Mundane-Precision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$1.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Crypto

43% 20% $-17

Politics

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+231	$30	11¢	$24	$-6	07-01 21:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	4	$183	198	164	+33	open	—	03-22 19:06
cs2 mouz vit 2026 02 16	3	$139	82	82	+0	open	—	02-16 18:52
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	05-01 12:40
btc updown 5m 1773068400	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	03-09 15:05
cs2 g2 pain 2026 02 16	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	02-16 18:52
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$41	34	34	+0	open	—	02-20 17:54
btc updown 5m 1771453500	4	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	02-18 22:29
btc updown 5m 1773067800	4	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	03-09 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$30	21	11	+10	open	—	04-30 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$30	25	11	+14	open	—	04-30 21:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$30	231	0	+231	open	—	07-01 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$25	321	0	+321	open	—	05-21 21:30
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	06-19 19:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$24	116	0	+116	open	—	01-25 21:30
cs2 furia pain 2026 03 09	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-09 19:58
spx up or down on january 12 2026	3	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	01-12 20:33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$20	19	7	+12	open	—	04-30 21:54
cs2 vit 9z 2026 03 19	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	03-09 19:58
will the mongolz win blast open rotterdam 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 18:58
aapl up or down on january 12 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-12 21:03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$20	15	14	+0	open	—	03-22 13:43
cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-17 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$20	131	0	+131	Down	$-14	05-08 21:34
cs2 b8 aur1 2026 02 17	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-17 13:17
cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 20	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	02-18 22:08
ma quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 29 2026 4pt24	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-29 14:47
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	2	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	01-29 14:47
btc updown 4h 1768237200	4	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	01-12 20:25
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 0pt55	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	01-14 19:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:12:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xfcc663…
06-19 19:11:10	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x0b427c…
05-21 21:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	321	8¢	$25	0x2a118c…
05-12 19:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x391bba…
05-12 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xeb79e1…
05-12 19:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc78681…
05-12 18:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb0a6f4…
05-08 21:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x77c6f0…
05-08 21:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xe736e0…
05-08 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x81b0cc…
05-08 21:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x65d7ff…
05-01 12:40:54	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	60	93¢	$55	0xa89eb2…
04-30 21:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2511de…
04-30 21:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x7ad96a…
04-30 21:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1d345b…
04-30 21:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5c1e6c…
04-30 21:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9a4f76…
04-30 21:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x084a0e…
04-30 21:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xffbf54…
04-30 21:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5b6a67…
04-30 21:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x5510d4…
04-30 21:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x835ce9…
04-30 21:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x491d3e…
04-30 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa0227a…
04-30 21:27:34	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x880186…
04-30 21:25:36	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7a23f3…
04-30 17:11:28	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x11af91…
04-30 17:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf817bd…
04-30 17:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x862f7a…
04-30 17:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x51e932…
04-30 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf3d999…
04-30 17:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x143eb2…
04-30 17:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7ade16…
03-22 19:06:31	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x3bd89d…
03-22 13:44:17	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	SELL	164	57¢	$93	0x1d16b0…
03-22 13:43:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x08ee70…
03-20 18:59:55	btc updown 5m 1774032900	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9309cd…
03-20 18:58:21	will the mongolz win blast open rotterdam 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc028df…
03-09 19:58:15	cs2 vit 9z 2026 03 19	Vitality	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xf919f2…
03-09 19:58:05	cs2 furia pain 2026 03 09	FURIA	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe7bb5b…
03-09 15:05:01	btc updown 5m 1773068400	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf0cad4…
03-09 15:03:43	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xac3959…
03-09 14:58:23	will natus vincere win blast open rotterdam 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb655eb…
03-09 14:57:57	will the mongolz win blast open rotterdam 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc5df7a…
03-09 14:57:45	will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	Yes	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0xab412b…
03-09 14:56:19	cs2 vit 9z 2026 03 19	Vitality	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xcaa399…
03-09 14:54:57	btc updown 5m 1773067800	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x40d327…
03-09 14:54:49	btc updown 5m 1773067800	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x32af14…
03-09 14:54:45	btc updown 5m 1773067800	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x51a9c6…
03-09 14:54:41	btc updown 5m 1773067800	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb457cb…
03-09 14:53:59	cs2 furia pain 2026 03 09	FURIA	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe47db0…
03-09 14:50:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x372742…
02-20 17:54:30	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0xd46cf4…
02-18 22:29:54	btc updown 5m 1771453500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x54977d…
02-18 22:29:34	btc updown 5m 1771453500	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1417aa…
02-18 22:29:22	btc updown 5m 1771453500	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd6cde4…
02-18 22:29:12	btc updown 5m 1771453500	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5bb367…
02-18 22:09:50	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 18	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3b68ca…
02-18 22:08:18	cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 20	Vitality	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xfa140d…
02-17 13:17:33	cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	Natus Vincere	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xd8bccf…
02-17 13:17:09	cs2 b8 aur1 2026 02 17	Aurora Gaming	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x731aef…
02-17 13:16:23	will team vitality win pgl cluj napoca 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x03637e…
02-16 18:52:23	cs2 g2 pain 2026 02 16	G2	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc66189…
02-16 18:52:19	cs2 mouz vit 2026 02 16	Vitality	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xb95c19…
02-16 14:24:25	btc updown 5m 1771251600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8bc519…
02-16 14:23:13	btc updown 5m 1771251600	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x98c234…
02-16 14:21:07	cs2 ill vpp 2026 02 16	VP.Prodigy	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xeccfb1…
02-16 14:15:05	cs2 mouz vit 2026 02 16	Vitality	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xb38865…
02-16 14:14:31	cs2 g2 pain 2026 02 16	G2	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x79b123…
02-16 14:13:07	cs2 mouz vit 2026 02 16	Vitality	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x5805f0…
02-03 22:24:18	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 2pt64	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x20770c…
02-03 22:23:10	foxa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 03 2026 0pt51	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xccf489…
02-03 19:24:42	cs2 fal2 mouz 2026 02 03	Team Falcons	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x13988f…
02-01 15:59:26	pltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 02 2026 0pt23	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd61b33…
01-29 14:47:54	ma quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 29 2026 4pt24	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1fa778…
01-29 14:47:50	will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x45d259…
01-29 14:47:42	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	Yes	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0xa3a705…
01-28 22:50:36	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xe43eca…
01-28 22:48:02	will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa3ffa8…
01-28 22:46:42	ma quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 29 2026 4pt24	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7d16b2…
01-25 21:33:28	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x654f40…
01-25 21:30:38	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x6407b9…
01-23 07:58:46	solana up or down january 23 2am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x716668…
01-23 05:58:48	solana up or down january 23 12am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc31d71…
01-23 04:34:08	solana up or down january 22 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55b068…
01-23 02:58:16	bitcoin up or down january 22 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6376b…
01-22 23:12:20	solana up or down january 22 5pm et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7d1415…
01-22 22:59:28	solana up or down january 22 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf24d9d…
01-22 21:03:24	bitcoin up or down january 22 3pm et	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa3629c…
01-22 20:59:30	bitcoin up or down january 22 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3bd05e…
01-20 04:59:18	xrp up or down january 19 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9a332b…
01-19 01:59:28	bitcoin up or down january 18 8pm et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7a54c…
01-18 23:22:34	xrp up or down january 18 5pm et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x87e391…
01-18 22:59:18	xrp up or down january 18 5pm et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1de0ee…
01-18 17:47:44	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x9e3bc1…
01-16 22:44:06	xrp updown 15m 1768602600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a97e5…
01-16 22:44:04	btc updown 15m 1768602600	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x555f85…
01-16 22:29:06	xrp updown 15m 1768601700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd12a66…
01-16 06:29:04	sol updown 15m 1768544100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6f9738…
01-16 05:29:02	btc updown 15m 1768540500	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x43d002…