Hopeful-Quota — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$230

Open exposure

$48

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-27 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

98% 98% +$123

Crypto

2% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+32	$32	99¢	$32	$0	10-27 08:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+16	$16	97¢	$16	+$0	08-04 22:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	81	$18.9K	30,000	0	+30,000	No	+$1,122	03-04 15:27
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	44	$18.4K	9,488	9,487	+0	Yes	+$28	03-03 04:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	16	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$152	03-04 23:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	9	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$210	03-04 12:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	19	$2.2K	11,632	0	+11,632	Yes	-$1,392	03-04 03:40
highest temperature in warsaw on march 27 2026 6c	1	$71	71	0	+71	No	+$0	03-27 03:22
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 42c	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	04-03 04:16
highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 19c	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	04-13 04:57
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 43c	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-03 04:16
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-27 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 10?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	09-09 02:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-14 11:00
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 80 99	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-23 10:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 9c	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-16 02:36
Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-20 03:07
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	10-27 08:56
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	10-27 08:54
ethereum above 2500 on march 4	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-02 04:03
highest temperature in manila on october 29 2026 28corbelow	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	10-27 08:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 9?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	09-09 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	07-04 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 5?	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-04 22:53
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 20 39	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	03-11 02:39
ethereum above 2400 on march 3	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	03-02 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on August 6?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-04 22:52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on May 6?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-05 04:08
bitcoin above 56k on march 7	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	03-05 00:07
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-20 03:09
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 60 79	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-11 02:38
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 6c	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-19 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:56:35	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x54e0d8…
10-27 08:56:11	highest temperature in manila on october 29 2026 28corbelow	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcfdbc6…
10-27 08:54:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x882e11…
09-09 02:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3d5641…
09-09 02:31:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa2d291…
09-09 02:30:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd454a0…
08-04 22:56:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xa5b0d7…
08-04 22:54:48	will xrp reach 1pt8 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x05f8b6…
08-04 22:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb24e3…
08-04 22:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc9d05a…
08-04 22:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on August 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb38362…
07-30 08:16:50	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on July 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xce3349…
07-30 08:16:15	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf24692…
07-30 08:15:38	solana above 110 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5bab00…
07-30 08:15:12	will solana dip to 20 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x60db85…
07-30 08:14:29	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc0d6bd…
07-04 09:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2848cb…
07-04 09:34:31	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x593e20…
07-04 09:34:04	bitcoin above 50k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8f66bd…
07-04 09:33:50	bitcoin above 56k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xee8c98…
07-04 09:33:29	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe34bfc…
06-14 11:03:55	solana above 110 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xed5c77…
06-14 11:03:34	solana above 100 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x68d903…
06-14 11:02:54	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 18?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8e960a…
06-14 11:02:24	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf61ff3…
06-14 11:02:10	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 16?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x08fe7f…
06-14 11:01:39	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd972fb…
06-14 11:00:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf13bd7…
05-12 08:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1526b6…
05-12 08:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbd6ca4…
05-12 08:54:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb30f21…
05-12 08:53:28	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x113a91…
05-05 04:10:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5fc04f…
05-05 04:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x766cc1…
05-05 04:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x82dcce…
05-05 04:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on May 6?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x803a41…
04-25 02:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x134a5d…
04-25 02:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa16ae3…
04-20 03:09:08	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfd93fb…
04-20 03:07:12	Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3744c2…
04-19 11:21:24	xrp above 0pt8 on april 20	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfa1f7b…
04-19 11:20:58	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 6c	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4262f1…
04-16 02:37:16	highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x855f89…
04-16 02:36:24	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 9c	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3aa19b…
04-16 02:35:54	lowest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2d70c3…
04-13 04:57:31	highest temperature in mexico city on april 13 2026 19c	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x857134…
04-09 08:35:53	ethereum above 1600 on april 12	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa3f875…
04-09 08:35:19	ethereum above 2600 on april 11	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc4f766…
04-09 08:35:07	ethereum above 1800 on april 10	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa6744f…
04-03 04:16:49	highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 42c	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x0673f8…
04-03 04:16:23	highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 43c	No	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0xf172dc…
03-27 03:22:03	highest temperature in warsaw on march 27 2026 6c	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x654cb9…
03-27 03:19:51	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8c9af8…
03-23 10:07:31	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1c7631…
03-23 10:07:09	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 180 199	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x358c45…
03-23 10:06:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 80 99	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xcc3084…
03-21 07:13:37	will bitcoin reach 86k march 16 22	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd4001b…
03-21 07:13:01	bitcoin above 84k on march 23	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2bc0b6…
03-21 07:12:51	bitcoin above 74k on march 21	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcac09b…
03-21 07:12:37	bitcoin above 82k on march 22	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9fb31a…
03-18 07:35:59	will the price of solana be less than 40 on march 21	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe68652…
03-18 07:35:47	will the price of solana be between 40 50 on march 20	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5d5498…
03-18 07:35:35	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 19	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x02265d…
03-18 07:34:35	solana above 70 on march 19	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1990bf…
03-16 06:55:57	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 32 33f	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5102b2…
03-16 06:55:35	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 120 139	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x36de39…
03-16 06:55:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xda48f4…
03-14 08:56:23	highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 37forbelow	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x38c6fc…
03-14 08:56:11	highest temperature in seattle on march 15 2026 54forhigher	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x12eee4…
03-14 08:55:49	highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 52forhigher	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x477767…
03-11 02:40:21	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x857aa6…
03-11 02:39:21	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 20 39	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa7ecee…
03-11 02:38:59	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 60 79	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8994fc…
03-11 02:38:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd59f26…
03-11 02:38:29	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbf98f9…
03-05 00:07:39	bitcoin above 56k on march 7	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0a2175…
03-05 00:07:23	bitcoin above 56k on march 6	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfbf7aa…
03-04 23:02:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	520	99¢	$512	0xd9f094…
03-04 22:58:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	667	99¢	$657	0x7f3da1…
03-04 22:47:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0xd2c3fd…
03-04 18:56:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0x86a17c…
03-04 18:18:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5b84db…
03-04 18:11:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x20ea90…
03-04 16:51:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0xa3481b…
03-04 16:04:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$131	0x4c5cde…
03-04 15:59:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfcb39f…
03-04 15:42:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$113	0x3bb9db…
03-04 15:27:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,538	90¢	$7,684	0xcd4abe…
03-04 15:26:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x8d9ee1…
03-04 15:25:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,865	98¢	$1,837	0x1d8b95…
03-04 15:24:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5b6955…
03-04 15:24:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$302	0x5c8426…
03-04 14:30:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xd17a81…
03-04 14:11:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	721	98¢	$710	0x019750…
03-04 13:47:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xbaa1dd…
03-04 13:47:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x8a57f3…
03-04 13:47:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x70e036…
03-04 13:47:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x6f2d42…
03-04 13:45:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x9956d7…
03-04 13:45:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x90ffe3…