Superficial-Caboose-Decrease — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$161

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved (90d)

1,789

Trades (90d)

5,082

9,259 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$15.7K

$22.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-28 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 69% -$41

Other

1% 9% -$85

Politics

0% 13% -$13

Sports

0% 6% -$5

Tech

0% 17% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	—	+7	$2	8¢	$1	-$1	10-28 14:49
XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	—	+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-28 14:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	—	+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-28 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:30 UTC	15	$142	140	140	+0	Down	-$5	07-11 05:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 06:30 UTC	6	$104	75	75	+0	Down	+$22	07-20 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	12	$96	180	0	+180	Up	-$6	05-01 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	12	$94	180	0	+180	Down	-$4	05-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	12	$91	180	0	+180	Down	-$1	05-01 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	11	$84	170	0	+170	Down	-$4	05-01 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	9	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	09-28 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$59	90	0	+90	Down	-$19	05-01 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	7	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	09-30 11:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC	7	$54	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	09-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	+$12	05-11 21:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 04:00 UTC	9	$49	56	51	+5	Down	-$5	06-13 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	7	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	10-02 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	8	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$5	05-01 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:45 UTC	8	$39	45	15	+30	Down	$0	07-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$39	97	0	+97	Down	-$39	05-11 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$39	75	0	+75	Down	-$39	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$39	74	0	+74	Down	-$39	05-11 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$39	66	0	+66	Down	+$27	05-11 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$39	65	0	+65	Down	-$4	05-01 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	4	$37	65	0	+65	Up	+$23	07-23 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	9	$35	30	15	+15	Up	-$6	03-26 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$35	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	05-01 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	8	$35	40	0	+40	Up	+$5	09-28 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 10:30 UTC	7	$34	35	0	+35	Up	+$1	09-30 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Up	+$7	09-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Down	+$7	09-29 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	9	$33	45	0	+45	Down	+$12	09-30 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$32	56	8	+48	Up	+$2	04-27 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC	7	$32	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	09-15 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:49:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x1acd4a…
10-28 14:48:46	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4d1904…
10-28 14:47:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd0c748…
10-28 14:44:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x0a12c7…
10-28 14:44:20	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x78c699…
10-28 14:44:20	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x75906d…
10-28 14:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x74e422…
10-28 14:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x58ca80…
10-28 14:37:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf806bc…
10-28 14:30:55	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe481c0…
10-28 14:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xad72ad…
10-28 14:16:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x06f280…
10-28 14:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4f9ffc…
10-28 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x275746…
10-28 14:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x085d52…
10-28 14:01:07	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x85d92a…
10-28 14:01:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x326c9c…
10-28 13:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x60c0d1…
10-28 13:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x97be68…
10-28 13:46:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x03facb…
10-28 13:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xdde881…
10-28 13:46:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x2b5a09…
10-28 13:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3aa1d1…
10-28 13:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xf384cf…
10-28 13:30:50	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa6f1ba…
10-28 13:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x4f7e80…
10-28 13:30:35	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xaa0a5e…
10-28 13:28:49	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf58aa…
10-28 13:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xace264…
10-28 13:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xbda7b9…
10-28 13:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xdcf829…
10-28 13:22:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xa737c1…
10-28 13:17:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x0ff38a…
10-28 13:14:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x70acfc…
10-28 13:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6ea18f…
10-28 13:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x4d7eb5…
10-28 13:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xdc0d1d…
10-28 13:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x8f4966…
10-28 13:06:38	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xefa25b…
10-28 13:04:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x8518aa…
10-28 12:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d7cbd…
10-28 12:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x4255cb…
10-28 12:47:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x574387…
10-28 12:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9dafb3…
10-28 12:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x80a5b3…
10-28 12:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xab0fe5…
10-28 12:32:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x166fee…
10-28 12:32:41	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x12a41e…
10-28 12:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x824070…
10-28 12:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x3a376a…
10-28 12:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x938a43…
10-28 12:18:41	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x059c7c…
10-28 12:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd1e245…
10-28 12:17:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2f42e6…
10-28 12:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8c4901…
10-28 12:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xf505b4…
10-28 12:02:56	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xf65ae1…
10-28 12:02:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x0c0cb2…
10-28 12:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xf66208…
10-28 11:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x779d5e…
10-28 11:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x93748c…
10-28 11:55:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x0eee37…
10-28 11:54:55	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xf77f5f…
10-28 11:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xafde2a…
10-28 11:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1eccaa…
10-28 11:44:17	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x914310…
10-28 11:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x4a9906…
10-28 11:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2cea3e…
10-28 11:34:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3c71c0…
10-28 11:33:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x6405c6…
10-28 11:31:26	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf609bc…
10-28 11:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x942088…
10-28 11:28:55	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcdb1b2…
10-28 11:27:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x59a9fe…
10-28 11:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb71ee7…
10-28 11:23:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xaea550…
10-28 11:21:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8cd652…
10-28 11:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x79d8f7…
10-28 11:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x28f8f8…
10-28 11:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x2a47d5…
10-28 11:03:38	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xddf13b…
10-28 11:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xbe2c0d…
10-28 11:00:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xe425db…
10-28 10:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x34b4a2…
10-28 10:58:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5ae6b…
10-28 10:58:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf52b23…
10-28 10:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x106897…
10-28 10:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xce0990…
10-28 10:52:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8b4710…
10-28 10:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x4528de…
10-28 10:45:26	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xf310cb…
10-28 10:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0bda75…
10-28 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5434bb…
10-28 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2b29da…
10-28 10:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x9cc624…
10-28 10:38:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7a4ceb…
10-28 10:38:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8ff926…
10-28 10:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x18cec1…
10-28 10:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa067c4…
10-28 10:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe3c630…