Similar-Initialise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,478

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-19 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 54% $-1

Other

3% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 190 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	29	$45	32	32	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 14:52
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	22	$42	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 09:45
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 8am et	24	$42	34	33	+1	open	—	04-23 12:50
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	20	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	04-23 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	15	$39	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5AM ET	14	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 09:50
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 9am et	18	$32	27	26	+1	open	—	04-23 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET	13	$32	22	20	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET	14	$31	26	26	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 22:30
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	16	$30	21	20	+0	open	—	04-23 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2AM ET	13	$29	23	23	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 06:26
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 7am et	16	$28	23	23	+1	open	—	04-23 11:48
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	16	$28	43	41	+2	open	—	04-23 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11PM ET	8	$27	20	19	+0	open	—	04-27 03:36
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 2pm et	16	$26	40	38	+2	open	—	04-23 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9PM ET	6	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-27 01:47
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 2pm et	10	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5PM ET	6	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-26 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6PM ET	6	$17	12	11	+0	open	—	04-26 22:29
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10pm et	8	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:51
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	8	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 03:22
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4pm et	8	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	8	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 14:31
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 3pm et	8	$15	21	20	+1	open	—	04-23 19:33
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	8	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET	6	$14	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	8	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET	4	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-27 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET	6	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2AM ET	6	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 04:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xd88496…
05-19 04:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd85f6d…
05-19 03:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xab3a2e…
05-19 03:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x94a230…
05-19 03:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x0bd4c0…
05-19 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x05bf3e…
05-19 02:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x880503…
05-19 02:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc9bed3…
05-19 02:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x223b88…
05-19 02:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd25d98…
05-19 01:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xef0642…
05-19 01:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6cfe5b…
05-19 01:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x62d618…
05-19 01:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9b2436…
05-19 00:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xe7ef04…
05-19 00:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x009ad8…
05-19 00:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x1882fa…
05-19 00:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x430dc0…
05-18 23:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x056e2b…
05-18 23:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x1f2b66…
05-18 23:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x31f9c7…
05-18 23:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x17197d…
05-18 22:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xa11b95…
05-18 22:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x906376…
05-18 22:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xa4be86…
05-18 22:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x275163…
05-18 21:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xabf6c9…
05-18 21:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5e3e23…
05-18 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x27ca8e…
05-18 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0x9efaee…
05-18 20:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x7a9dcd…
05-18 20:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfec188…
05-18 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x73d157…
05-18 20:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe88abf…
05-18 03:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x36c125…
05-18 03:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9c7d87…
05-18 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xead2cc…
05-18 02:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7516f2…
05-18 02:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x631821…
05-18 02:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x740fa1…
05-18 01:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x72bc8c…
05-18 01:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa682af…
05-18 01:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x0255ad…
05-18 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb9181a…
05-18 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x795670…
05-18 00:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x3bb1f5…
05-18 00:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x64679c…
05-18 00:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xe9df61…
05-17 23:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x38ac00…
05-17 23:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9f0e31…
05-17 23:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xea8311…
05-17 23:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3428d0…
05-17 22:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xccfe47…
05-17 22:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xbca917…
05-17 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x3ec8c2…
05-17 22:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x4c25a7…
05-17 21:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xbe6fbb…
05-17 21:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbab34e…
05-14 19:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x08e6c8…
05-14 19:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6a48d3…
05-14 18:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x4d8521…
05-14 18:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf10120…
05-14 18:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x3250a7…
05-14 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0xa2ef2e…
05-14 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5f937b…
05-14 17:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb82a8b…
05-14 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x62d68f…
05-14 16:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x309393…
05-14 16:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xdc53a1…
05-14 16:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbf6abb…
05-14 13:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x3641f2…
05-14 13:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc7b37e…
05-14 13:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x18ee21…
05-14 13:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x478ede…
05-14 03:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x45a57b…
05-14 03:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x977b9f…
05-14 03:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x7836ea…
05-14 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb2e1b8…
05-14 01:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xa51b89…
05-14 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x590537…
05-13 19:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x92202f…
05-13 19:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb90cbe…
05-13 19:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4aba39…
05-13 19:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0a0358…
05-13 17:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4b83c6…
05-13 17:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc91d3d…
05-13 16:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x5eb8a4…
05-13 16:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x895b4e…
05-13 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2ce8d8…
05-13 12:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x766ed3…
05-13 12:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xe33cc3…
05-13 12:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1b354a…
05-13 04:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x5811ce…
05-13 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf403ee…
05-13 04:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x244ae6…
05-13 04:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1f287e…
05-12 21:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x0911eb…
05-12 21:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xec5db8…
05-12 14:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xcba87d…
05-12 14:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8b141d…