Superficial-Caboose-Decrease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

4,029

Trades

9,161

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-28 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 70% -$26

Other

1% 9% -$85

Politics

0% 13% -$13

Sports

0% 6% -$5

Tech

0% 17% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	—	+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	10-28 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:30 UTC	15	$142	140	140	+0	Down	-$5	07-11 05:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 06:30 UTC	6	$104	75	75	+0	Down	+$22	07-20 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	12	$96	180	0	+180	Up	-$6	05-01 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	12	$94	180	0	+180	Down	-$4	05-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	12	$91	180	0	+180	Down	-$1	05-01 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	11	$84	170	0	+170	Down	-$4	05-01 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	9	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	09-28 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	7	$59	90	0	+90	Down	-$19	05-01 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	7	$57	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	09-30 11:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 17:00 UTC	7	$54	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	09-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Up	+$12	05-11 21:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 04:00 UTC	9	$49	56	51	+5	Down	-$5	06-13 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	7	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$9	10-02 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	8	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$5	05-01 08:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-11 05:45 UTC	8	$39	45	15	+30	Down	$0	07-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$39	97	0	+97	Down	-$39	05-11 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$39	75	0	+75	Down	-$39	05-12 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$39	74	0	+74	Down	-$39	05-11 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$39	66	0	+66	Down	+$27	05-11 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$39	65	0	+65	Down	-$4	05-01 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 21:45 UTC	4	$37	65	0	+65	Up	+$23	07-23 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	9	$35	30	15	+15	Up	-$6	03-26 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	8	$35	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	05-01 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	8	$35	40	0	+40	Up	+$5	09-28 12:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 10:30 UTC	7	$34	35	0	+35	Up	+$1	09-30 10:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Up	+$7	09-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	8	$33	40	0	+40	Down	+$7	09-29 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	9	$33	45	0	+45	Down	+$12	09-30 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$32	56	8	+48	Up	+$2	04-27 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC	7	$32	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	09-15 06:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:00:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xe425db…
10-28 10:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x34b4a2…
10-28 10:58:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5ae6b…
10-28 10:58:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf52b23…
10-28 10:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x106897…
10-28 10:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xce0990…
10-28 10:52:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8b4710…
10-28 10:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x4528de…
10-28 10:45:26	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xf310cb…
10-28 10:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0bda75…
10-28 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5434bb…
10-28 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2b29da…
10-28 10:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x9cc624…
10-28 10:38:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7a4ceb…
10-28 10:38:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8ff926…
10-28 10:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x18cec1…
10-28 10:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa067c4…
10-28 10:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xe3c630…
10-28 10:22:25	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x25cef6…
10-28 10:16:34	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xb19097…
10-28 10:16:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xfbe5d8…
10-28 10:15:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3c85d8…
10-28 10:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xda3113…
10-28 10:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xae7808…
10-28 10:07:16	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd40221…
10-28 10:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5a27f3…
10-28 10:01:38	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xbbae0b…
10-28 09:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe37f41…
10-28 09:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x72ec52…
10-28 09:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x450920…
10-28 09:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x7d1402…
10-28 09:52:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xfcb373…
10-28 09:48:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x93d031…
10-28 09:46:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xb3a73f…
10-28 09:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3873a…
10-28 09:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xd83b3b…
10-28 09:44:07	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7e614f…
10-28 09:42:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb75d96…
10-28 09:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb567a0…
10-28 09:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x00fa13…
10-28 09:33:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x317969…
10-28 09:33:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x63ec94…
10-28 09:28:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf4f827…
10-28 09:28:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x61e36d…
10-28 09:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x771b99…
10-28 09:21:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x8c88f3…
10-28 09:21:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x21f94e…
10-28 09:20:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc04c3f…
10-28 09:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x4ff0ab…
10-28 09:14:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x696b33…
10-28 09:14:08	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x68b1a6…
10-28 09:13:59	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9b7279…
10-28 09:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5647f…
10-28 09:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x41700b…
10-28 09:07:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x7288d1…
10-28 09:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x8049f6…
10-28 09:01:04	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xcdfaa4…
10-28 08:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b0f37…
10-28 08:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xb22835…
10-28 08:46:25	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xfec89f…
10-28 08:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x48ddfe…
10-28 08:46:20	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xb95bc1…
10-28 08:43:26	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x598def…
10-28 08:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x410c2c…
10-28 08:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x1b4290…
10-28 08:35:41	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb1cc53…
10-28 08:31:05	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x87d37d…
10-28 08:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa740e8…
10-28 08:22:58	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x05caeb…
10-28 08:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc5c21a…
10-28 08:21:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xb9928e…
10-28 08:18:47	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x0a1cd1…
10-28 08:14:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd34158…
10-28 08:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeb191a…
10-28 08:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xc84227…
10-28 08:01:32	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x766de9…
10-28 08:01:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xce15d5…
10-28 08:01:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x693d6b…
10-28 07:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x387352…
10-28 07:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x429dd6…
10-28 07:45:23	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x628a68…
10-28 07:45:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x84b2e7…
10-28 07:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x5846bb…
10-28 07:45:01	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x873f00…
10-28 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa2912b…
10-28 07:44:13	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xca28da…
10-28 07:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x36b8e7…
10-28 07:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x87762a…
10-28 07:36:28	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xe3e080…
10-28 07:31:22	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb2f29e…
10-28 07:29:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf30c45…
10-28 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc17aec…
10-28 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb82129…
10-28 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb700d8…
10-28 07:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x696c4d…
10-28 07:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x3484a4…
10-28 07:17:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe464e6…
10-28 07:17:14	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x43d659…
10-28 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x062ea6…
10-28 07:04:40	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x645699…