Likable-Light — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

752

Trades

2,007

lifetime

Volume

$82.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-17 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% -$5,128

Other

1% 29% +$2

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 7pm et	8	$1.0K	979	973	+6	Up	+$676	03-17 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:00 UTC	24	$793	609	602	+7	Down	+$310	03-22 21:04
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 10pm et	6	$777	4,231	4,213	+18	Up	-$455	03-18 02:43
bitcoin up or down january 1 10pm et	6	$716	1,536	0	+1,536	Up	-$716	01-02 03:08
bitcoin up or down january 2 12am et	3	$713	478	478	+0	Up	+$243	01-02 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:50 UTC	2	$679	1,000	985	+15	Down	-$377	03-18 02:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-17 08:00 UTC	3	$664	683	673	+10	Down	+$74	03-17 09:46
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 15	6	$661	606	605	+1	Yes	+$549	03-16 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:50 UTC	5	$612	868	528	+340	Down	+$199	03-20 09:54
bitcoin up or down january 1 8pm et	5	$612	400	400	+0	Down	+$188	01-02 02:52
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 12am et	3	$589	416	410	+6	Down	+$196	03-18 04:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:55 UTC	24	$565	501	376	+126	Up	+$36	03-22 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 13:45 UTC	10	$560	426	419	+7	Down	+$167	03-27 13:51
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 6am et	6	$555	944	935	+10	Up	-$140	03-20 10:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 17	5	$539	536	535	+1	No	+$23	03-17 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:55 UTC	2	$539	359	354	+5	Down	+$144	03-18 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 09:30 UTC	2	$536	397	391	+6	Down	+$143	03-17 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:50 UTC	2	$529	841	828	+13	Up	-$271	03-27 14:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 23:45 UTC	5	$529	1,176	512	+665	Down	+$754	03-17 23:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-18 00:00 UTC	20	$507	2,346	450	+1,896	Up	-$408	03-18 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 09:45 UTC	2	$504	320	316	+4	Down	+$62	03-20 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:40 UTC	13	$500	340	336	+4	Down	+$149	03-22 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:45 UTC	3	$496	837	206	+631	Up	-$304	03-27 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:25 UTC	6	$484	766	473	+293	Down	-$9	03-27 14:27
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 16	4	$482	481	479	+2	Yes	+$334	03-17 01:15
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 8pm et	2	$476	654	643	+10	Down	-$124	03-18 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 05:05 UTC	11	$452	510	509	+1	Down	+$138	03-15 05:09
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 6pm et	6	$449	1,008	1,003	+5	Up	+$112	03-15 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:40 UTC	3	$440	677	666	+10	Up	-$160	03-18 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 04:55 UTC	10	$430	437	334	+103	Up	+$147	03-15 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 10:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x929420…
05-17 04:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9b8b44…
05-17 04:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	114	53¢	$60	0x3202e8…
05-17 04:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x117a6a…
05-17 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xce6808…
05-17 04:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x025a16…
05-17 04:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x3ce52c…
05-17 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x34ca3f…
05-17 04:04:19	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	18	47¢	$9	0x148c37…
05-17 04:04:13	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x704d02…
05-17 04:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	53	42¢	$22	0x7899bf…
05-17 04:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0xb65e4b…
05-17 04:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	349	8¢	$26	0x789604…
05-17 04:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x34bfdf…
05-17 04:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x4452f7…
05-17 03:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0x671502…
05-17 03:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	156	11¢	$17	0x17aac6…
05-17 03:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xd74511…
05-17 03:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc92833…
05-17 03:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4a0adc…
05-17 03:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5ddd59…
05-17 03:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x328655…
05-17 03:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x197209…
05-17 03:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	840	1¢	$10	0xf51b7d…
05-17 03:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x3cfdd8…
05-17 03:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x829661…
05-17 03:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xfdec32…
05-17 03:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0x07e6fd…
05-17 03:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x47c907…
05-17 03:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0xbe8808…
05-17 03:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xef4d7e…
05-17 03:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	48	44¢	$21	0x9ae309…
05-17 03:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xf3963a…
05-17 03:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x2ca14e…
05-17 03:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x696e4d…
05-17 03:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x4b7064…
05-17 03:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe6383c…
05-17 02:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x6884a8…
05-17 02:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xaaa394…
05-17 02:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xb7e8ec…
05-17 02:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x66e382…
05-17 02:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x958a13…
05-17 02:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf9e2d9…
05-17 02:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0xa7f219…
05-17 02:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x7a77fc…
05-17 02:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x5b98b3…
05-17 02:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xdcea46…
05-17 02:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x1555ac…
05-17 02:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	62	15¢	$10	0xfec910…
05-17 02:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x7baf89…
05-17 02:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xf940b5…
05-17 02:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	104	57¢	$59	0x5f6a3d…
05-17 02:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x2b5bd5…
05-17 02:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x43a95f…
05-17 02:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	219	3¢	$6	0x47bcab…
05-17 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa1a7f9…
05-17 02:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xaf7a05…
05-17 02:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x087bed…
05-17 02:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x601d35…
05-17 02:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf60b60…
05-17 01:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	79	91¢	$72	0xba346d…
05-17 01:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	129	66¢	$86	0x020bf0…
05-17 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbd5d10…
05-17 01:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf6325a…
05-17 01:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	74	48¢	$35	0x55c49a…
05-17 01:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x72c0f3…
05-17 01:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	386	18¢	$69	0xcb04eb…
05-17 01:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0x100210…
05-17 01:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xaa1bfa…
05-17 01:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	46	39¢	$18	0xe2593e…
05-17 01:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x14ae69…
05-17 01:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x67c4e9…
05-17 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf98b1f…
05-17 01:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x1764ee…
05-17 01:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	205	92¢	$188	0x9c8ab8…
05-17 01:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	166	99¢	$164	0xf76e06…
05-17 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x45672c…
05-17 01:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x5b5db4…
05-17 01:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x15f578…
05-17 01:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x9f217e…
05-17 01:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	59¢	$22	0x92b770…
05-17 01:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	98	87¢	$85	0xdce64f…
05-17 01:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0xda227e…
05-17 01:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xfaec2b…
05-17 01:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1bec2f…
05-17 01:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x6aecb4…
05-17 01:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xbb9c3b…
05-17 01:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xa8569e…
05-17 01:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xddce52…
05-17 00:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0x7546a7…
05-17 00:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xf88463…
05-17 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	116	34¢	$40	0x195022…
05-17 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x6432a1…
05-17 00:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xb436e4…
05-17 00:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbe5c84…
05-17 00:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x24bbf9…
05-16 16:13:42	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x34bdea…
05-16 16:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xd9cfcd…
05-16 16:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x47dd47…
05-16 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x2b5474…