Gray-Hero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

176

Trades

474

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-17 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

84% 64% +$61

Crypto

9% 43% -$68

Politics

5% 25% -$4

Sports

1% 67% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA VI released before June 2026?	5	$143	3,816	3,816	+0	No	-$7	04-09 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 27?	2	$96	71	70	+1	Yes	-$4	04-26 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	5	$84	94	94	+0	Down	-$9	05-15 01:49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$67	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	05-12 11:03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	2	$62	74	74	+0	No	-$12	05-17 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	5	$55	25	44	-18	No	+$11	04-25 14:12
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$49	46	46	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 06:01
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$49	51	51	+0	Yes	-$3	05-14 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	6	$47	44	45	-0	Yes	+$3	04-25 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	7	$45	35	34	+0	No	+$13	04-28 04:53
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$45	48	48	+0	No	-$3	05-14 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	3	$43	46	46	+0	Yes	-$3	05-15 15:02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$42	49	49	+0	No	-$7	05-15 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	5	$40	28	28	+0	No	+$12	05-12 05:54
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$38	48	48	+0	No	-$8	05-14 17:11
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$38	46	46	+0	No	-$9	05-14 23:41
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$34	29	29	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 11:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	2	$33	22	22	+0	No	+$11	05-11 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?	2	$33	22	22	+0	No	+$11	05-09 04:10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$32	33	33	+0	No	$0	05-14 00:28
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	6	$31	21	21	+0	No	+$10	05-11 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$10	05-08 00:45
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	2	$30	21	21	+0	Yes	+$9	05-11 16:02
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$29	28	28	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	4	$29	19	19	+0	No	+$9	05-07 05:09
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 5?	2	$28	18	18	+0	No	+$9	05-05 06:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	2	$28	19	19	+0	Yes	+$9	05-04 15:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 14:53:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	SELL	74	34¢	$25	0xde6d67…
05-17 00:26:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	74	50¢	$37	0x2c76e1…
05-15 15:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	46	43¢	$20	0x4f2bd8…
05-15 04:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x6fd78c…
05-15 03:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x095554…
05-15 02:29:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	35¢	$17	0x503e7b…
05-15 01:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0xebb655…
05-15 01:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x9722c2…
05-15 01:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3341f6…
05-15 01:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x410e75…
05-15 00:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xc3649a…
05-15 00:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0be65b…
05-15 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x3f5faf…
05-14 23:41:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0xd04129…
05-14 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0xa6b30e…
05-14 17:11:46	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x95c622…
05-14 16:32:11	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xc783b6…
05-14 14:43:57	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x8fd279…
05-14 12:48:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0x1e05b0…
05-14 12:48:13	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x440b02…
05-14 07:50:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xca23a5…
05-14 04:08:22	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	51	44¢	$23	0x254ecf…
05-14 02:49:08	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x5708bb…
05-14 02:29:51	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8ce6d2…
05-14 00:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	33	49¢	$16	0x9529ca…
05-14 00:09:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x5ecff9…
05-14 00:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x094c64…
05-14 00:03:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5d1c7a…
05-12 11:03:32	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xfda89a…
05-12 11:02:48	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	29	67¢	$20	0x224e31…
05-12 11:01:22	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x214726…
05-12 05:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x0a1a0c…
05-12 05:54:27	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0x34e145…
05-12 00:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3ee9e8…
05-12 00:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x21d2ec…
05-11 23:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x69d762…
05-11 23:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaa6cc7…
05-11 23:21:55	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x149ead…
05-11 23:05:23	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0xa967e2…
05-11 23:01:57	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x67d0ac…
05-11 20:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc10434…
05-11 18:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc68516…
05-11 18:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd06658…
05-11 16:02:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xa21683…
05-11 16:00:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6d80b9…
05-11 03:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x171e6f…
05-11 00:54:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x3c2724…
05-10 23:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xaecc7a…
05-10 18:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x113626…
05-10 17:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x638a45…
05-10 17:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x333154…
05-10 14:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x4aa58a…
05-10 14:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xffee41…
05-10 14:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x71099f…
05-10 14:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x125b67…
05-10 13:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 11?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x74d61d…
05-10 12:51:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x356ce6…
05-09 05:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	No	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x024bb5…
05-09 04:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x41cd28…
05-09 00:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x5c22fc…
05-09 00:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xafe368…
05-08 23:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x2d2af1…
05-08 23:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?	No	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x724d46…
05-08 22:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x6b5355…
05-08 22:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 9?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x1000a1…
05-08 14:59:10	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x8388bb…
05-08 12:02:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbfec04…
05-08 08:17:27	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0x6258fe…
05-08 07:43:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcceba6…
05-08 07:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2f6faa…
05-08 06:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?	No	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x8d9e46…
05-08 06:27:28	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x42c6e5…
05-08 05:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb4e04d…
05-08 00:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x05a7d1…
05-07 23:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x99b6b4…
05-07 23:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$13	0x25c556…
05-07 23:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x44d31a…
05-07 23:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa9600c…
05-07 22:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb1da4f…
05-07 22:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xa81807…
05-07 22:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2b793b…
05-07 15:47:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0xc6c340…
05-07 15:46:50	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x158e3f…
05-07 05:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9895de…
05-07 04:09:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xa0cdf8…
05-07 00:14:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x301e4b…
05-06 23:23:01	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x2d56cc…
05-06 23:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x88afaf…
05-06 23:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x74a17f…
05-06 23:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1feb8d…
05-06 22:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 7?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x77331c…
05-06 22:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe27156…
05-06 14:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xb639d4…
05-06 14:30:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xd468bd…
05-06 05:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xb59b46…
05-06 05:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb40959…
05-05 23:45:00	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x4315aa…
05-05 22:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa2c301…
05-05 22:14:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x8ea27e…
05-05 22:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x427dcd…