Scarce-Snuggle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$167

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$51.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-23 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

85% 100% +$29

Other

12% 50% +$138

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	31	$14.9K	15,315	15,315	+0	open	—	04-30 21:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	9	$4.8K	2,957	2,957	+0	open	—	03-28 16:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$2.9K	1,879	1,879	+0	open	—	04-08 01:36
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$2.5K	1,913	1,913	+0	open	—	03-15 04:00
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$1.5K	835	834	+0	open	—	05-23 23:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$1.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-19 17:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$1.4K	985	985	+0	open	—	03-07 19:24
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$1.4K	1,101	1,101	+0	Yes	+$143	04-11 17:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$1.2K	1,801	0	+1,801	open	—	04-07 16:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	3	$1.1K	640	640	+0	open	—	03-10 19:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$1.0K	959	959	+0	open	—	04-30 21:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$994	806	806	+0	open	—	05-23 23:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	6	$957	3,202	0	+3,202	open	—	04-12 02:58
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$837	3,516	500	+3,016	open	—	03-14 18:02
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	2	$800	3,235	0	+3,235	open	—	07-23 21:38
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$759	1,838	1,838	+0	open	—	04-08 01:37
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$705	1,126	0	+1,126	open	—	03-11 18:12
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	7	$704	1,495	1,495	+0	open	—	06-15 04:47
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	4	$687	603	585	+18	open	—	04-12 02:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$664	791	791	+0	open	—	03-08 22:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	4	$627	3,583	3,583	+0	open	—	07-19 17:39
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$560	659	0	+659	open	—	07-23 21:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$530	681	0	+681	open	—	04-07 21:09
iran full airspace closure by august 15	1	$500	886	0	+886	open	—	07-23 21:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	3	$490	1,015	0	+1,015	open	—	03-07 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$460	296	296	+0	open	—	05-29 00:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$430	540	540	+0	open	—	05-06 00:12
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	4	$423	1,570	0	+1,570	open	—	03-07 19:40
will france strike iran by march 31	9	$417	2,608	2,608	+0	open	—	03-11 18:11
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	3	$391	1,052	766	+286	open	—	04-12 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 21:56:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	659	85¢	$560	0x7bf6d2…
07-23 21:53:43	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	886	56¢	$500	0x680540…
07-23 21:50:42	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	215	23¢	$50	0xcf924d…
07-23 21:38:37	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,987	25¢	$500	0xdaed1c…
07-23 21:38:24	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,248	24¢	$300	0xbe1c28…
07-23 21:37:06	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	366	58¢	$212	0x559ca9…
07-23 21:24:07	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0xfed086…
07-23 21:23:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	106	53¢	$56	0x5dad19…
07-23 21:22:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	370	35¢	$130	0x38e854…
07-22 14:47:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	333	27¢	$89	0xc05a0e…
07-22 14:47:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	468	7¢	$33	0xdc3b66…
07-19 17:47:28	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0xcd2dc7…
07-19 17:46:39	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x393ca3…
07-19 17:45:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x8e002e…
07-19 17:44:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	468	21¢	$100	0x6acbc4…
07-19 17:39:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	3,583	9¢	$327	0x73fbaf…
07-19 17:39:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,000	30¢	$900	0xfd28aa…
07-15 20:11:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,500	20¢	$500	0x884e76…
07-15 20:11:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xda51c4…
07-15 20:07:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,191	8¢	$100	0x4ac5e9…
07-15 20:07:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,191	8¢	$100	0x2a00fb…
07-15 20:07:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	1,202	8¢	$100	0xea8752…
06-15 04:47:30	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	1,495	27¢	$404	0xbe7d8a…
06-15 04:23:25	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xebd980…
06-15 04:17:57	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x061c92…
06-15 04:17:45	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x517bfc…
06-15 04:17:30	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xce9c44…
06-15 04:17:06	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x515595…
06-15 04:16:55	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd2c602…
05-29 15:08:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	446	38¢	$170	0x6540b8…
05-29 15:07:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	290	36¢	$106	0x0beb38…
05-29 15:07:39	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	847	20¢	$169	0xcccc3b…
05-29 00:38:03	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	846	21¢	$178	0xed151c…
05-29 00:37:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,250	22¢	$275	0x5b88b5…
05-29 00:36:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	488	41¢	$200	0xce7e9a…
05-29 00:36:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	296	88¢	$260	0x271b47…
05-24 15:44:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x46bc4b…
05-24 15:44:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x8dd186…
05-23 23:43:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	403	46¢	$187	0x6c8063…
05-23 23:42:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	834	97¢	$812	0x782dba…
05-23 04:59:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x2ec21d…
05-23 04:56:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	596	84¢	$500	0x35410d…
05-23 01:08:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	255	4¢	$10	0x05a4d5…
05-23 01:07:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	139	22¢	$30	0x4a0aac…
05-23 00:56:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x5c83ae…
05-23 00:32:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xc74408…
05-23 00:32:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x30ecd1…
05-12 18:09:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	403	76¢	$306	0x151c13…
05-11 21:48:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	123	88¢	$109	0xc0e30e…
05-06 00:12:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	540	37¢	$200	0xa68139…
05-05 03:18:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	412	24¢	$99	0xc25a41…
05-04 03:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	279	43¢	$120	0x004c53…
05-04 03:32:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xca2a02…
05-04 03:32:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x775a04…
05-04 02:44:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x5d5af5…
05-04 02:44:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0x307b47…
05-03 19:30:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0x023c1c…
05-03 18:59:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x5e5d22…
05-03 18:55:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	14¢	$49	0x0a24bf…
05-03 17:24:08	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x2c0dd0…
05-03 14:35:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x8cdc99…
05-01 01:08:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xee8ed4…
05-01 01:07:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x4e4a73…
04-30 21:07:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	959	75¢	$719	0x1f38a2…
04-30 21:03:36	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	492	100¢	$489	0xfb1e42…
04-12 03:02:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0x89fed8…
04-12 03:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0xe582dd…
04-12 02:58:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x2667a4…
04-12 02:57:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	152	31¢	$47	0x95d613…
04-12 02:57:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	677	31¢	$210	0xa17714…
04-12 02:54:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	969	31¢	$300	0x6f30fd…
04-12 02:53:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	652	31¢	$200	0x8cf261…
04-12 02:50:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x79dad8…
04-12 02:49:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	59	33¢	$20	0x58ae7a…
04-12 02:49:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x4d4af7…
04-12 02:49:13	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xd67633…
04-12 02:44:57	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0x485ea0…
04-12 02:44:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	264	38¢	$100	0xd46078…
04-12 02:43:29	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xe36228…
04-12 02:43:17	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	98	36¢	$35	0x15949b…
04-12 02:11:59	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Dominick Reyes	SELL	287	49¢	$141	0x2a39e0…
04-12 02:11:23	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Dominick Reyes	SELL	298	49¢	$146	0xccd67b…
04-12 01:56:43	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Dominick Reyes	BUY	309	65¢	$200	0x83bd47…
04-12 01:56:21	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Dominick Reyes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0xc5d80c…
04-11 23:07:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	439	23¢	$100	0x6b287c…
04-11 23:03:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	2,659	51¢	$1,356	0x280b0e…
04-11 22:34:57	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xfde04f…
04-11 22:26:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xdc7536…
04-11 22:25:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xdd6798…
04-11 22:10:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	69	55¢	$38	0xb60a60…
04-11 19:37:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	948	48¢	$455	0x48ba21…
04-11 19:29:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0x50a847…
04-11 19:28:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	1,027	47¢	$483	0xbe5f31…
04-11 17:35:25	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	SELL	539	68¢	$365	0xaf2300…
04-11 17:34:59	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	766	18¢	$138	0xcf0b38…
04-10 18:34:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xc9ae92…
04-10 18:33:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x76e0c1…
04-10 18:32:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	84	44¢	$37	0x74961d…
04-10 18:21:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xcef154…
04-10 18:11:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0xc75f21…