Superficial-Caboose-Decrease — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$51

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved (30d)

967

Trades (30d)

2,881

9,030 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$9.04K

$21.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-28 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 70% -$40

Other

1% 9% -$85

Politics

0% 13% -$13

Sports

0% 6% -$5

Tech

0% 17% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down		+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$1	10-28 04:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:30 UTC	15	$142	140	140	+0	Down	-$5	07-11 05:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 06:30 UTC	6	$104	75	75	+0	Down	+$22	07-20 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	12	$96	180	0	+180	Up	-$6	05-01 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	12	$94	180	0	+180	Down	-$4	05-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	12	$91	180	0	+180	Down	-$1	05-01 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	11	$84	170	0	+170	Down	-$4	05-01 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	9	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	09-28 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$59	90	0	+90	Down	-$19	05-01 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	7	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	09-30 11:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC	7	$54	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	09-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	+$12	05-11 21:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 04:00 UTC	9	$49	56	51	+5	Down	-$5	06-13 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	7	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	10-02 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	8	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$5	05-01 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:45 UTC	8	$39	45	15	+30	Down	$0	07-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$39	97	0	+97	Down	-$39	05-11 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$39	75	0	+75	Down	-$39	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$39	74	0	+74	Down	-$39	05-11 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$39	66	0	+66	Down	+$27	05-11 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$39	65	0	+65	Down	-$4	05-01 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	4	$37	65	0	+65	Up	+$23	07-23 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	9	$35	30	15	+15	Up	-$6	03-26 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$35	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	05-01 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	8	$35	40	0	+40	Up	+$5	09-28 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 10:30 UTC	7	$34	35	0	+35	Up	+$1	09-30 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Up	+$7	09-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Down	+$7	09-29 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	9	$33	45	0	+45	Down	+$12	09-30 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$32	56	8	+48	Up	+$2	04-27 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC	7	$32	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	09-15 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xe1eda7…
10-28 03:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x909083…
10-28 03:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb7f4ab…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22589a…
10-28 03:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x661792…
10-28 03:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3eb58c…
10-28 03:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x28101a…
10-28 03:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8d66a9…
10-28 03:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x13086f…
10-28 02:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb3a8ff…
10-28 02:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa4224e…
10-28 02:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbac861…
10-28 02:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x371ef5…
10-28 02:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x707158…
10-28 02:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x49af12…
10-28 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa2db7e…
10-28 02:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x094c1c…
10-28 02:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x266ae5…
10-28 01:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd7fb69…
10-28 01:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf84ae8…
10-28 01:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xde2e21…
10-28 01:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xc4a292…
10-28 01:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x9fd285…
10-28 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc3bd57…
10-28 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc3b795…
10-28 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x1374ff…
10-28 01:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x412ab2…
10-28 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x31d8f2…
10-28 00:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x63cda5…
10-28 00:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x347a26…
10-28 00:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xce6137…
10-28 00:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x81e386…
10-28 00:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9372ad…
10-28 00:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x5a6dd3…
10-28 00:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb05f3a…
10-28 00:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x585cd9…
10-27 23:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb8d20b…
10-27 23:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7fb41d…
10-27 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x67bff8…
10-27 23:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xc08bc7…
10-27 23:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x50b7bf…
10-27 23:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xdbb511…
10-27 23:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x507ef5…
10-27 23:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5e721e…
10-27 23:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xe95123…
10-27 22:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa2a737…
10-27 22:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x8e87da…
10-27 22:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x054fd8…
10-27 22:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc6882e…
10-27 22:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c8d28…
10-27 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x68a5cf…
10-27 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9bca5b…
10-27 22:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xb669d0…
10-27 21:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x34f71b…
10-27 21:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x5cf380…
10-27 21:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xac1631…
10-27 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa20302…
10-27 21:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4b2346…
10-27 21:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xed6155…
10-27 21:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf1232c…
10-27 21:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x1780d0…
10-27 21:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b7087…
10-27 21:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7b4380…
10-27 20:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe71603…
10-27 20:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x43ac22…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x662c43…
10-27 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x5a6945…
10-27 20:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1da6b7…
10-27 20:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xd7477f…
10-27 20:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe6622f…
10-27 20:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x3b8f5f…
10-27 19:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf054c8…
10-27 19:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x39e798…
10-27 19:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x7265e7…
10-27 19:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x452f73…
10-27 19:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x4b187f…
10-27 19:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5949ce…
10-27 19:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x057463…
10-27 19:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd36430…
10-27 19:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa616ba…
10-27 19:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x52cd93…
10-27 18:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0915df…
10-27 18:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe23d5e…
10-27 18:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbe1747…
10-27 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd219f2…
10-27 18:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0faa3c…
10-27 18:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x9e7e58…
10-27 18:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd074a0…
10-27 18:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x8eb630…
10-27 17:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc4340b…
10-27 17:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe371d3…
10-27 17:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x526ceb…
10-27 17:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x1da2d1…
10-27 17:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1dfcbe…
10-27 17:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xf06cfe…
10-27 17:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcaae1e…
10-27 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xa5ac1d…
10-27 17:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x894f48…
10-27 16:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6baa8e…
10-27 16:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xe8ad7d…