Scarce-Snuggle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.57K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$60.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-25 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Politics

82% 38% -$174

Other

16% 25% -$4,402

Sports

2% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	31	$14.9K	15,315	15,315	+0	No	+$560	04-30 21:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	9	$4.8K	2,957	2,957	+0	No	+$877	03-28 16:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$2.9K	1,879	1,879	+0	No	+$184	04-08 01:36
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$2.5K	1,913	1,913	+0	Yes	+$79	03-15 04:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.7K	2,424	2,424	+0	Yes	+$97	05-11 21:49
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$1.5K	835	834	+0	No	+$113	05-23 23:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$1.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-19 17:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$1.4K	985	985	+0	No	+$39	03-07 19:24
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$1.4K	1,101	1,101	+0	Yes	+$143	04-11 17:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$1.2K	1,801	0	+1,801	Yes	-$1,224	04-07 16:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	3	$1.1K	640	640	+0	No	+$60	03-10 19:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$1.0K	959	959	+0	Yes	+$400	04-30 21:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$994	806	806	+0	No	-$6	05-23 23:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	6	$957	3,202	0	+3,202	Yes	-$957	04-12 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	24	$944	1,515	0	+1,515	Yes	-$944	10-23 17:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	3	$875	893	893	+0	open	—	05-29 15:08
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$837	3,516	500	+3,016	No	-$515	03-14 18:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	5	$822	290	1,453	-1,163	Yes	+$572	05-29 15:07
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$800	3,235	0	+3,235	No	-$800	07-23 21:38
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	5	$789	1,693	1,693	+0	Yes	-$94	05-29 15:07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$759	1,838	1,838	+0	Yes	-$251	04-08 01:37
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$705	1,126	0	+1,126	No	-$705	03-11 18:12
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	7	$704	1,495	1,495	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$104	06-15 04:47
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	4	$687	603	585	+18	Dominick Reyes	-$96	04-12 02:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$664	791	791	+0	No	+$64	03-08 22:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	4	$627	3,583	3,583	+0	No	+$27	07-19 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	4	$575	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	-$25	05-29 00:37
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$560	659	0	+659	Yes	-$560	07-23 21:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$530	681	0	+681	Yes	-$530	04-07 21:09
iran full airspace closure by august 15	1	$500	886	0	+886	No	-$500	07-23 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xdeac4e…
10-25 17:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x00d92a…
10-25 17:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x1bee5f…
10-24 03:13:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x7ccea9…
10-24 03:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 23?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xb92484…
10-23 17:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x885862…
10-23 17:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xd2de7b…
10-23 17:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xe3bf2e…
10-23 17:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x109efc…
10-23 17:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x56653b…
10-23 17:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xa26233…
10-23 17:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x3b12b2…
10-23 17:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0x9439dc…
10-23 17:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xa1426d…
10-23 17:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	No	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0x0e75bb…
10-23 17:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3aaf46…
10-23 17:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x4973de…
10-23 17:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x813091…
10-23 17:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8adf9e…
10-23 17:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x173c5c…
10-23 17:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xce98c7…
10-23 17:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 23?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x4850d6…
10-23 17:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xf7bb76…
10-23 17:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x9e7d30…
10-23 17:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	343	3¢	$10	0xbea87f…
10-23 17:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x5ecbb5…
10-23 00:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	117	59¢	$69	0x81b761…
10-23 00:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	167	57¢	$95	0xcbf044…
10-23 00:34:51	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	63	78¢	$49	0x50c140…
10-23 00:34:23	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	284	39¢	$111	0x52d54c…
10-23 00:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	69	56¢	$39	0xb6b272…
10-23 00:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	134	55¢	$74	0x9e0a89…
10-23 00:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0x55328e…
10-22 21:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	99	70¢	$70	0x21d22c…
10-22 21:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x622f30…
10-22 21:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	117	63¢	$74	0x4026e7…
10-22 21:50:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	183	81¢	$148	0xbbc74c…
10-22 21:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xe55926…
10-22 21:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x87ce0e…
10-22 21:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x7ebd8e…
10-22 21:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	79	67¢	$53	0xab02f1…
10-22 21:46:05	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	456	33¢	$151	0x934c2b…
10-22 21:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	109	68¢	$74	0x967dd1…
10-22 21:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0xa5079a…
10-22 21:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x0c081a…
10-22 21:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x0f06c1…
10-22 21:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 23?	No	BUY	59	64¢	$38	0x16d5be…
10-22 21:40:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	625	31¢	$194	0x1f1226…
10-22 21:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x20c998…
10-22 21:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x78a6f0…
10-22 21:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xca88d8…
10-22 21:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0x9d188d…
10-22 21:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xf87003…
10-22 21:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xca6a17…
10-22 21:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x871058…
10-22 21:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xe71232…
10-22 21:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xd550fd…
10-22 21:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xb3d537…
10-22 21:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb7cc5d…
10-22 21:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x33ad17…
10-22 21:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x179a65…
10-22 21:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x312773…
10-22 21:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	594	2¢	$10	0xa41502…
10-22 21:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	574	7¢	$40	0x5d9069…
10-22 21:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x69cd0a…
10-22 21:29:44	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	47¢	$40	0x14ea60…
10-22 21:25:53	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x6812e2…
10-22 21:23:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	35¢	$22	0xfe3913…
10-22 21:22:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xe6e66f…
10-22 20:59:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	183	82¢	$150	0xb6c4d8…
10-22 20:59:09	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x453021…
10-22 20:57:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x21c0ac…
10-22 20:48:45	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xa408a6…
10-22 20:48:11	Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x14b265…
10-22 20:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	139	48¢	$67	0xa0a6ef…
10-22 20:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	486	4¢	$20	0x89130e…
10-22 20:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	207	45¢	$93	0x9e6bc2…
10-22 20:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x909c23…
10-22 17:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	235	9¢	$20	0xc14e03…
10-22 17:05:56	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	SELL	273	39¢	$107	0x9ff1ea…
10-21 18:09:45	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xcd0c00…
10-21 18:08:18	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x5d57f2…
10-21 18:06:33	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	645	29¢	$187	0xfa1b4c…
10-21 18:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x0807b1…
10-20 18:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x9680e1…
10-20 18:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe0bf3d…
10-20 18:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x87c9c2…
10-20 18:28:24	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0xf17332…
10-20 18:12:44	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xda1eb2…
10-20 18:09:44	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa206d5…
10-20 18:09:29	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa08661…
10-18 17:25:51	Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x96e868…
10-18 17:25:39	Will Iran target Iraq by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x33b5d3…
07-23 21:56:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	659	85¢	$560	0x7bf6d2…
07-23 21:53:43	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	886	56¢	$500	0x680540…
07-23 21:50:42	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	215	23¢	$50	0xcf924d…
07-23 21:38:37	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,987	25¢	$500	0xdaed1c…
07-23 21:38:24	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,248	24¢	$300	0xbe1c28…
07-23 21:37:06	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	366	58¢	$212	0x559ca9…
07-23 21:24:07	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0xfed086…