Gray-Hero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

Trades

377

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-15 02:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

78% 86% +$29

Crypto

14% 0% $-2

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA VI released before June 2026?	5	$143	3,816	3,816	+0	open	—	04-09 06:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 27?	2	$96	71	70	+1	open	—	04-26 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	5	$84	94	94	+0	open	—	05-15 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	5	$55	25	44	-18	open	—	04-25 14:12
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$49	46	46	+0	Yes	$-1	04-10 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	6	$47	44	45	-0	open	—	04-25 00:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	7	$45	35	34	+0	open	—	04-28 04:53
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$45	48	48	+0	open	—	05-14 12:48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$42	49	49	+0	open	—	05-15 02:29
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$38	48	48	+0	open	—	05-14 17:11
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$38	46	46	+0	open	—	05-14 23:41
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$34	29	29	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 11:02
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 11:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	2	$30	21	21	+0	Yes	+$9	05-11 16:02
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$29	28	28	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 05:54
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 15:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	3	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	3	$27	60	60	+0	open	—	05-15 01:48
bol1 bol idp 2026 04 21 draw	15	$25	19	9	+10	open	—	04-21 16:30
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-24 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?	4	$23	18	18	+0	open	—	04-27 01:35
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$23	33	33	+0	open	—	05-08 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$21	20	20	+1	open	—	04-26 09:11
highest temperature in manila on april 24 2026 36c	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	04-23 20:27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	4	$20	34	44	-10	open	—	04-25 14:16
mex leo ame 2026 04 21 leo	9	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 05:48
mex pum jua 2026 04 21 draw	9	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-22 05:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 15c	3	$17	16	16	+0	open	—	04-24 01:02
mex que caz 2026 04 21 que	10	$17	13	9	+4	open	—	04-21 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 02:29:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	35¢	$17	0x503e7b…
05-15 01:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0xebb655…
05-15 01:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x9722c2…
05-15 01:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3341f6…
05-15 01:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x410e75…
05-15 00:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xc3649a…
05-15 00:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0be65b…
05-15 00:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x3f5faf…
05-14 23:41:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0xd04129…
05-14 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0xa6b30e…
05-14 17:11:46	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x95c622…
05-14 16:32:11	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0xc783b6…
05-14 14:43:57	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x8fd279…
05-14 12:48:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0x1e05b0…
05-14 12:48:13	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x440b02…
05-14 07:50:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xca23a5…
05-12 11:02:48	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	29	67¢	$20	0x224e31…
05-12 11:01:22	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x214726…
05-12 05:54:27	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0x34e145…
05-11 23:21:55	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x149ead…
05-11 23:05:23	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0xa967e2…
05-11 23:01:57	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x67d0ac…
05-11 20:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc10434…
05-11 16:02:21	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xa21683…
05-11 00:54:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x3c2724…
05-08 14:59:10	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x8388bb…
05-08 12:02:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbfec04…
05-08 08:17:27	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0x6258fe…
05-08 07:43:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcceba6…
05-08 06:27:28	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x42c6e5…
05-07 15:46:50	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	19	97¢	$19	0x158e3f…
05-06 23:23:01	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x2d56cc…
05-06 14:30:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xd468bd…
05-05 22:14:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x8ea27e…
04-29 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc6e685…
04-28 07:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb07160…
04-28 04:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x7c2079…
04-28 04:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xcb3a1b…
04-27 13:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x411311…
04-27 13:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8845b6…
04-27 08:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x70e4c2…
04-27 01:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0xac61e6…
04-26 23:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xaf5258…
04-26 23:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc71c3d…
04-26 23:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x1bcaa0…
04-26 23:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x44de1a…
04-26 23:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x64aa03…
04-26 23:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb84d17…
04-26 23:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x7fd48d…
04-26 23:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae7720…
04-26 23:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8c8838…
04-26 23:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75c98c…
04-26 21:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x065255…
04-26 20:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9be0fc…
04-26 20:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xebdceb…
04-26 20:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x13e314…
04-26 19:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8e263d…
04-26 19:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8987e4…
04-26 19:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x96e31c…
04-26 18:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2c7e33…
04-26 09:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xbad036…
04-26 09:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 27?	No	SELL	70	66¢	$46	0x3735d4…
04-26 09:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 27?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xa9c1cc…
04-26 09:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x1a455e…
04-26 09:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa2ebee…
04-26 09:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x75ed11…
04-26 09:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x01bd5e…
04-26 09:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe6934d…
04-26 09:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x6ca9f9…
04-26 09:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdc6b70…
04-26 09:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x722cae…
04-26 09:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9f62f0…
04-26 08:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xb3107b…
04-26 08:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc817c9…
04-26 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0xaf871e…
04-26 08:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbdf64f…
04-26 08:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe6b676…
04-26 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc527d7…
04-26 08:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa8aab3…
04-26 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x706f51…
04-26 08:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x15cfc5…
04-26 08:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x51783c…
04-26 08:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xcf44ef…
04-26 08:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xeffe0a…
04-26 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x88a2c6…
04-26 08:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x844e27…
04-25 14:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0xc7d31a…
04-25 14:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3077f1…
04-25 10:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xe93e39…
04-25 08:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xa0c926…
04-25 06:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x98ad9e…
04-25 06:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdbde72…
04-25 05:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9fc6f8…
04-25 00:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	No	SELL	45	56¢	$25	0xb59439…
04-24 23:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xf35349…
04-24 23:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x952e4d…
04-24 23:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a8c6a…
04-24 23:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x7ff62b…
04-24 23:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xec6d8a…
04-24 23:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5574ed…