Wrong-Neglect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$6.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-26 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

64% 37% -$915

Politics

36% 38% -$200

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$1.6K	3,511	3,511	+0	No	-$428	04-27 04:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	17	$780	692	692	+0	Yes	+$39	04-04 13:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$638	1,651	1,651	+0	No	-$211	03-30 17:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$282	311	311	+0	Yes	+$152	04-08 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?	4	$185	150	150	+0	Yes	+$58	05-26 17:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	7	$173	149	149	+0	No	+$10	05-05 12:22
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	7	$161	1,180	1,180	+0	Yes	-$10	04-14 14:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$159	57,554	0	+57,554	Yes	-$159	03-25 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 5?	3	$133	97	97	+0	Yes	+$59	05-05 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?	3	$128	109	109	+0	Yes	+$78	05-07 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 3?	3	$117	200	200	+0	Yes	-$111	05-03 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 4?	3	$110	67	67	+0	No	+$2	05-03 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?	4	$97	109	109	+0	No	+$9	05-04 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 3?	6	$89	394	394	+0	No	-$84	05-03 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6?	3	$87	49	49	+0	No	+$7	05-06 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	9	$87	403	0	+403	No	-$87	05-06 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 7?	3	$85	50	50	+0	No	+$15	05-07 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?	6	$85	275	0	+275	No	-$85	05-07 08:27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	3	$72	63	63	+0	Yes	+$40	05-04 12:21
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	3	$64	350	128	+222	No	-$36	03-31 13:13
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	2	$60	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 16:16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	7	$60	536	0	+536	No	-$60	05-21 07:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$57	53	53	+0	Yes	-$3	03-26 20:21
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$57	68	68	+0	Yes	-$3	03-26 20:21
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?	3	$54	136	0	+136	No	-$54	05-26 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 3?	2	$54	36	36	+0	No	+$18	05-03 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 21?	3	$50	148	0	+148	No	-$50	05-21 07:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$48	52	52	+0	No	-$6	04-02 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 3?	3	$47	136	136	+0	No	-$33	05-03 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?	2	$46	36	36	+0	Yes	+$26	05-14 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 17:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	144	26¢	$37	0x428898…
05-26 17:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	202	15¢	$30	0x51728c…
05-26 17:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xeba9e7…
05-26 17:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	668	3¢	$20	0x1f9bb2…
05-26 17:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x3ecdca…
05-26 11:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	43	31¢	$14	0x7aed10…
05-26 11:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xe1cba9…
05-26 09:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3bf98a…
05-26 09:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0xeaa287…
05-26 09:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	53	47¢	$25	0x81eb1a…
05-25 15:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xdfcbe9…
05-25 15:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x12a2a3…
05-25 15:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xd6b932…
05-21 07:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x37529b…
05-21 07:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x253f6b…
05-21 07:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xc5e5df…
05-21 07:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x009b8f…
05-21 07:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x535388…
05-21 06:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x596e2f…
05-21 06:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x0aa4d1…
05-21 06:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8cec9e…
05-20 18:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x973990…
05-20 18:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb01b70…
05-20 18:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x495747…
05-20 18:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x79eb8b…
05-20 18:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0xf2bd12…
05-14 12:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x4d5cc9…
05-13 17:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x9a1c21…
05-13 17:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa719b0…
05-13 17:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf67a22…
05-13 16:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4dda07…
05-13 16:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x551745…
05-13 16:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	65	13¢	$9	0x5520f6…
05-07 12:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	109	94¢	$103	0x202723…
05-07 09:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0edade…
05-07 09:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 7?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x109013…
05-07 08:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb293a4…
05-07 08:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x49ab62…
05-07 08:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x65908b…
05-07 07:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0xf4fc17…
05-07 07:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 7?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$11	0x40b829…
05-07 07:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x54d05e…
05-06 20:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x9489c6…
05-06 15:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 7?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb8d3b9…
05-06 15:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	203	2¢	$5	0xfb6740…
05-06 15:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x499c00…
05-06 15:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x254427…
05-06 14:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x612b9b…
05-06 14:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xdda676…
05-06 14:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0xa1bd1d…
05-06 14:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfcbc2c…
05-06 14:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0x5208b1…
05-06 14:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	82	18¢	$15	0x50304d…
05-06 13:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x5b1874…
05-06 12:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6a5f6a…
05-06 12:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf62220…
05-06 12:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xddb0f1…
05-06 12:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 7?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x59a489…
05-06 12:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	131	23¢	$30	0x6e1e0f…
05-06 12:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xca0990…
05-06 12:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?	No	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xca30e2…
05-06 08:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x69ed3c…
05-06 08:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xdbd5ac…
05-06 08:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x79b93c…
05-06 06:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x4fcebe…
05-06 02:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x86a29c…
05-05 18:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xa993d4…
05-05 17:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xa5a3a8…
05-05 16:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf41fc6…
05-05 16:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x2e08bf…
05-05 12:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	46	25¢	$12	0xbf860a…
05-05 12:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x447dde…
05-05 12:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x55a0ef…
05-05 12:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x8afd18…
05-05 12:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x3bc7a4…
05-04 14:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0xb5757f…
05-04 14:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf382d9…
05-04 14:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$31	0x57cf2f…
05-04 14:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	67	38¢	$25	0xc025ad…
05-04 14:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x5008d8…
05-04 14:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	No	SELL	32	57¢	$18	0xec463f…
05-04 14:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9bf4ba…
05-04 14:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x54d8d3…
05-04 12:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xe1d4ca…
05-04 12:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	Yes	SELL	63	89¢	$56	0xf926f4…
05-03 16:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xfd412f…
05-03 16:50:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	139	6¢	$8	0xc8deec…
05-03 15:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd16e8f…
05-03 14:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 3?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0xb84578…
05-03 14:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	394	1¢	$3	0x49a330…
05-03 13:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xac352d…
05-03 13:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 3?	No	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0x115803…
05-03 13:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 3?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x00cfcf…
05-03 09:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe806b9…
05-03 09:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	78	12¢	$10	0x127768…
05-03 09:44:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	17¢	$16	0x109e5a…
05-03 09:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 3?	No	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xf10f3b…
05-03 09:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 4?	No	SELL	26	70¢	$18	0x36a5b1…
05-03 07:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xdb7296…
05-03 07:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 4?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x0f9056…