Grubby-Tale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-19 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% 0% $-1

Other

23% 0% $-0

Crypto

23% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$1.7K	886	886	+0	open	—	03-09 04:26
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$925	473	473	-0	open	—	04-10 13:29
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	6	$845	444	444	+0	open	—	03-09 19:38
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$842	437	437	+0	open	—	03-15 12:52
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$816	424	424	+0	open	—	04-25 02:27
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$815	420	420	+0	open	—	03-14 23:21
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$810	432	432	+0	open	—	03-16 01:53
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$793	407	407	+0	open	—	03-19 19:32
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$784	411	411	+0	open	—	03-20 05:07
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$780	409	409	+0	open	—	03-28 12:44
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$771	399	399	+0	No	$-1	03-25 17:09
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$766	405	405	+0	open	—	03-28 21:41
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$517	272	272	+0	Yes	$-0	04-01 00:42
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$479	252	252	+0	open	—	04-21 17:45
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$430	219	219	+0	open	—	03-12 19:43
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$421	219	219	+0	open	—	03-13 02:14
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$421	217	217	+0	open	—	03-05 00:35
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$419	224	224	+0	open	—	03-13 09:52
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$400	210	210	+0	open	—	03-17 01:03
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$396	206	206	+0	open	—	03-21 23:37
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$389	216	216	+0	open	—	03-18 20:55
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$381	201	201	+0	open	—	03-24 23:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$375	191	191	+0	open	—	03-29 05:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$365	194	194	+0	open	—	03-27 04:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$357	190	189	+0	open	—	04-25 07:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	8	$248	127	127	+0	open	—	03-12 00:35
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$208	110	110	+0	open	—	03-16 10:20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	5	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	04-28 02:14
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$189	97	97	+0	open	—	03-26 10:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$176	97	97	+0	open	—	06-19 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 19:53:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	58	90¢	$52	0x329f5d…
06-19 12:52:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	58	91¢	$52	0xe80bc0…
06-18 03:25:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	91¢	$39	0xfe4452…
06-17 22:20:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0x2920e5…
06-16 19:15:19	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0x3d10d8…
06-16 14:08:41	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xa876d9…
06-16 07:00:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x451eae…
06-16 02:54:46	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x8bda14…
06-15 19:41:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xcd128d…
06-15 12:37:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x6f3763…
06-14 15:16:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x571db7…
06-14 10:08:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x0ebded…
06-13 15:49:06	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xfe3515…
06-13 10:43:15	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd6e9fd…
06-11 18:09:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xec80b1…
06-11 12:06:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$49	0x3e0d86…
06-10 04:58:46	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x213ecc…
06-09 21:50:45	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xee56c5…
06-04 23:42:45	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	92¢	$53	0x9c24a7…
06-04 19:37:30	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	92¢	$53	0x661e98…
06-04 10:27:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xb4c8cb…
06-04 06:26:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	51	96¢	$48	0xc60c06…
06-03 15:03:58	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x656641…
06-03 07:02:49	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc6345e…
06-02 22:54:30	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0xea50ef…
06-02 16:53:27	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x819490…
05-21 06:21:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	64	90¢	$57	0x0d9d77…
05-21 02:17:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0xdc6169…
05-20 09:17:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xa040f5…
05-20 05:14:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x57aa20…
05-15 13:51:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	57	91¢	$52	0x544139…
05-15 08:36:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xe02e8a…
04-28 02:14:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$59	0xf17c78…
04-28 00:28:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0x87238f…
04-28 00:15:02	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xda6046…
04-27 16:11:30	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xddeeee…
04-27 16:02:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xfd05b3…
04-27 11:53:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xa859a3…
04-27 11:51:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x32fde8…
04-25 07:57:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	189	94¢	$178	0xe4b5b3…
04-25 02:54:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0x0c63e3…
04-25 02:27:50	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	187	97¢	$181	0x4a6185…
04-24 19:24:32	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	187	97¢	$181	0x4fd4e9…
04-21 17:45:20	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x70aedb…
04-21 09:16:56	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xaf9782…
04-16 18:59:26	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x3709ea…
04-16 06:48:28	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x45b13b…
04-14 22:07:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x3d7925…
04-14 06:04:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xdbf39f…
04-10 13:29:21	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x96280e…
04-10 03:30:11	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x38c324…
04-01 00:42:53	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	58	95¢	$56	0x9b6c4e…
03-31 18:24:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xfe1e34…
03-29 05:13:32	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	191	98¢	$188	0x7bd3d0…
03-28 22:51:02	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0x675112…
03-28 21:41:48	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	194	95¢	$183	0xe2ba2e…
03-28 13:59:31	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	194	95¢	$184	0x54f157…
03-28 12:44:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	196	98¢	$192	0xa89171…
03-28 05:43:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	196	98¢	$191	0xf006bc…
03-27 19:00:53	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	189	96¢	$182	0x7523df…
03-27 13:00:09	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	189	96¢	$182	0x8bbfb9…
03-27 04:03:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	194	94¢	$182	0x3399a6…
03-26 19:53:19	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	194	94¢	$183	0x1013f9…
03-26 10:06:57	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xc4b6e4…
03-26 02:02:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x91ee09…
03-26 02:01:51	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xc9a82a…
03-26 01:57:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xc0b12a…
03-25 17:09:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	194	97¢	$188	0x344804…
03-25 10:46:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	194	97¢	$188	0x87ecbd…
03-24 23:04:53	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	201	95¢	$191	0xfdd6ad…
03-24 17:53:11	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	201	95¢	$191	0xdc357a…
03-23 06:48:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	98	92¢	$90	0xd7b6b9…
03-23 06:48:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	115	93¢	$106	0x00bece…
03-23 02:12:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x0ccec1…
03-23 01:26:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	205	96¢	$197	0x685f0b…
03-22 16:50:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	205	96¢	$198	0x1b4923…
03-21 23:37:25	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	206	96¢	$197	0xc3f1d3…
03-21 17:22:51	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	145	96¢	$140	0x6c03cb…
03-21 15:12:31	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x74ce09…
03-21 15:06:19	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xc49ab0…
03-21 05:55:43	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	207	95¢	$197	0x47921e…
03-20 22:14:39	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$198	0x6780e2…
03-20 05:07:07	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	210	95¢	$200	0x601346…
03-19 22:46:37	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	210	95¢	$199	0x94f102…
03-19 19:32:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	202	97¢	$196	0x8d83ce…
03-19 11:04:05	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	202	97¢	$197	0xa4929d…
03-18 20:55:03	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	216	90¢	$194	0xd9d395…
03-18 12:54:15	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	216	90¢	$195	0xc4ba82…
03-17 23:23:49	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	211	94¢	$199	0xf86a0b…
03-17 16:14:49	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	53	95¢	$51	0xe6ff68…
03-17 15:00:59	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x3b7690…
03-17 14:27:33	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	204	98¢	$200	0xc0faae…
03-17 08:47:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x30e6b8…
03-17 08:28:57	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	201	96¢	$192	0xb8a029…
03-17 01:16:15	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	201	96¢	$193	0xdfdedb…
03-17 01:03:13	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	210	95¢	$200	0x035ea1…
03-16 17:57:21	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$99	0xca92ea…
03-16 17:56:25	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	106	96¢	$101	0xf4b095…
03-16 10:20:53	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0xea04b1…
03-16 02:40:07	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	110	94¢	$104	0xa2a5f1…