Common-Dagger — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved (90d)

180

Trades (90d)

184

4,472 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.04K

$21.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 11-03 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 55% -$173

Politics

4% 42% +$136

Other

3% 26% -$63

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$370	367	367	+0	Yes	+$150	10-27 20:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$87	48	48	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 06:41
bitcoin up or down february 2 6am et	16	$74	62	57	+6	Up	+$2	02-02 11:37
ethereum up or down february 2 6am et	14	$72	69	57	+13	Up	+$4	02-02 11:36
bitcoin up or down february 2 12am et	10	$57	45	45	+0	Down	+$2	02-02 06:52
ethereum up or down february 2 12am et	9	$54	31	31	+0	Down	+$5	02-02 06:53
ethereum up or down february 5 11am et	14	$54	50	40	+9	Up	-$2	02-05 16:34
will arirang bts debut week album sales be between 3m and 3pt5m	8	$52	984	984	+0	No	-$16	03-11 15:47
ethereum up or down february 2 2am et	21	$48	47	47	+0	Up	$0	02-02 07:49
solana up or down february 2 11am et	10	$48	38	38	+0	Up	$0	02-02 17:00
bitcoin up or down february 2 4am et	9	$46	44	44	+0	Up	-$4	02-02 09:37
bitcoin up or down february 5 11am et	11	$43	45	37	+8	Up	+$1	02-05 16:22
ethereum up or down february 3 9am et	7	$41	38	38	+0	Down	+$2	02-03 14:45
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$40	25	25	+0	No	$0	03-23 06:08
bitcoin up or down february 3 10am et	10	$36	39	39	-0	Up	-$3	02-03 15:25
ethereum up or down february 5 3pm et	10	$35	187	187	+0	Down	-$5	02-05 20:46
bitcoin up or down february 2 5am et	7	$33	43	43	+0	Down	-$4	02-02 10:44
bitcoin up or down february 1 9am et	5	$33	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	02-01 15:00
ethereum up or down february 3 8am et	9	$32	26	26	-0	Up	+$2	02-03 14:00
bitcoin up or down february 2 1am et	6	$32	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	02-02 06:44
bitcoin up or down february 2 10am et	7	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	02-02 16:33
ethereum up or down february 1 11pm et	7	$31	27	27	+0	Up	-$6	02-02 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:20 UTC	4	$31	22	21	+0	Up	+$2	02-25 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 11:50 UTC	5	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	02-25 11:54
ethereum up or down february 4 2am et	6	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	02-04 08:00
will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	8	$30	38	38	+0	Yes	-$1	03-22 01:41
bitcoin up or down february 1 11am et	5	$30	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	02-01 17:00
bitcoin up or down february 1 1pm et	3	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	02-01 19:00
ethereum up or down february 1 7pm et	7	$29	32	22	+10	Up	-$7	02-02 00:41
ethereum up or down february 3 2am et	6	$29	25	25	+0	Up	-$1	02-03 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:08:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0xbd13b4…
11-03 10:08:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xfb01ec…
11-02 03:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xdbd777…
11-02 03:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xfbc7f7…
10-27 20:06:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	367	71¢	$260	0xd24334…
10-27 07:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf6bc19…
10-27 05:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x08d716…
10-27 01:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd1ab6b…
10-26 23:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x10fc98…
10-26 19:51:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	367	30¢	$110	0x64015a…
10-25 23:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf8b61f…
10-25 10:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdcef47…
10-24 04:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3e69ee…
10-22 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa11894…
10-13 07:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x632282…
10-12 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x45b235…
10-12 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x895a73…
10-12 02:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x901131…
10-11 08:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf078c8…
10-11 05:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x223c5c…
10-10 22:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6c45a0…
10-10 15:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe18736…
10-10 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf222ec…
10-09 12:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x129347…
10-08 15:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5a4ffb…
10-08 10:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x46bf5e…
10-06 20:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa97a39…
10-06 17:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcf5fca…
10-06 16:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0af0e4…
10-05 23:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd379f8…
10-05 13:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0dbd60…
10-05 09:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x359344…
10-03 11:15:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf017f2…
10-03 10:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa6b12f…
10-02 17:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9000d2…
09-30 23:00:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x112106…
09-30 19:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8980e4…
09-30 06:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf2f38a…
09-29 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x822128…
09-29 09:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf964ad…
09-29 08:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfd44cd…
09-28 23:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xeed8d5…
09-28 14:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb18f8b…
09-28 05:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x624b24…
09-28 01:15:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd073e3…
09-27 18:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xda9168…
09-25 15:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf9b046…
09-25 11:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6be634…
09-25 08:40:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xccf031…
09-25 01:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4a4683…
09-24 22:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0f0759…
09-24 21:55:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9915cf…
09-24 00:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xfee018…
09-23 12:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x60b625…
09-23 10:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x205c32…
09-23 02:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x535f04…
09-23 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xcdc6ad…
09-22 13:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8497ea…
09-20 12:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x91f64f…
09-18 02:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaca6a5…
09-17 19:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe408d2…
09-17 14:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x58e550…
09-17 11:40:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc5414c…
09-17 06:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa6581a…
09-16 22:05:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x49bf91…
09-16 16:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x4fb415…
09-16 16:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x07698d…
09-15 18:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x24c76c…
09-14 07:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd32aca…
09-13 19:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf65a8b…
09-13 04:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x60c9ef…
09-13 00:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4f1c7e…
09-12 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x402a8b…
09-12 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x069188…
09-12 07:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5bda39…
09-11 17:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3c9f28…
09-11 11:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6eb938…
09-11 08:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9ada63…
09-10 11:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd5a1ba…
09-10 09:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x912ad2…
09-10 05:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x253ad0…
09-10 01:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe8fc10…
09-09 07:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xfe3e75…
09-09 07:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf304ac…
09-08 04:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf30ee0…
09-08 01:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe12b0d…
09-07 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa5fe5b…
09-07 19:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa10b1d…
09-07 09:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x96e666…
09-06 22:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x81ebfd…
09-06 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0bb2b7…
09-05 19:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x918267…
09-04 08:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x65342b…
09-04 01:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4ef7c9…
09-02 13:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc19fa0…
09-02 06:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7bac43…
08-31 21:05:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd470fb…
08-31 13:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa65e7d…
08-31 03:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x39bca5…
08-30 08:00:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5d8bae…