Superficial-Caboose-Decrease — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$44

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved (30d)

997

Trades (30d)

2,910

9,088 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$9.07K

$21.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-28 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 70% -$31

Other

1% 9% -$85

Politics

0% 13% -$13

Sports

0% 6% -$5

Tech

0% 17% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$1	10-28 08:02
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	+7	$2	28¢	$2	$0	10-28 08:01
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-28 08:01
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	+7	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-28 08:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:30 UTC	15	$142	140	140	+0	Down	-$5	07-11 05:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 06:30 UTC	6	$104	75	75	+0	Down	+$22	07-20 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	12	$96	180	0	+180	Up	-$6	05-01 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	12	$94	180	0	+180	Down	-$4	05-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	12	$91	180	0	+180	Down	-$1	05-01 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	11	$84	170	0	+170	Down	-$4	05-01 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	9	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	09-28 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$59	90	0	+90	Down	-$19	05-01 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	7	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	09-30 11:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC	7	$54	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	09-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	+$12	05-11 21:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 04:00 UTC	9	$49	56	51	+5	Down	-$5	06-13 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	7	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	10-02 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	8	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$5	05-01 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:45 UTC	8	$39	45	15	+30	Down	$0	07-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$39	97	0	+97	Down	-$39	05-11 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$39	75	0	+75	Down	-$39	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$39	74	0	+74	Down	-$39	05-11 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$39	66	0	+66	Down	+$27	05-11 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$39	65	0	+65	Down	-$4	05-01 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	4	$37	65	0	+65	Up	+$23	07-23 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	9	$35	30	15	+15	Up	-$6	03-26 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$35	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	05-01 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	8	$35	40	0	+40	Up	+$5	09-28 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 10:30 UTC	7	$34	35	0	+35	Up	+$1	09-30 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Up	+$7	09-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Down	+$7	09-29 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	9	$33	45	0	+45	Down	+$12	09-30 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$32	56	8	+48	Up	+$2	04-27 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC	7	$32	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	09-15 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xc84227…
10-28 08:01:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x766de9…
10-28 08:01:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xce15d5…
10-28 08:01:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x693d6b…
10-28 07:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x387352…
10-28 07:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x429dd6…
10-28 07:45:23	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x628a68…
10-28 07:45:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x84b2e7…
10-28 07:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x5846bb…
10-28 07:45:01	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x873f00…
10-28 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa2912b…
10-28 07:44:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xca28da…
10-28 07:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x36b8e7…
10-28 07:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x87762a…
10-28 07:36:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe3e080…
10-28 07:31:22	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb2f29e…
10-28 07:29:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf30c45…
10-28 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc17aec…
10-28 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb82129…
10-28 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb700d8…
10-28 07:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x696c4d…
10-28 07:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x3484a4…
10-28 07:17:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe464e6…
10-28 07:17:14	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x43d659…
10-28 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x062ea6…
10-28 07:04:40	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x645699…
10-28 07:00:25	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x78642c…
10-28 07:00:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x6048bd…
10-28 06:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9af45…
10-28 06:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x4e8dc5…
10-28 06:51:23	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x7c9b56…
10-28 06:51:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x6e1ada…
10-28 06:47:47	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x401fea…
10-28 06:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xfc1b98…
10-28 06:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfde33a…
10-28 06:35:47	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x709de8…
10-28 06:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x2e6fc1…
10-28 06:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x28ed13…
10-28 06:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1541fe…
10-28 06:29:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e82a6…
10-28 06:29:01	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x67dce6…
10-28 06:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd42953…
10-28 06:28:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9d564d…
10-28 06:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xa75686…
10-28 06:20:28	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x1e870b…
10-28 06:20:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x340210…
10-28 06:19:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x90eb7e…
10-28 06:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x730408…
10-28 06:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x530107…
10-28 06:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x8c08ed…
10-28 06:05:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf936d8…
10-28 06:01:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xd33777…
10-28 05:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f3820…
10-28 05:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe06e13…
10-28 05:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x2dcce8…
10-28 05:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x11e3c1…
10-28 05:51:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8952f0…
10-28 05:51:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x76aef0…
10-28 05:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x796742…
10-28 05:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xea8e0b…
10-28 05:33:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0aabb6…
10-28 05:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xde527a…
10-28 05:32:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x6c1460…
10-28 05:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x9947f6…
10-28 05:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa67520…
10-28 05:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x59a722…
10-28 05:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x10d1fe…
10-28 05:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x05d7fb…
10-28 04:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xccd505…
10-28 04:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x603779…
10-28 04:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8830c9…
10-28 04:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x2dcf7c…
10-28 04:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe297dd…
10-28 04:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xfd69f2…
10-28 04:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x03a520…
10-28 04:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xe1eda7…
10-28 03:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x909083…
10-28 03:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xb7f4ab…
10-28 03:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x22589a…
10-28 03:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x661792…
10-28 03:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3eb58c…
10-28 03:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x28101a…
10-28 03:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8d66a9…
10-28 03:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x13086f…
10-28 02:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb3a8ff…
10-28 02:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xa4224e…
10-28 02:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbac861…
10-28 02:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x371ef5…
10-28 02:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x707158…
10-28 02:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x49af12…
10-28 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa2db7e…
10-28 02:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x094c1c…
10-28 02:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x266ae5…
10-28 01:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd7fb69…
10-28 01:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xf84ae8…
10-28 01:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xde2e21…
10-28 01:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xc4a292…
10-28 01:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x9fd285…
10-28 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc3bd57…
10-28 01:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc3b795…