Frilly-Router — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$450

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$27.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 09-06 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

49% 96% +$21

Crypto

32% 100% +$10

Sports

19% 53% -$483

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	No	+$0	05-29 01:41
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	16	$2.1K	2,130	0	+2,130	No	+$4	05-19 08:21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$2.1K	2,127	0	+2,127	No	+$2	05-21 09:20
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	2	$2.1K	2,115	0	+2,115	No	+$2	05-15 04:13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$2.1K	2,110	0	+2,110	No	+$2	05-15 19:22
Thunder vs. Spurs	8	$2.1K	2,092	0	+2,092	Spurs	+$9	05-29 03:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	1	$2.1K	2,084	0	+2,084	No	+$2	06-01 12:27
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$2.1K	2,083	0	+2,083	Spurs	+$4	05-25 02:38
bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	1	$2.0K	2,017	0	+2,017	No	+$2	06-04 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	2	$1.7K	1,666	0	+1,666	No	+$7	06-14 07:25
will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 4	6	$1.3K	1,266	0	+1,266	No	+$1	06-05 03:00
will bitcoin reach 67k on june 4	2	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	06-05 01:54
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$500	502	0	+502	No	+$2	05-14 06:05
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$366	406	0	+406	Knicks	-$366	06-11 03:11
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	3	$262	262	0	+262	No	+$0	05-18 03:31
Spurs vs. Thunder	5	$252	286	26	+260	Thunder	+$11	05-27 02:57
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 0 19	1	$84	84	0	+84	No	+$0	01-21 06:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	06-14 13:36
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$75	76	0	+76	No	+$1	07-24 08:55
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$68	69	0	+69	No	+$1	03-16 05:13
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	5	$64	116	116	+0	Knicks	-$10	05-20 02:33
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$62	91	91	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-21 02:02
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-06 13:25
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$54	86	0	+86	Knicks	-$54	06-06 02:17
will ethereum reach 2000 on june 4	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	06-05 02:19
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 0 19	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-10 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	08-07 13:12
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	02-25 13:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$41	43	0	+43	Yes	+$2	06-14 13:48
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$40	81	0	+81	Thunder	-$40	05-23 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 08:07:18	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd61551…
08-07 13:12:34	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xab0054…
08-07 13:12:12	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3977c3…
07-24 08:55:18	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xe2ba23…
07-24 08:34:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8510c…
07-24 08:34:25	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdc15e7…
07-24 08:34:12	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf48be3…
07-24 08:34:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf59d39…
06-14 13:48:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x5e06b6…
06-14 13:36:18	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x496321…
06-14 13:35:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xe6eba6…
06-14 13:35:21	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x62ceba…
06-14 07:25:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x567723…
06-14 07:23:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,566	100¢	$1,560	0x94dd14…
06-11 03:11:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xda4afb…
06-11 03:11:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd48bf9…
06-11 03:07:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x213d64…
06-06 02:17:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x55d87a…
06-05 03:00:18	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 4	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ef82e…
06-05 02:59:45	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 4	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xbe3e83…
06-05 02:58:33	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 4	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1fbb6e…
06-05 02:58:31	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 4	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x16c547…
06-05 02:51:13	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 4	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xf2ba99…
06-05 02:43:25	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 4	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7d143f…
06-05 02:19:27	will ethereum reach 2000 on june 4	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xa62d19…
06-05 01:54:16	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 4	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x38427c…
06-05 01:50:22	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 4	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x736d01…
06-04 12:02:21	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	2,017	100¢	$2,015	0xb400ff…
06-04 12:01:49	will bitcoin reach 71k on june 4	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37763d…
06-04 12:01:42	will bitcoin reach 72k on june 4	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0c05a…
06-04 12:00:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa892ea…
06-01 12:27:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	2,084	100¢	$2,082	0x462757…
06-01 12:25:55	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbed8fb…
05-29 03:04:35	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	568	100¢	$567	0x18097f…
05-29 03:04:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x31bea5…
05-29 03:04:30	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfc36dd…
05-29 03:04:21	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1d1b05…
05-29 03:04:14	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xc2065c…
05-29 03:04:12	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x644c76…
05-29 03:04:11	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,014	0x0e6b0b…
05-29 01:41:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1,515	100¢	$1,513	0xc7aa48…
05-27 13:44:26	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbe5617…
05-27 02:57:47	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5ce0e6…
05-27 02:53:02	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	37	93¢	$35	0x0e2fc0…
05-27 02:53:00	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	173	93¢	$161	0x9ab800…
05-27 02:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x7e5716…
05-27 02:50:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x2c0b23…
05-26 14:14:38	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8848c4…
05-25 07:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,020	100¢	$2,018	0xbb0558…
05-25 07:06:32	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xea0c12…
05-25 07:05:48	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8af89f…
05-25 02:38:03	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2,083	100¢	$2,079	0x4932c5…
05-23 12:48:48	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x7353b7…
05-23 01:47:02	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4b9ed3…
05-22 03:53:47	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x49f6d7…
05-21 09:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,107	100¢	$2,105	0xa06915…
05-21 08:13:00	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1a0274…
05-21 08:12:53	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x10b2a8…
05-21 08:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c8d7c…
05-21 02:02:43	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	91	35¢	$32	0xed38a0…
05-20 05:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xadc5bc…
05-20 05:52:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x929169…
05-20 02:33:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	116	23¢	$27	0x364b6f…
05-20 02:03:59	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc63fa5…
05-20 01:56:31	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x772bde…
05-19 12:22:03	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x8fb83d…
05-19 08:21:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	606	100¢	$605	0xc14de0…
05-19 08:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xc3d372…
05-19 08:07:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x258372…
05-19 08:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf8dc56…
05-19 08:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x2ea333…
05-19 08:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfdfb9b…
05-19 08:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf62d36…
05-19 08:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa8f0b8…
05-19 08:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8493c7…
05-19 08:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdb6a31…
05-19 08:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc7ebc8…
05-19 08:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc2e1ab…
05-19 08:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8577d3…
05-19 08:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x50dac5…
05-19 08:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x402916…
05-19 08:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,196	100¢	$1,194	0x7ec298…
05-19 07:54:18	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xcd2530…
05-18 03:31:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb75ab…
05-18 03:31:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x710f09…
05-18 03:30:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0xa628c2…
05-18 03:13:40	Will Solana dip to $75 on May 17?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe2f318…
05-15 19:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,110	100¢	$2,108	0x0ccf48…
05-15 12:14:59	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7dc6b8…
05-15 04:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	2,043	100¢	$2,041	0x3f5922…
05-15 03:02:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x6abc09…
05-15 02:51:58	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf1b8e8…
05-14 06:05:44	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x0848ff…
05-14 06:05:25	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x75a42c…
04-06 13:26:01	nba por den 2026 04 06	Nuggets	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x983e72…
04-06 13:25:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6050b0…
04-06 13:25:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 580plus	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9fa68e…
04-06 13:25:27	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdc9132…
03-25 12:15:45	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xec40d1…
03-25 12:15:31	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x192c04…