Spiffy-Square — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

1,616

Trades

6,893

lifetime

Volume

$34.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-09 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

88% 78% -$7

Sports

8% 36% +$49

Crypto

3% 47% -$155

Politics

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-08 07:07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	10-09 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 15corhigher	87	$906	460	460	+0	No	-$6	03-20 07:38
nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	411	$765	875	566	+310	Utah	+$69	04-08 03:22
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 17c	58	$575	290	290	+0	No	+$5	03-20 11:51
highest temperature in wellington on march 12 2026 16c	58	$572	293	293	+0	No	+$2	03-11 12:32
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	9	$477	259	259	+0	No	+$25	03-11 05:09
highest temperature in dallas on march 13 2026 72 73f	42	$464	239	239	+0	No	-$2	03-13 07:45
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 86 87f	47	$454	234	234	+0	No	+$4	03-13 00:32
highest temperature in dallas on march 15 2026 88 89f	41	$427	216	216	+0	No	+$1	03-15 23:34
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 16c	42	$416	212	212	+0	No	+$6	03-15 07:54
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 15c	42	$408	207	207	+0	No	-$2	03-20 07:54
highest temperature in nyc on march 12 2026 58 59f	41	$400	202	202	+0	No	$0	03-12 17:41
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	209	$377	444	440	+4	Oilers	-$74	04-09 03:34
nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	109	$363	245	245	+0	Sabres	+$127	04-07 03:43
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 32c	37	$357	184	184	+0	No	-$3	03-13 18:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 34c	28	$321	166	166	+0	No	+$9	03-16 17:08
highest temperature in dallas on march 14 2026 88 89f	30	$294	149	149	+0	No	+$4	03-15 02:44
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 27c	29	$274	140	140	+0	No	+$4	03-19 23:31
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 88 89f	18	$272	138	138	+0	No	+$2	03-13 00:32
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 20c	28	$265	135	135	+0	No	-$2	03-19 07:59
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 19c	26	$252	129	129	+0	No	+$2	03-19 07:47
highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 9c	20	$250	129	129	+0	No	+$2	03-15 10:31
highest temperature in seoul on february 28 2026 12c	12	$244	245	0	+245	Yes	+$1	02-28 09:09
highest temperature in wellington on march 9 2026 15c	19	$221	137	87	+50	No	-$1	03-08 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 52 53f	23	$220	112	112	+0	No	$0	03-12 07:20
highest temperature in dallas on march 17 2026 72 73f	22	$214	108	108	+0	No	+$2	03-18 00:15
highest temperature in atlanta on march 3 2026 62forhigher	6	$211	108	108	+0	Yes	+$2	03-02 15:50
highest temperature in wellington on march 2 2026 9corbelow	39	$202	205	0	+205	No	+$4	03-01 08:48
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	220	$201	101	101	+1	Down	-$1	04-23 08:32
highest temperature in wellington on march 23 2026 19c	14	$194	99	99	+0	Yes	+$5	03-23 09:29
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 15 2026 28c	9	$192	97	97	+0	No	$0	03-14 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 07:59:03	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc6e2fc…
10-09 07:57:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x93bc65…
10-09 07:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1e0ffd…
10-09 07:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 9?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeb283d…
10-09 07:24:52	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbe5e59…
10-09 07:24:34	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8c45a7…
10-09 07:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xff854c…
10-09 07:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xe8b7ff…
10-09 07:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xafbf79…
10-09 07:24:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0918fb…
10-09 07:23:52	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa48f01…
10-09 07:02:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3fc31a…
10-09 03:04:17	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6615eb…
10-08 08:26:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in October?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1aac8d…
10-08 07:07:46	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf25bae…
10-07 14:52:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed173a…
10-05 19:31:05	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	No	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x6629a7…
10-05 19:02:26	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x637694…
10-05 12:29:08	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0027e3…
10-05 09:02:53	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x46f9db…
10-02 13:30:06	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedbc8e…
10-02 13:21:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd1e724…
10-02 04:04:36	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb46707…
09-28 03:59:56	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef4c7d…
09-27 13:59:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d1443…
09-27 04:24:56	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c70e5…
09-27 02:37:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d81f9…
09-26 10:24:59	Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x201331…
08-30 15:28:12	Will Solana reach $130 in August?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xb76d5c…
08-30 15:27:55	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xe95e63…
08-27 15:21:45	Will Solana reach $130 in August?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x24e88a…
08-27 15:14:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xf0a9b0…
08-26 00:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x97fabc…
08-25 01:04:22	Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x31401a…
08-25 01:01:55	Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x25af31…
08-25 00:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x984886…
08-24 05:36:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0f486f…
08-24 05:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xce1406…
08-24 05:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd38851…
08-24 05:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd5586e…
08-13 22:08:21	wta swiatek rybakin 2026 08 13	Elena Rybakina	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x303772…
08-13 20:54:21	Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe119ee…
08-13 20:51:03	Cincinnati Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Roman Andres Burruchaga	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3383eb…
08-13 20:50:10	Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb34645…
08-13 07:25:09	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x85fd82…
08-13 00:05:36	atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12	Rafael Jodar	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe3aa20…
08-12 19:54:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x46e989…
08-12 19:52:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x961678…
08-12 09:30:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf5ea0f…
08-12 09:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x6d7871…
08-12 09:26:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x2867c3…
08-12 09:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5286a1…
08-11 02:36:04	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xed5af9…
08-11 02:05:06	Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 NL Central title?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x061daf…
08-11 02:01:13	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8a00e1…
08-11 01:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	347	0¢	$1	0xf35e0d…
08-11 01:11:54	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xccac64…
08-11 01:00:36	Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe21308…
08-10 11:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc4e915…
08-10 11:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc99d54…
08-10 11:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfcafe0…
08-10 11:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc18568…
08-10 11:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ddab5…
08-10 11:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3b13af…
08-10 11:15:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbb11c1…
08-10 11:10:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc9bfc0…
08-10 11:10:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x853fdb…
08-10 11:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x722b6a…
08-10 11:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf41aec…
08-10 11:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x34ac61…
08-10 11:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x59bc43…
08-10 10:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa93726…
08-10 10:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x59defe…
08-10 10:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x132c02…
08-10 10:50:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd812d6…
08-10 10:46:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa02b20…
08-10 10:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb0d55e…
08-10 10:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb7c43e…
08-10 10:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x60b6ae…
08-10 10:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x71e7ef…
08-10 10:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9f0bff…
08-10 10:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06abd3…
08-10 10:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdb07eb…
08-10 10:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x50e281…
08-10 10:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf06de3…
08-10 10:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x45ffc4…
08-10 10:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e570d…
08-10 10:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa08dfe…
08-10 10:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcd74dc…
08-10 10:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xef8f2b…
08-10 10:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe4f398…
08-10 10:05:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9f860d…
08-10 10:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x86fbff…
08-10 10:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6322ee…
08-10 10:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x26f0a4…
08-10 09:55:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x61e23c…
08-10 09:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf442db…
08-10 09:50:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7e4c0c…
08-10 09:50:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc42581…
08-10 09:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2cb5d1…