Rusty-Vivo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$241

Unrealized P&L

-$133

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

286

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$569

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

66% 49% -$494

Sports

22% 63% +$400

Politics

11% 64% +$386

Crypto

1% 50% -$16

Tech

0% 0% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-400	-$336	96¢	$-384	-$48	06-03 21:15
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+550	$320	34¢	$184	-$136	08-19 17:39
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+0	-$52	63¢	$0	+$52	09-03 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom atle lie mcgrath nor	9	$514	326	276	+50	No	+$16	02-16 09:05
will faustin archange touadra win the 2025 central african republic presidential election	6	$499	250	250	+0	Yes	$0	01-13 01:49
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$490	0	700	-700	open	—	05-02 07:01
will fabiano caruana win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	5	$484	450	350	+100	No	+$34	04-04 07:44
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$472	300	300	+0	Yes	+$112	02-14 20:54
will stephen miran dissent the next fed decision	4	$462	250	250	+0	Yes	+$18	03-05 12:47
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	4	$405	1,929	0	+1,929	No	-$405	10-04 18:31
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	01-21 13:00
us forces board bella 1 by friday	1	$348	350	0	+350	Yes	+$2	01-07 14:13
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	4	$339	400	0	+400	Yes	+$61	01-03 08:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$336	0	400	-400	open	—	06-03 21:15
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$320	550	0	+550	open	—	08-19 17:39
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom henrik kristoffersen nor	11	$310	350	350	+0	No	+$6	02-16 13:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$306	250	125	+125	No	+$16	07-29 08:39
winter games 2026 lindsey vonn to medal	2	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	02-08 22:17
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	11	$293	215	215	+0	open	—	09-03 06:05
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine womens slalom mikaela shiffrin usa	5	$279	250	250	+0	Yes	+$38	02-18 09:17
will trump say woke or dei during wef address on january 21	5	$260	183	183	+0	No	+$92	01-21 14:50
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	5	$254	350	0	+350	Yes	-$254	01-18 16:06
will trump say six seven this week january 11	7	$247	310	0	+310	No	+$63	01-06 15:55
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom lucas pinheiro braathen bra	5	$246	200	200	+0	No	+$34	02-14 16:58
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	2	$238	120	120	+0	Yes	+$0	01-10 22:17
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	3	$238	200	200	+0	Yes	+$18	09-24 18:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$234	150	150	+0	Yes	+$36	04-03 22:56
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$228	300	187	+113	No	-$27	07-17 09:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?	3	$218	150	100	+50	No	+$16	05-08 13:05
chess hnakam jsinda 2026 04 03 black	4	$218	200	195	+5	Yes	+$155	04-03 15:46
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	3	$195	0	200	-200	Yes	-$5	02-15 03:04
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$189	150	150	+0	No	+$51	03-08 10:50
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	5	$179	150	150	+0	No	-$4	05-09 00:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:43:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0x243797…
10-28 08:41:58	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0x7d3bab…
10-27 13:29:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x935e06…
10-21 15:04:24	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x5f8ad7…
10-11 16:47:04	Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x0db5ef…
10-04 18:31:55	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xc40211…
10-04 18:29:40	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x6f5cd2…
10-04 18:25:07	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xbd873f…
10-02 08:01:17	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x624c6c…
10-01 20:00:09	Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xefe80a…
10-01 19:34:23	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x35b77a…
10-01 19:24:15	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x315b3c…
10-01 17:55:50	Exact Score: Wales 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xf9e3c3…
10-01 17:55:24	Exact Score: Wales 0 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xfffd44…
09-27 19:10:59	Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x4979a6…
09-27 19:06:29	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xbcd28d…
09-27 14:15:54	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	1,188	4¢	$50	0x79f0c1…
09-27 14:15:17	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	980	5¢	$50	0x0377a5…
09-27 07:48:14	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xfae455…
09-24 20:08:33	Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x28cb96…
09-24 20:08:30	Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0x5438fb…
09-24 20:08:29	Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xd031f4…
09-24 18:59:45	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x1fb9aa…
09-22 13:30:37	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x17612a…
09-20 20:05:46	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x30090e…
09-16 20:08:00	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xdcb42d…
09-16 08:23:25	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	95	9¢	$9	0x2678a1…
09-16 07:29:30	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x6fdff8…
09-06 19:28:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xae0856…
09-03 06:05:22	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x2800cb…
09-03 01:26:10	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6dccc3…
09-03 00:58:13	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x4c8957…
09-03 00:56:25	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xdd2f3a…
09-03 00:37:55	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xef09f4…
09-03 00:08:30	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6159c0…
09-02 23:37:24	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xbbfac0…
09-02 23:03:52	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xd6169f…
09-02 22:35:37	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x782238…
08-29 23:59:34	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd1044c…
08-29 23:44:30	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x26b8cd…
08-29 23:43:52	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xb173b5…
08-29 23:42:30	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	46	50¢	$23	0x52044d…
08-29 23:42:16	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	76	50¢	$38	0xb8bf62…
08-29 23:42:16	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x682ca0…
08-29 23:42:13	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	SELL	35	50¢	$18	0xcde3be…
08-28 21:13:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x89da2f…
08-28 05:02:18	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$73	0xb6fa85…
08-23 20:26:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	61¢	$49	0x479964…
08-19 17:39:00	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	250	55¢	$137	0x376c2b…
08-18 13:27:06	will klarna say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call	Yes	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xc43aaa…
08-18 07:47:07	will klarna say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xf21962…
08-18 05:16:55	will klarna say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x1968d7…
08-18 03:36:51	will klarna say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x6736e5…
08-18 03:16:57	will klarna say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x15e876…
08-17 21:42:13	will klarna say ai or artificial intelligence during earnings call	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x26db81…
08-16 11:21:13	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x465f87…
08-16 00:42:22	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x91e57a…
08-14 21:26:52	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	300	61¢	$183	0x618811…
08-14 20:00:58	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	215	56¢	$121	0xf1785e…
08-13 18:39:25	Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x4b2585…
08-13 14:47:57	Will Hikaru Nakamura Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8dfafe…
08-13 12:24:46	Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x62ffff…
08-13 10:31:06	Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x6febc4…
08-13 10:31:04	Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbee74d…
08-13 10:31:04	Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x7a1d54…
08-12 22:07:12	Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc022d6…
08-12 20:52:52	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x59a2d2…
08-12 20:52:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x8e99a1…
08-12 18:30:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x33d5d5…
08-11 23:14:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	80	87¢	$70	0xc4bdd4…
08-07 20:09:03	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	No	BUY	195	51¢	$99	0x96075c…
08-07 18:35:06	will rio ferdinand attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806201203759	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd948c8…
08-06 04:26:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0xa40269…
08-05 12:31:03	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x90af09…
08-04 23:56:50	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x5e295a…
08-04 17:55:41	Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x92fe47…
08-04 17:45:57	will ricardo quaresma attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630263	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x3a6fc0…
07-29 08:39:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	125	79¢	$99	0xdd18d4…
07-21 18:45:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	216	83¢	$179	0x2d016c…
07-21 18:44:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0xc7768a…
07-19 20:46:16	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x6f959a…
07-19 19:45:34	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	37¢	$17	0x2b2a20…
07-19 19:45:28	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xbbc6ab…
07-19 19:45:21	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x9a69b7…
07-19 19:39:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	SELL	36	74¢	$27	0x530f38…
07-19 19:38:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x8acffb…
07-19 19:35:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x7fb9ce…
07-19 18:54:42	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$83	0x6b2496…
07-19 18:36:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots enzo fernandez gte2	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x1ec7c4…
07-19 18:33:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots julian alvarez gte2	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x7d5b94…
07-19 18:04:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd30592…
07-19 18:02:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x3de3e3…
07-19 17:47:06	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x817aae…
07-19 17:39:03	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	360	6¢	$22	0xec3cb4…
07-17 09:18:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	112	59¢	$67	0xab07d9…
07-14 23:30:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x0ceadd…
07-14 20:19:29	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xf704a8…
07-14 20:10:50	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x03118d…
07-12 17:36:52	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x8ee95f…
07-12 17:36:29	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x6e00ad…