Purple-Tune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.45K

Unrealized P&L

-$79

Hit rate

2.1%

Resolved

1,050

Trades

2,996

lifetime

Volume

$93.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-10 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

66% 3% -$5,287

Politics

23% 0% -$1,486

Sports

4% 2% -$294

Tech

3% 0% -$263

Crypto

3% 54% -$99

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes		+0	$78	6¢	$0	-$78	06-28 16:53
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+0	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	07-24 11:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?	9	$1.3K	1,165	1,165	+0	Yes	-$32	07-09 00:04
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	7	$1.2K	2,529	2,529	+0	No	-$21	07-28 15:29
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	5	$791	2,333	2,333	+0	No	-$90	07-28 22:37
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	8	$757	587	587	+0	open	—	07-20 14:08
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	10	$735	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	09-18 06:56
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	4	$735	1,349	1,349	+0	open	—	07-21 19:41
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	4	$731	1,564	1,564	+0	No	-$1	07-22 15:14
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	10	$704	1,472	1,472	+0	open	—	10-01 18:59
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	2	$638	400	400	+0	No	-$18	06-11 06:48
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	4	$638	833	833	+0	open	—	06-28 11:41
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	2	$627	525	525	+0	Yes	-$24	06-27 10:15
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	10	$621	2,656	2,656	+0	open	—	07-22 09:14
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	2	$619	1,270	1,270	+0	No	-$16	07-27 16:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$601	1,375	1,375	+0	open	—	07-25 12:54
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	2	$601	2,372	2,372	+0	No	-$11	07-20 08:16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$599	1,134	1,134	+0	No	-$74	07-21 07:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$596	1,418	1,418	+0	No	+$0	07-16 11:15
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	5	$581	2,020	2,020	+0	No	-$25	07-24 07:59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	4	$581	600	600	+0	open	—	05-27 17:36
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	6	$580	1,225	1,225	+0	open	—	09-02 22:03
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	2	$577	1,802	1,802	+0	No	-$36	07-22 01:25
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	2	$573	560	560	+0	No	-$20	07-02 13:17
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	6	$566	560	560	+0	open	—	07-03 19:35
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?	2	$561	315	315	+0	No	-$38	06-12 06:05
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?	2	$531	300	300	+0	Yes	-$15	05-25 17:55
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$528	1,456	1,456	+0	Yes	-$2	07-24 16:16
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?	2	$519	3,086	3,086	+0	open	—	07-31 03:00
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	2	$513	400	400	+0	open	—	06-11 03:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	6	$504	1,038	1,038	+0	open	—	10-10 11:00
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	4	$504	2,634	2,634	+0	No	-$23	07-19 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 11:00:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	326	23¢	$73	0xbefa1f…
10-10 11:00:01	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	326	30¢	$97	0xa8cabc…
10-10 05:48:18	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0x5033c3…
10-10 05:48:16	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0xa0fae9…
10-10 05:48:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xdbd1a1…
10-10 05:48:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x5b0e4e…
10-10 05:48:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x33dfa0…
10-10 05:48:15	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x0010e3…
10-09 21:49:35	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9700ea…
10-09 21:49:32	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x08c8c2…
10-09 04:57:46	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame?	Yes	SELL	654	1¢	$6	0x7c5ecd…
10-09 04:57:37	Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	218	1¢	$3	0xe3fd6b…
10-09 04:56:00	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xc9746a…
10-09 04:55:57	Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame?	Yes	BUY	669	15¢	$98	0xced413…
10-09 04:34:37	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	269	15¢	$39	0x040e35…
10-09 04:34:34	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	269	18¢	$49	0x61cda6…
10-08 14:20:15	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	No	SELL	151	20¢	$30	0x588273…
10-08 14:20:12	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	No	BUY	151	22¢	$33	0x1feb17…
10-08 06:11:31	Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	BUY	218	30¢	$65	0x4629aa…
10-07 19:33:15	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	606	9¢	$55	0x0b4f93…
10-07 19:33:12	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	606	12¢	$73	0x145fb5…
10-07 15:25:13	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	SELL	317	24¢	$76	0xf8bfc6…
10-07 15:25:11	Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?	Yes	BUY	317	30¢	$95	0xe10930…
10-07 14:20:58	Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	328	19¢	$64	0x617615…
10-07 14:20:52	Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	328	29¢	$95	0xbf245e…
10-07 09:48:29	Will Manchester City be deducted 30-49 Premier League points?	Yes	SELL	231	7¢	$17	0xc8c5d4…
10-07 09:21:32	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	21¢	$9	0xeaca6f…
10-07 09:21:32	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	21¢	$26	0xe0764f…
10-07 09:21:29	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xacaad7…
10-07 09:21:29	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	26¢	$32	0x7aba64…
10-07 09:21:27	Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x45ccf8…
10-07 03:30:23	Will Manchester City be deducted 30-49 Premier League points?	Yes	BUY	231	28¢	$65	0x5fab11…
10-06 14:16:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x8032b5…
10-06 14:16:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-10 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x396f9a…
10-06 13:23:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	171	24¢	$41	0x8e5b58…
10-06 13:23:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	171	29¢	$49	0x1eb8cd…
10-06 08:40:04	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xbbfe10…
10-06 08:40:03	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0ad796…
10-05 23:43:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	No	SELL	80	11¢	$8	0xb87ec7…
10-05 19:45:28	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	SELL	274	5¢	$14	0xdf79e2…
10-05 19:45:25	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes	BUY	274	14¢	$38	0x4bf1bc…
10-05 18:44:25	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	530	14¢	$73	0x5ddf27…
10-05 18:44:22	Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	530	19¢	$99	0x854e86…
10-05 13:39:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xfee275…
10-04 05:36:13	Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	18¢	$72	0xe58777…
10-04 05:36:11	Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	22¢	$90	0x12c4e2…
10-03 22:32:49	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	334	29¢	$97	0xde8461…
10-03 22:32:47	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	334	30¢	$99	0x7d99bd…
10-03 09:22:47	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x3d4240…
10-03 09:22:45	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0xcaf9cf…
10-02 12:23:45	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Yes	SELL	678	11¢	$72	0x776f6c…
10-02 12:23:42	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	Yes	BUY	678	14¢	$94	0x523370…
10-02 08:59:21	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	310	28¢	$85	0xe87b66…
10-02 08:59:18	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	310	31¢	$96	0xf9f796…
10-02 07:12:33	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	201	25¢	$49	0x04f3af…
10-02 07:12:32	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	201	29¢	$58	0xc6145d…
10-01 21:14:36	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	194	16¢	$31	0x0e5229…
10-01 21:14:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	62	17¢	$11	0xe022ea…
10-01 21:14:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	132	17¢	$22	0x29d472…
10-01 20:44:42	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0xeea488…
10-01 20:44:42	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x0f86fc…
10-01 20:44:39	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xc952f9…
10-01 20:44:39	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x54c673…
10-01 18:59:33	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	SELL	313	17¢	$55	0x2a987f…
10-01 18:59:32	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x6c8347…
10-01 13:25:21	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	SELL	326	25¢	$82	0x6b77f0…
10-01 13:25:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?	No	BUY	326	30¢	$98	0x921f80…
09-30 20:40:35	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?	Yes	SELL	873	9¢	$79	0xa508ea…
09-30 20:40:33	Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?	Yes	BUY	873	11¢	$96	0xb07c28…
09-30 19:41:26	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	402	12¢	$47	0xf6097c…
09-30 19:41:24	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	13¢	$16	0x7a46b1…
09-30 19:41:23	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	525	17¢	$91	0x60376e…
09-30 13:04:38	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	414	16¢	$65	0x90e192…
09-30 13:04:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	414	23¢	$93	0x235d1b…
09-29 19:13:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	317	18¢	$57	0xb726df…
09-29 19:13:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	317	30¢	$95	0x269f24…
09-29 07:14:02	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	SELL	130	13¢	$16	0x3d2d54…
09-29 07:13:53	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	25¢	$33	0x224c75…
09-29 03:35:08	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	299	24¢	$71	0x4e6835…
09-29 03:35:06	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	299	24¢	$72	0x1a44e7…
09-29 00:29:33	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	No	SELL	333	21¢	$71	0x738db8…
09-29 00:29:32	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?	No	BUY	333	27¢	$90	0x109759…
09-28 12:52:23	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	541	12¢	$65	0x4be46c…
09-28 12:52:20	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	541	15¢	$81	0x6cc3b6…
09-28 09:21:53	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	749	11¢	$84	0x02aa94…
09-28 09:21:50	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	749	12¢	$90	0x14d815…
09-28 07:36:11	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	SELL	235	12¢	$28	0xdc6248…
09-28 07:36:09	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?	No	BUY	235	20¢	$47	0x9ede1a…
09-27 13:02:18	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	313	25¢	$79	0x63bed2…
09-27 13:02:15	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	313	31¢	$97	0xf5d7b0…
09-27 02:05:08	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	581	11¢	$64	0xa15278…
09-27 02:05:05	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	581	11¢	$65	0xbb5d73…
09-25 22:56:47	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	136	20¢	$27	0x0e2e8c…
09-25 22:56:45	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x9278b6…
09-25 22:27:15	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	41	14¢	$6	0xa4d9b5…
09-25 22:27:14	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	264	15¢	$39	0xcfe9ad…
09-25 22:27:14	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	SELL	43	17¢	$7	0xcc3639…
09-25 22:27:11	Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?	Yes	BUY	348	28¢	$98	0x6c70e4…
09-25 00:06:50	Will Wayne Knight be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	380	0¢	$2	0xfc1e64…
09-24 13:36:35	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	283	7¢	$21	0x0ca9d9…