Weird-Footage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$152

Open exposure

$171

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 11-05 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

35% 100% +$25

Other

32% 100% +$28

Tech

18% 100% +$21

Crypto

15% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+73	$70	97¢	$70	+$0	10-05 07:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+59	$57	97¢	$57	+$0	11-05 04:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+46	$44	94¢	$43	-$1	11-05 04:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$409	275	150	+125	Yes	+$14	01-28 11:56
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$347	185	185	+0	No	+$11	02-04 08:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	04-05 15:48
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$280	290	0	+290	No	+$10	03-01 11:42
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$274	278	0	+278	No	+$4	02-04 08:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$256	259	0	+259	No	+$3	05-12 12:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$232	234	0	+234	Yes	+$2	05-25 01:36
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$230	234	0	+234	No	+$4	05-12 13:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$190	192	0	+192	No	+$2	03-25 11:39
will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 4	1	$188	189	0	+189	No	+$1	02-04 08:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	1	$183	185	0	+185	No	+$2	06-22 12:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$180	184	0	+184	Yes	+$4	06-02 05:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$180	183	0	+183	No	+$3	03-01 11:41
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	1	$180	182	0	+182	Yes	+$2	04-05 15:48
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	3	$172	89	89	+0	No	+$2	08-16 15:19
Iran leadership change by June 30?	1	$170	177	0	+177	No	+$7	06-02 05:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$160	162	0	+162	No	+$2	01-28 11:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$144	147	0	+147	No	+$3	06-02 05:13
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	10-05 07:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	07-20 07:15
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-20 15:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	1	$83	84	0	+84	No	+$1	09-15 10:30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	1	$82	83	0	+83	No	+$1	09-15 10:28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$77	78	0	+78	No	+$1	08-05 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$71	72	0	+72	No	+$1	07-20 07:15
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	10-05 07:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$57	59	0	+59	open	—	11-05 04:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	1	$44	46	0	+46	open	—	11-05 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 04:44:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x8fba87…
11-05 04:44:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xd1bc92…
10-05 07:13:40	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdbc628…
10-05 07:12:41	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x1b9d28…
09-15 10:30:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x304004…
09-15 10:28:31	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x05e6e2…
08-20 15:34:15	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2f746d…
08-16 15:19:30	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x25f2ad…
08-10 14:40:33	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x82e330…
08-05 07:11:50	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0x48ee04…
08-05 07:11:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0x98dd49…
07-20 07:15:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x07bf4c…
07-20 07:15:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x7fd2e3…
06-22 12:30:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x6fc2a4…
06-02 05:14:41	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	184	98¢	$180	0xeada87…
06-02 05:14:07	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0xdc51e0…
06-02 05:13:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0x4efc2b…
05-25 01:36:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	234	99¢	$232	0x3f24ac…
05-12 13:03:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	234	98¢	$230	0x3ce93b…
05-12 12:52:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$256	0x5c7536…
04-05 15:48:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x87acd0…
04-05 15:48:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0xbebf30…
03-25 11:39:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0xddf1fd…
03-01 11:42:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	290	97¢	$280	0xe3fb82…
03-01 11:41:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x4a680d…
02-04 08:44:18	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	278	98¢	$274	0xc8d013…
02-04 08:43:34	will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 4	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xd3e4d5…
02-04 08:40:42	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	185	97¢	$179	0x14c066…
01-28 11:56:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	162	98¢	$160	0xb016bf…
01-28 11:56:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0xfb9225…
01-13 14:37:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	275	95¢	$260	0xcaf03a…
01-13 14:34:05	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	185	91¢	$168	0x6eb067…