Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
321
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$41
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-07 14:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
46%
Other
42%
Politics
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -31 $-17 40¢ $-12 +$5 06-04 03:55
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -15 $-11 77¢ $-12 $-0 07-02 13:47
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -20 $-11 55¢ $-11 $-0 07-07 14:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -167 $-4 $-6 $-2 07-03 03:59