Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$617

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

19.5%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$7.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$991

8 positions

First seen

2026-10-29

last 11-09 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

65% 58% -$622

Other

34% 33% -$1

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	+350	$305	83¢	$290	-$15	11-09 09:44
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	+290	$205	86¢	$251	+$45	11-01 14:34
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	+200	$179	90¢	$181	+$2	10-31 06:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+133	$100	76¢	$102	+$2	11-09 09:52
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?	No	+96	$73	83¢	$79	+$6	11-05 04:01
National Guard deployed to election sites by December 31, 2026?	No	+77	$67	98¢	$75	+$8	11-05 07:06
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	+10	$9	90¢	$9	$0	10-30 07:35
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+50	$4	6¢	$3	$0	10-31 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	16	$2.8K	2,505	2,505	+0	Yes	-$653	11-01 06:53
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	13	$952	776	486	+290	open	—	11-01 14:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$497	268	268	+0	Yes	-$3	10-30 14:57
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	5	$478	450	100	+350	open	—	11-09 09:44
Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	3	$426	333	333	+0	open	—	11-09 09:44
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	5	$284	260	60	+200	open	—	10-31 06:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$204	110	110	+0	Yes	+$4	10-30 14:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	2	$188	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	11-01 08:47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	4	$124	68	68	+0	Yes	+$8	11-04 07:04
María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	2	$104	59	59	+0	open	—	10-30 14:56
Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?	2	$101	56	56	+0	open	—	10-30 15:13
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	2	$101	56	56	+0	open	—	10-30 15:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	11-09 09:52
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	2	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	10-30 16:02
Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?	3	$91	62	62	+0	open	—	10-29 17:44
Will AP call US House control by November 10, 11:59 PM?	2	$79	47	47	+0	Yes	-$1	10-30 16:03
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	2	$77	47	47	+0	Yes	+$17	11-04 04:41
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?	1	$73	96	0	+96	open	—	11-05 04:01
National Guard deployed to election sites by December 31, 2026?	1	$67	77	0	+77	open	—	11-05 07:06
Panthers vs. Packers	2	$61	31	31	+0	Packers	+$1	10-30 03:33
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$0	10-30 10:38
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	4	$51	82	82	+0	Yes	-$4	11-04 00:14
Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	1	$45	50	0	+50	No	+$5	10-30 04:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	10-30 10:43
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	10-30 16:03
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	25	25	+0	open	—	10-30 16:03
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	2	$39	24	24	+0	Yes	-$1	10-30 05:26
Obama arrested before 2027?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	10-30 16:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$5	11-04 04:41
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-30 16:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 09:52:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xcc2fff…
11-09 09:44:22	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x4e28db…
11-09 09:44:07	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	333	66¢	$220	0xfd60a1…
11-09 00:26:19	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x0473a5…
11-05 07:06:36	National Guard deployed to election sites by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x64d0d1…
11-05 04:01:07	Trump impeached and removed before 2028?	No	BUY	96	76¢	$73	0x48f65f…
11-04 17:16:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x9c2da0…
11-04 13:51:25	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xed43fb…
11-04 07:04:51	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x2f8c31…
11-04 05:04:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3ea34e…
11-04 04:45:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x23f5a4…
11-04 04:42:03	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x80b432…
11-04 04:41:40	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x38b8e8…
11-04 04:41:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb8b010…
11-04 04:41:16	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x0a523d…
11-04 00:17:01	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x12ab93…
11-04 00:14:31	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	30¢	$16	0xba5079…
11-04 00:07:48	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x0bed88…
11-04 00:06:48	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x6f0d47…
11-03 23:49:58	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x843505…
11-03 22:45:12	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x65f873…
11-03 22:43:39	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd443e3…
11-03 10:57:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x806cb4…
11-02 16:11:21	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2110e7…
11-01 14:34:07	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x333284…
11-01 10:23:27	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	160	78¢	$125	0xa0983c…
11-01 08:55:06	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x6f1204…
11-01 08:50:39	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	78¢	$48	0x99bd03…
11-01 08:49:03	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x3c816e…
11-01 08:49:01	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x04f9d4…
11-01 08:48:09	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xd85fbb…
11-01 08:47:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x766ace…
11-01 06:55:31	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	BUY	223	88¢	$197	0x82ec9f…
11-01 06:55:30	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xe8ddbd…
11-01 06:55:04	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x90e18a…
11-01 06:53:03	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	SELL	454	89¢	$405	0x178213…
11-01 02:25:27	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	454	88¢	$400	0xb7e4a1…
11-01 02:24:37	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x31bbd7…
11-01 02:23:43	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	274	80¢	$219	0xa048cd…
11-01 02:19:34	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	788	12¢	$93	0x46d755…
10-31 22:35:22	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x92f591…
10-31 22:34:48	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xcbedad…
10-31 10:06:16	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xab8116…
10-31 07:23:49	Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe590c9…
10-31 07:19:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x6e589d…
10-31 07:18:10	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x6676fd…
10-31 06:54:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x46bf78…
10-31 06:36:43	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xa03174…
10-31 06:35:25	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xae683e…
10-30 16:04:54	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	788	57¢	$450	0x113745…
10-30 16:04:16	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xa02453…
10-30 16:04:12	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xa9e16a…
10-30 16:03:52	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x8b5212…
10-30 16:03:43	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xac4aa6…
10-30 16:03:39	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xcc1975…
10-30 16:03:36	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0xca4286…
10-30 16:03:31	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x429d06…
10-30 16:03:27	JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xe7790a…
10-30 16:03:24	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x0ea288…
10-30 16:03:19	Obama arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x80f372…
10-30 16:03:12	Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x93b95b…
10-30 16:03:09	Will AP call US House control by November 10, 11:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	47	82¢	$39	0x3bd7fb…
10-30 16:02:58	Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x464744…
10-30 16:02:54	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0xdf47a4…
10-30 16:02:51	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	653	29¢	$187	0x1f19c9…
10-30 15:48:21	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	142	52¢	$74	0xf35bc1…
10-30 15:47:36	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	511	59¢	$300	0xc4a936…
10-30 15:46:52	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	SELL	583	64¢	$375	0xf6ac3f…
10-30 15:15:19	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	124	82¢	$102	0xa2f7cd…
10-30 15:13:51	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0xeed49d…
10-30 15:13:31	Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0xaae57d…
10-30 15:01:39	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	143	80¢	$115	0xba62ab…
10-30 15:00:54	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	162	71¢	$115	0xb84fa2…
10-30 14:58:10	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	125	79¢	$99	0x36c3c7…
10-30 14:57:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	106	93¢	$99	0xc2d1f5…
10-30 14:57:01	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x234ff9…
10-30 14:56:16	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	59	89¢	$52	0xe7caf0…
10-30 14:51:45	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	125	87¢	$109	0xa99686…
10-30 14:51:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$104	0xf76a7e…
10-30 14:49:57	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x65f5f0…
10-30 10:44:10	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	59	89¢	$52	0xd302d3…
10-30 10:43:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x6865d4…
10-30 10:38:07	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xa7fad1…
10-30 10:13:07	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5c0ee7…
10-30 09:50:09	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x464821…
10-30 09:37:37	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb89084…
10-30 09:37:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0d8648…
10-30 08:04:06	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x6ebd5d…
10-30 07:39:31	Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x91ff5a…
10-30 07:35:21	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4157a4…
10-30 06:53:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xb707bb…
10-30 06:27:07	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9d7a81…
10-30 06:26:19	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf3ddbf…
10-30 06:24:22	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x697f50…
10-30 06:19:19	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd122aa…
10-30 05:39:00	Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x1c01b4…
10-30 05:33:19	JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x58cfb1…
10-30 05:26:24	Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	No	SELL	24	82¢	$19	0xdeaa5b…
10-30 04:55:33	Will Kanye West perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x6089d1…
10-30 04:37:33	Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x92bb70…