Realized P&L
-$314
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
75.6%
Resolved
346
Trades
586
lifetime
Volume
$20.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$87
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-27 17:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 64% -$116
Other
6% 20% -$157
Politics
3% 28% -$105
Sports
1% 67% +$70
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +67 $10 18¢ $12 +$2 10-18 14:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +125 $10 10¢ $12 +$2 10-18 14:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +32 $10 34¢ $11 +$1 10-19 09:31
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +250 $10 4¢ $11 +$1 10-19 07:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +15 $10 66¢ $10 +$0 10-27 17:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +297 $10 3¢ $10 $0 10-18 15:30
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +37 $10 23¢ $9 -$1 10-18 15:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +125 $10 4¢ $5 -$5 07-12 22:25
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +200 $9 2¢ $4 -$5 10-18 14:43
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +73 $10 4¢ $3 -$7 10-19 20:15
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 Yes +50 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 10-17 12:17