-$125	05-16 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$125	184	0	+184	Up	+$59	05-16 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$125	139	0	+139	Up	+$14	05-16 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$125	143	0	+143	Down	+$18	05-12 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$120	128	0	+128	Down	+$8	05-16 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$120	236	0	+236	Down	+$116	05-12 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$112	135	40	+95	Up	+$7	05-07 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$110	118	32	+86	Down	-$3	05-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$105	154	0	+154	Down	+$49	05-12 20:59
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$105	113	0	+113	Up	+$8	05-14 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$102	130	0	+130	Up	-$3	05-16 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$100	119	0	+119	Up	+$19	05-12 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	149	0	+149	Up	-$100	05-12 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 00:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb2bac1…
10-30 19:31:43	Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva	Emilio Camacho	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0798b9…
10-29 22:46:04	Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva	Emilio Camacho	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1a3def…
10-25 21:00:56	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xc12c2a…
10-25 20:56:27	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0x55c1bb…
10-11 10:05:22	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x85d3e4…
10-11 08:43:24	GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x250183…
10-10 22:17:42	GitHub Git Operations critical incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x49b0f0…
10-10 15:54:57	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xc5b0b3…
10-10 09:00:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xc95a7c…
10-10 06:36:21	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf01276…
10-09 20:16:26	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x58480f…
10-09 20:15:59	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x03adaa…
10-09 20:15:56	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xab635e…
10-09 20:15:55	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x9c26d6…
10-09 20:15:52	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x818854…
10-09 18:48:29	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xbb92d8…
10-09 18:05:35	Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2608ed…
10-09 18:04:01	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x6f2f61…
10-09 18:03:29	Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6f775c…
10-09 14:30:30	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x52ba32…
10-09 11:39:04	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe71516…
10-09 11:39:03	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd73172…
10-09 11:39:03	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x65ea8c…
10-09 07:17:03	Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf65f9d…
10-09 07:16:52	Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2c7611…
10-09 07:00:18	Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0a9100…
10-09 07:00:16	Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7118e1…
10-09 07:00:15	Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc3313d…
10-09 07:00:13	Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x631d6e…
10-09 07:00:10	Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xaf7dcd…
10-09 06:53:45	Will Recraft have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xc45caf…
10-09 06:53:33	Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x408947…
10-09 06:43:24	Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xf42bc6…
10-09 04:47:52	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe5a4c6…
10-08 20:45:30	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x0d695e…
10-07 15:26:11	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf6d938…
10-06 21:21:48	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0xc56a35…
10-06 20:02:33	Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x15d02b…
10-06 17:47:56	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning again?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xed820b…
10-06 15:56:42	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning again?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4ae33c…
10-06 15:56:27	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning again?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x09fea8…
10-06 08:35:13	Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning again?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x878d2e…
10-06 05:46:03	Will any game last over 70 minutes at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x60a569…
10-06 05:45:33	Will a Divine Rapier be purchased at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xef0224…
10-06 02:16:23	Will any game last over 70 minutes at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcd91b2…
10-06 02:07:19	Will a Divine Rapier be purchased at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa8256d…
10-05 08:14:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xdc286b…
10-05 08:14:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xc08317…
10-05 08:14:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x196aec…
10-05 00:38:28	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x61b614…
10-04 19:01:08	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x014cbc…
10-04 17:41:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x0c0f9d…
10-04 17:08:49	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x7b0049…
10-04 16:17:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb7f07d…
10-04 11:06:29	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x102592…
10-04 08:01:04	Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x490dad…
10-04 04:19:28	will russia capture the royal cafe alex in kostyantynivka by march 31 2027	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x807ce8…
10-04 04:13:38	will russia capture the royal cafe alex in kostyantynivka by march 31 2027	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5f3e13…
10-03 08:51:24	Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0xb579e9…
10-03 08:24:56	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xbfb63a…
10-02 18:54:02	will russia invade another country by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x0a3666…
10-01 22:36:08	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x8f9a89…
10-01 22:36:08	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8f9a89…
10-01 15:38:53	Will "Verity" score at least 46 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xc3bbb0…
10-01 10:29:39	will verity score at least 46 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x0ac001…
10-01 10:15:14	will verity score at least 46 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x1d52e8…
10-01 05:52:48	will russia enter havrylivka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x91db3a…
10-01 05:52:48	will russia enter havrylivka by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x91db3a…
10-01 04:43:41	will russia enter havrylivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xafddcc…
10-01 00:55:12	will verity score at least 46 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6b1af0…
06-12 13:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfd5a0b…
06-12 13:14:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaaa254…
06-12 13:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x954811…
06-12 12:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf9305e…
06-12 10:58:09	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x240470…
06-12 08:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1cbccf…
06-11 07:02:12	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4ab821…
06-11 06:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xea8da9…
06-11 03:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd5843c…
06-11 03:18:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb8e97a…
06-11 02:38:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x11af38…
06-11 02:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdc2930…
06-11 01:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xec5540…
06-11 00:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x83d6a0…
06-11 00:54:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6ff427…
06-11 00:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x5cfc5f…
06-11 00:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x09766c…
06-10 23:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd9d8c7…
06-10 23:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8afec2…
06-10 22:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x5b65d4…
06-10 22:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa40bd4…
06-10 22:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbb934b…
06-10 22:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x55c82b…
06-10 22:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6f828e…
06-10 22:13:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xfa9488…
06-10 21:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb5934e…
05-31 14:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x06e657…
05-28 21:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9649c6…
05-28 21:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa05882…