Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$459

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

5,086 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$956.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

$2.90K

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-28 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

100% 33% -$319,768

Politics

0% 50% -$305

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 1301 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No		+2,951	$2,874	98¢	$2.9K	+$28	10-22 20:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		+0	$487	0¢	$0	-$487	09-27 18:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	698	$377.0K	664,100	329,933	+334,167	Yes	+$229,369	09-14 18:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	797	$260.5K	3,782,110	220	+3,781,890	Yes	-$260,476	10-28 17:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	596	$231.2K	2,071,100	50,422	+2,020,678	No	-$224,231	10-28 16:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2,578	$27.3K	9,077,819	0	+9,077,819	No	-$27,323	10-28 17:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	34	$23.8K	94,164	0	+94,164	Yes	-$23,759	07-29 17:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	14	$12.6K	51,594	0	+51,594	No	-$12,572	07-29 17:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$7.8K	13,330	0	+13,330	No	+$5,496	09-14 18:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	261	$5.8K	742,713	20,079	+722,634	No	-$5,602	09-16 16:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	20	$2.9K	20,455	20,455	+0	open	—	09-27 18:35
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	1	$2.9K	2,951	0	+2,951	open	—	10-22 20:40
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	6	$1.8K	927	927	+0	Yes	+$31	07-27 12:10
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	12	$862	488	475	+13	Yes	+$82	07-28 12:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	40	$749	155,770	0	+155,770	No	-$749	07-29 17:33
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	5	$736	1,238	1,237	+1	Yes	+$81	08-26 21:02
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	5	$336	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$336	09-16 20:39
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$104	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$84	07-28 11:32
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	6	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	10-22 20:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:37:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	206,941	0¢	$621	0xfc1c0b…
10-28 17:36:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x6acb1f…
10-28 17:34:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$150	0x2e5222…
10-28 17:34:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,378	0¢	$37	0x63af34…
10-28 17:34:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	544	0¢	$2	0x8703ef…
10-28 17:34:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	422	0¢	$1	0x1ba579…
10-28 17:33:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x198288…
10-28 17:33:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xa46901…
10-28 17:33:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x86312e…
10-28 17:33:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x82cb9f…
10-28 17:33:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x643fdf…
10-28 17:33:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x36cde0…
10-28 17:33:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	423	0¢	$1	0x021586…
10-28 17:33:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xa23178…
10-28 17:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0xe45ebc…
10-28 17:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc7eb91…
10-28 17:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$2	0x49b7c1…
10-28 17:33:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x60554a…
10-28 17:33:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xeaf94f…
10-28 17:33:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xa72a80…
10-28 17:33:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0x3fa617…
10-28 17:33:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0x2b886f…
10-28 17:28:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x05d720…
10-28 17:28:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3011e6…
10-28 17:28:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	0¢	$0	0xa084a6…
10-28 17:28:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	439	0¢	$1	0xe5d244…
10-28 17:28:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	441	0¢	$1	0xf58e76…
10-28 17:23:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0xf61f78…
10-28 17:23:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xd070e0…
10-28 17:20:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x7e3859…
10-28 17:19:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$90	0x594929…
10-28 17:18:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,561	0¢	$20	0x241815…
10-28 17:16:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x013000…
10-28 17:16:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	149	0¢	$0	0x176aeb…
10-28 17:16:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x014ea2…
10-28 17:16:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	437	0¢	$1	0x0f6eab…
10-28 17:15:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0x0aa452…
10-28 17:14:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xda39c6…
10-28 17:14:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	600	5¢	$28	0x0b2c05…
10-28 17:14:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,236	5¢	$251	0xc4ee73…
10-28 17:13:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x85e47d…
10-28 17:13:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0c6827…
10-28 17:13:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xd8e3a4…
10-28 17:12:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$0	0x8f122c…
10-28 17:12:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	441	0¢	$1	0x923e93…
10-28 17:12:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18,297	5¢	$860	0xb1fcf7…
10-28 17:12:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5f1f7d…
10-28 17:12:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,623	5¢	$123	0xa996d0…
10-28 17:11:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,207	5¢	$104	0x0acce2…
10-28 17:11:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,000	0¢	$36	0x6f3dcb…
10-28 17:11:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x0906a3…
10-28 17:11:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x80f37a…
10-28 17:10:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	414	5¢	$19	0x46c71d…
10-28 17:10:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,048	5¢	$48	0x5216fc…
10-28 17:10:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x0b50f7…
10-28 17:10:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	181	0¢	$1	0x7535fa…
10-28 17:10:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	128	0¢	$0	0xa39805…
10-28 17:10:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,105	5¢	$51	0x428caf…
10-28 17:10:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x29eb5d…
10-28 17:10:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	207	0¢	$1	0xf09146…
10-28 17:10:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0x687b0d…
10-28 17:09:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	267	0¢	$1	0xa06c13…
10-28 17:09:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x8bfdef…
10-28 17:09:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0xc82002…
10-28 17:09:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x7daafd…
10-28 17:09:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$1	0x794585…
10-28 17:09:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	0¢	$0	0x7cf784…
10-28 17:09:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$2	0xc9cfcc…
10-28 17:09:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0x65ddf3…
10-28 17:09:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0f20d6…
10-28 17:09:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	441	0¢	$1	0xc53ff5…
10-28 17:09:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x946172…
10-28 17:09:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x301434…
10-28 17:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,662	0¢	$8	0xe34067…
10-28 17:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$2	0xdd8084…
10-28 17:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xc779fe…
10-28 17:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7a9a6f…
10-28 17:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x73d8bf…
10-28 17:09:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,136	5¢	$241	0x436270…
10-28 17:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$4	0x29897e…
10-28 17:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0x248244…
10-28 17:09:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,364	5¢	$64	0xad2ca6…
10-28 17:09:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,619	5¢	$76	0x358df2…
10-28 17:09:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	880	5¢	$41	0x820e81…
10-28 17:08:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	689	5¢	$32	0x97c544…
10-28 17:08:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x62b534…
10-28 17:08:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,099	5¢	$99	0x00b4e4…
10-28 17:08:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x479e56…
10-28 17:08:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$120	0xe53488…
10-28 17:08:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	73	5¢	$3	0x32177c…
10-28 17:08:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,500	5¢	$118	0xe7dc69…
10-28 17:07:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x672ede…
10-28 17:07:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,482	5¢	$164	0x019ed1…
10-28 17:07:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0x814a36…
10-28 17:07:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	212	0¢	$1	0xff5164…
10-28 17:07:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,387	5¢	$300	0x293ff9…
10-28 17:07:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xb87dba…
10-28 17:07:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	609	0¢	$2	0x4e95c5…
10-28 17:07:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,113	5¢	$99	0xbf8307…
10-28 17:06:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	343	0¢	$1	0x622f11…