Obvious-Harmonica — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$152

Unrealized P&L

+$36

Hit rate

31.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

63 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.02K

$2.02K lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$84

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-152

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down		+100	$49	84¢	$84	+$36	05-05 21:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$233	247	+247	open	—	05-05 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	11	$198	509	+509	Down	$-98	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$196	200	+200	open	—	05-05 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$134	136	+136	open	—	05-05 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$114	200	+200	open	—	05-05 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$98	100	+100	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$97	100	+100	Down	+$3	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$91	100	+100	open	—	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$64	100	+100	open	—	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$58	100	+100	open	—	05-05 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$49	100	+100	open	—	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$47	50	+50	open	—	05-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$40	50	+50	open	—	05-05 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$34	50	+50	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$32	41	+41	open	—	05-05 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$32	50	+50	Down	$-32	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$30	50	+50	Up	$-30	05-05 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$30	55	+55	Down	+$25	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$29	31	+31	open	—	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$28	150	+150	open	—	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$19	43	+43	Down	$-19	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$18	50	+50	open	—	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$14	50	+50	open	—	05-05 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$13	22	+22	open	—	05-05 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-05 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x435651…
05-05 21:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xfd89cd…
05-05 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x81dac4…
05-05 20:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x60c0fc…
05-05 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xab38a6…
05-05 19:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe3d4cc…
05-05 19:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x564382…
05-05 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x5e7fc1…
05-05 18:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x20d1c5…
05-05 18:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x192dd8…
05-05 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1306cb…
05-05 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xafb715…
05-05 18:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	41	77¢	$32	0x78b42b…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x53f8b9…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2c4e8f…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xdf5b51…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1846f9…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x2af0f1…
05-05 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1c5105…
05-05 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xda053c…
05-05 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xfc35e9…
05-05 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x01075f…
05-05 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xc76724…
05-05 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7f02ba…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4ba615…
05-05 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x043f0a…
05-05 15:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x14b53f…
05-05 15:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9154aa…
05-05 15:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x509a61…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xc12155…
05-05 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xbf0868…
05-05 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x659c0b…
05-05 13:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xc79007…
05-05 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x829ce1…
05-05 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x36c864…
05-05 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xfda208…
05-05 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xdb574a…
05-05 13:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf5b2c4…
05-05 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x08db0a…
05-05 12:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xa446e0…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xfe2199…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x97ea0c…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x43fbc9…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x953e6b…
05-05 06:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x32a2ec…
05-05 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6140ea…
05-05 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	35¢	$17	0xd9f236…
05-05 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7a55ca…
05-05 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa38cb9…
05-05 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7edd9e…
05-05 05:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xebfa05…
05-05 05:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	35¢	$17	0x2370f4…
05-05 05:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xeeab1e…
05-05 05:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x0f0dbf…
05-05 05:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xca92cd…
05-05 05:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x1a6409…
05-05 04:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xbcc935…
05-05 04:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5a3db6…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xda03a7…
05-05 02:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x7e1c71…
05-05 02:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0xe5a75a…
05-04 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xeb6456…
05-04 23:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa83be4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$3.00K	153	05-05 20:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$7.03K	135	05-05 21:30
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$1.14K	102	05-05 20:13
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	23	$1.44K	137	05-05 21:30
Angry-Suede 0x8692…fbac	23	$565	122	05-05 20:14
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	22	$1.65K	93	05-05 21:30
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	22	$572	66	05-05 21:30
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	22	$526	56	05-05 21:30