Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$192.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$132.8K

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,197

lifetime

Volume

$888.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$278

Open exposure

$320.2K

5 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-27 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

100% 44% +$192,262

Politics

0% 50% -$305

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 504 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+2,868,685	$213,283	6¢	$172.1K	-$41,162	10-26 15:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,053,689	$226,310	6¢	$133.5K	-$92,820	10-26 17:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+3,359,358	$10,078	0¢	$11.8K	+$1,680	10-27 04:35
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	+2,951	$2,874	97¢	$2.9K	$0	10-22 20:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	+0	$487	0¢	$0	-$487	09-27 18:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	698	$377.0K	664,100	329,933	+334,167	Yes	+$229,369	09-14 18:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	587	$227.6K	2,056,670	2,981	+2,053,689	open	—	10-26 17:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	404	$213.3K	2,868,685	0	+2,868,685	open	—	10-26 15:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	34	$23.8K	94,164	0	+94,164	Yes	-$23,759	07-29 17:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	14	$12.6K	51,594	0	+51,594	No	-$12,572	07-29 17:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1,106	$10.1K	3,359,358	0	+3,359,358	open	—	10-27 04:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$7.8K	13,330	0	+13,330	No	+$5,496	09-14 18:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	261	$5.8K	742,713	20,079	+722,634	No	-$5,602	09-16 16:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	20	$2.9K	20,455	20,455	+0	open	—	09-27 18:35
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	1	$2.9K	2,951	0	+2,951	open	—	10-22 20:40
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	6	$1.8K	927	927	+0	Yes	+$31	07-27 12:10
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	12	$862	488	475	+13	Yes	+$82	07-28 12:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	40	$749	155,770	0	+155,770	No	-$749	07-29 17:33
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	5	$736	1,238	1,237	+1	Yes	+$81	08-26 21:02
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	5	$336	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$336	09-16 20:39
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$104	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$84	07-28 11:32
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	6	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	10-22 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:35:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x318f19…
10-27 04:35:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x181c24…
10-27 04:34:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	0¢	$1	0x97abcb…
10-27 04:34:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	0¢	$1	0xacefaf…
10-27 04:34:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xcccc38…
10-27 04:34:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	0¢	$1	0x1764db…
10-27 04:17:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	296	0¢	$1	0x6049d3…
10-27 04:17:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	308	0¢	$1	0x25b6d9…
10-27 04:17:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	188	0¢	$1	0x19cea1…
10-27 04:16:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	304	0¢	$1	0x9fa3af…
10-27 04:16:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	666	0¢	$2	0x38a305…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xfef4c3…
10-27 04:16:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	0¢	$1	0x4e3fdc…
10-27 04:09:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd234d4…
10-27 04:07:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x308b8a…
10-27 03:59:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x212669…
10-27 03:43:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa38b38…
10-27 03:20:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xd491be…
10-27 03:16:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xacb750…
10-27 03:12:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	213	0¢	$1	0x8c9e06…
10-27 03:12:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	508	0¢	$2	0x5e3550…
10-27 03:11:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x4b3467…
10-27 03:11:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8534b6…
10-27 03:11:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,460	0¢	$4	0x66edbe…
10-27 03:11:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcaed01…
10-27 03:11:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x832d7f…
10-27 03:10:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,501	0¢	$5	0x0aae4d…
10-27 03:10:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,883	0¢	$6	0x699911…
10-27 03:09:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf253bc…
10-27 03:09:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x880ce7…
10-27 03:09:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x826f24…
10-27 03:09:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xffb994…
10-27 03:09:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbeeaee…
10-27 03:09:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1d46c4…
10-27 03:09:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x15998f…
10-27 03:08:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xc34a07…
10-27 03:08:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x34eeb1…
10-27 03:08:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x1c583f…
10-27 03:08:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xde1b05…
10-27 03:08:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x77234e…
10-27 03:07:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x39ee07…
10-27 03:07:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xeedbd0…
10-27 03:07:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x47d2cd…
10-27 03:07:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb7277c…
10-27 03:07:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x1b5a8f…
10-27 03:07:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x64c209…
10-27 03:07:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfcd5b9…
10-27 03:07:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf29659…
10-27 03:07:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0xe49de9…
10-27 03:07:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	875	0¢	$3	0x7bf3f7…
10-27 03:07:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	574	0¢	$2	0x02999e…
10-27 03:05:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xdc7bff…
10-27 03:05:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x279f2d…
10-27 03:02:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2bd9d3…
10-27 03:02:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x610d30…
10-27 02:59:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x950eff…
10-27 02:59:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1a1b70…
10-27 02:58:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x01e8e4…
10-27 02:57:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfb5e7d…
10-27 02:48:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x18704d…
10-27 02:34:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14,283	0¢	$43	0xdb06cd…
10-27 02:22:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x540646…
10-27 02:22:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x231a3e…
10-27 02:22:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfaab2c…
10-27 02:22:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe85fc2…
10-27 02:22:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd254f3…
10-27 02:22:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xafe12f…
10-27 02:22:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9cd810…
10-27 02:22:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	0¢	$0	0x743fca…
10-27 02:22:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x673fa3…
10-27 02:13:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$24	0xf1df49…
10-27 02:13:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	212	0¢	$1	0x24095e…
10-27 02:13:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x68cea7…
10-27 02:13:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0x9dbfe4…
10-27 02:13:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	374	0¢	$1	0x6f6fb5…
10-27 02:13:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$1	0xef0b45…
10-27 02:13:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0x40098d…
10-27 02:12:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$1	0x10c787…
10-27 02:12:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	0¢	$1	0x94d37c…
10-27 02:12:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x04713c…
10-27 02:12:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd0e69c…
10-27 02:12:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	0¢	$0	0x2e97f8…
10-27 02:11:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb29f64…
10-27 02:11:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9c9f98…
10-27 02:11:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x74c69a…
10-27 02:11:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x45dd08…
10-27 02:11:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,448	0¢	$4	0xa1e03c…
10-27 02:11:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,291	0¢	$7	0x72a521…
10-27 02:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	984	0¢	$3	0xe65d1a…
10-27 02:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,880	0¢	$6	0x76853d…
10-27 02:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,114	0¢	$6	0x6d671b…
10-27 02:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,656	0¢	$8	0x5af9d3…
10-27 02:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,485	0¢	$4	0x29d2b6…
10-27 02:11:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,606	0¢	$5	0x0f69c2…
10-27 02:11:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9d1f5b…
10-27 02:11:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x7f36ae…
10-27 02:11:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xdc7dc0…
10-27 02:11:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x481df3…
10-27 02:11:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4481c1…
10-27 02:11:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x584f7f…