(anonymous) 0x280257…ad6f1e Create alert
hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$8.52K
Unrealized P&L
-$425
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
241
Trades
971
lifetime
Volume
$98.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$13.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-13 22:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
61% 32% +$9,074
Other
34% 58% -$863
Sports
5% 80% +$312
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5,043 -$4,488 97¢ $-4914 -$426 10-30 10:17
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +3,272 $2,613 90¢ $3.0K +$348 11-13 10:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -2,319 -$1,628 98¢ $-2263 -$634 06-28 19:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,195 $1,529 92¢ $2.0K +$480 11-13 10:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +259 $200 79¢ $205 +$5 11-09 17:06
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -4,605 -$134 4¢ $-205 -$71 10-27 14:19
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -711 -$26 15¢ $-109 -$84 10-27 12:02
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? No +232 $102 46¢ $107 +$5 11-06 15:29
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? No +182 $101 58¢ $107 +$5 11-05 01:01
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +317 $101 34¢ $106 +$5 11-06 15:31
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by December 31, 2026? No +132 $100 65¢ $86 -$14 11-13 12:13
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Alexander Zverev +72 $50 68¢ $50 $0 11-13 09:21
ATP World Tour Finals, Ivan Lendl Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe Carlos Alcaraz +56 $50 88¢ $49 -$1 11-13 09:34
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? No +53 $50 91¢ $48 -$2 11-13 12:01
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +68 $50 68¢ $46 -$4 11-09 17:05
Will Norway win on 2026-11-14? Yes +39 $31 80¢ $31 $0 11-12 17:58
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,042 $18 1¢ $-14 -$32 10-27 14:19
Bulls vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 11-12 22:53
Rams vs. Cardinals Rams +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 11-10 10:03
Spurs vs. Jazz Spurs +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 11-12 22:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $0 11-13 11:55
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? Yes +14 $10 68¢ $10 $0 11-13 11:57
Bills vs. Jets Bills +12 $10 80¢ $10 $0 11-10 10:05
49ers vs. Cowboys 49ers +15 $10 66¢ $10 $0 11-10 10:03
Mavericks vs. Celtics Celtics +12 $10 82¢ $10 $0 11-12 22:56
Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 58¢ $9 -$1 11-13 11:55
Next Russia-Ukraine-EU Trilateral Diplomatic Meeting by November 30, 2026? No +11 $10 80¢ $9 -$1 11-13 12:04
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? Yes +12 $10 67¢ $8 -$2 11-13 12:09
Will Norway vs. Wales end in a draw? Yes +38 $5 14¢ $5 +$0 11-12 17:58
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 11-13 11:51