Tidy-Clavier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$174

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-09 06:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

87% 45% +$174

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No		+7	$5	80¢	$5	+$1	09-04 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	2	$750	398	398	+0	open	—	05-24 07:04
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	2	$683	351	351	+0	No	$0	05-23 06:56
Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	3	$679	362	362	+0	CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo	+$6	06-09 05:18
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	3	$679	358	358	+0	open	—	07-04 09:04
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$673	354	354	+0	open	—	05-22 05:49
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	2	$654	352	352	+0	open	—	05-21 05:59
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)	1	$375	395	0	+395	AD Ceuta FC	-$375	05-24 07:09
Spread: FK Dukla Praha (-1.5)	1	$340	374	0	+374	FC Baník Ostrava	+$34	05-23 07:03
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$327	337	0	+337	NEOM SC	+$10	05-21 06:03
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	6	$145	845	845	-0	open	—	05-19 05:41
lol hrts use1 2026 03 23	1	$130	213	0	+213	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	-$130	03-23 08:57
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	2	$43	615	0	+615	CD Huachipato	-$43	05-17 05:30
Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5)	2	$36	716	0	+716	Haras El Hodood SC	+$680	05-18 06:00
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	3	$33	696	696	+0	Everton FC	-$6	05-17 05:27
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$33	635	735	-100	No	+$7	05-17 05:21
fl1 lor pfc 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	2	$8	267	0	+267	FC Lorient	-$8	04-05 06:38
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	09-04 14:11
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-09 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 06:23:37	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd4e2fa…
09-04 14:11:27	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x21ca90…
07-04 09:04:47	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	338	95¢	$321	0xb282f1…
07-04 09:04:46	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x23360f…
07-04 06:12:46	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	358	94¢	$338	0xd654b2…
06-09 05:18:18	Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xb240b0…
05-24 07:09:14	Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5)	FC Andorra	BUY	395	95¢	$375	0xdbdaf7…
05-24 07:04:30	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	398	94¢	$375	0xe250bb…
05-24 03:29:26	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	398	94¢	$375	0x3ff42f…
05-23 07:03:16	Spread: FK Dukla Praha (-1.5)	FC Baník Ostrava	BUY	374	91¢	$340	0xec399b…
05-23 06:56:47	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	SELL	351	97¢	$341	0x93f210…
05-23 04:52:43	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	351	97¢	$342	0x0f5437…
05-22 05:52:26	Spread: Club ABB (-1.5)	CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo	BUY	362	93¢	$337	0xec472a…
05-22 05:49:34	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	354	95¢	$336	0xa2ae61…
05-22 03:08:43	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	354	95¢	$336	0xd05cdc…
05-21 06:03:19	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)	NEOM SC	BUY	337	97¢	$327	0x09c48c…
05-21 05:59:09	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	352	93¢	$326	0x563cb5…
05-21 02:48:15	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	93¢	$328	0xad60bf…
05-19 05:41:11	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x7f33a2…
05-18 06:00:35	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5)	Haras El Hodood SC	BUY	343	5¢	$17	0x6adc03…
05-18 06:00:33	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5)	Haras El Hodood SC	BUY	373	5¢	$19	0xb0199e…
05-18 05:56:23	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	845	10¢	$81	0x4c34fe…
05-18 03:08:42	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x68b306…
05-18 03:07:45	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0x227287…
05-18 03:07:32	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	8¢	$25	0x417785…
05-18 03:07:17	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	454	8¢	$34	0x133b40…
05-17 05:30:32	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Unión La Calera	BUY	366	7¢	$26	0xda1b02…
05-17 05:30:30	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Unión La Calera	BUY	249	7¢	$17	0x29a724…
05-17 05:27:24	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	Sunderland AFC	SELL	696	2¢	$14	0x02240d…
05-17 05:27:09	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	Sunderland AFC	BUY	695	3¢	$19	0xdfea76…
05-17 05:27:09	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	Sunderland AFC	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x04b775…
05-17 05:21:22	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	735	3¢	$20	0x24681e…
05-17 02:32:10	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	2¢	$8	0xb29813…
05-17 02:31:44	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	2¢	$5	0x0e191e…
04-05 06:38:23	fl1 lor pfc 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Paris FC	BUY	199	3¢	$6	0x504cce…
04-05 06:38:19	fl1 lor pfc 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Paris FC	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x9fd60a…
03-23 08:57:59	lol hrts use1 2026 03 23	Team Heretics Academy	BUY	213	61¢	$130	0x040a45…