Rash-Birdhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$127

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-13 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% $-6

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 16:29
btc updown 5m 1781355000	3	$6	7	3	+4	open	—	06-13 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$5	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	05-15 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:44
btc updown 5m 1781105400	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-10 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 16:38
btc updown 5m 1781355600	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	$-0	05-12 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	05-15 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$3	5	2	+3	Up	$-1	05-11 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 14:42
btc updown 5m 1781358600	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-13 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 13:54:31	btc updown 5m 1781358600	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb37a8b…
06-13 13:02:16	btc updown 5m 1781355600	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xab6fa0…
06-13 13:01:34	btc updown 5m 1781355600	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x96b8f0…
06-13 12:52:31	btc updown 5m 1781355000	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x92bbed…
06-13 12:51:06	btc updown 5m 1781355000	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x01a3ac…
06-13 12:50:49	btc updown 5m 1781355000	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x9bcadf…
06-10 15:32:39	btc updown 5m 1781105400	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x812dc8…
06-10 15:32:07	btc updown 5m 1781105400	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe31a90…
05-25 09:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xffba9c…
05-25 09:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6aa9df…
05-15 09:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x06b25e…
05-15 09:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x706220…
05-15 09:50:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9d4095…
05-15 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xccdae4…
05-15 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfcd81b…
05-15 09:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x393af2…
05-15 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbe9df…
05-15 09:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16c35c…
05-15 09:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x218e92…
05-15 09:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb0d3de…
05-15 09:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x61fa6d…
05-15 09:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x77cdc4…
05-15 09:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf790e2…
05-15 08:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb01125…
05-15 08:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2a794b…
05-15 08:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xe96225…
05-15 08:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe52300…
05-15 08:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8f61a2…
05-15 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc49045…
05-15 08:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0cab5d…
05-15 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x77b468…
05-15 08:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3af361…
05-15 05:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4cc7d5…
05-15 05:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcf16ab…
05-15 05:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x0b06c0…
05-15 05:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x461ef3…
05-15 05:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8e600…
05-15 04:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdd0ea7…
05-14 12:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x793773…
05-14 12:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcbe94a…
05-14 12:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x510809…
05-14 12:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4d0eb1…
05-12 10:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x725c54…
05-12 10:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x774331…
05-12 10:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc8036a…
05-12 10:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ffe9b…
05-12 10:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1d8e87…
05-12 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x966c15…
05-12 10:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x6f4dbe…
05-12 10:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xffcaf9…
05-12 10:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8ce80a…
05-12 10:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd671a5…
05-12 10:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xcc7125…
05-12 10:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4fae05…
05-12 09:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xde1c99…
05-12 09:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc65c82…
05-12 09:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa664d3…
05-12 09:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd61033…
05-12 09:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdcebec…
05-12 09:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x2a9311…
05-12 09:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x064080…
05-12 09:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8cd99…
05-12 09:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x181d34…
05-12 09:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x646e29…
05-12 09:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x81acc9…
05-12 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xbf0928…
05-12 09:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7d438d…
05-12 09:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x70fd2f…
05-12 09:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x98f5ed…
05-12 09:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x726427…
05-11 16:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xabedcf…
05-11 16:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x93f963…
05-11 16:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x36b493…
05-11 16:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2c8127…
05-11 16:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x48be6c…
05-11 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2557b2…
05-11 16:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x8a72a0…
05-11 16:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1c4990…
05-11 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x0ebca4…
05-11 16:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x17fe5b…
05-11 15:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x096e05…
05-11 15:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf74f34…
05-11 15:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8dfb26…
05-11 15:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xabc161…
05-11 15:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9dc76c…
05-11 15:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x01db75…
05-11 15:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x767cc1…
05-11 15:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6e1569…
05-11 15:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x29418e…
05-11 15:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4ec213…
05-11 15:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x68ab93…
05-11 15:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x580dbe…
05-11 15:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x86a00d…
05-11 14:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3b016…
05-11 14:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x170e1a…
05-11 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x473857…
05-11 14:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d80a9…
05-11 14:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x51e5bc…
05-11 14:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2af022…
05-11 14:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x92ffa5…