Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$152

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$333

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$26

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-09 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

34% 14% -$26

Sports

27% 0% -$89

Other

23% 29% -$39

Tech

17% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+24	$10	45¢	$11	+$1	10-09 17:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+13	$7	66¢	$9	+$2	07-29 09:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+23	$5	12¢	$3	-$2	07-28 06:04
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+30	$7	8¢	$3	-$4	07-29 09:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+56	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	07-29 09:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$89	1,089	+1,089	No	-$89	06-25 17:58
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$56	58	+58	Yes	+$3	03-24 17:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$34	1,287	+1,287	No	-$14	04-13 18:07
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	1	$20	27	+27	Yes	-$20	01-23 08:13
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$20	31	+31	Yes	+$12	10-09 17:31
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 740plus	1	$10	1,931	+1,931	No	-$10	01-20 11:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	24	+24	open	—	10-09 17:30
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$10	34	+34	No	-$10	01-20 11:14
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	1	$10	16	+16	No	+$6	01-20 11:13
will gta 6 cost 100	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	01-23 08:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$10	160	+160	No	-$10	04-06 05:42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$7	30	+30	open	—	07-29 09:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	07-29 09:46
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	1	$5	51	+51	open	—	07-29 09:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$5	23	+23	open	—	07-28 06:04
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	56	+56	open	—	07-29 09:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	65	+65	Yes	-$5	07-29 09:47
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	1	$5	18	+18	No	-$5	07-28 06:03
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?	1	$5	18	+18	open	—	07-29 09:42
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$3	20	+20	No	-$3	10-09 17:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$3	143	+143	No	-$3	01-23 08:12
will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	1	$3	11	+11	No	-$3	07-28 06:02
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	78	+78	No	-$1	07-29 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 17:31:20	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x6432a0…
10-09 17:30:43	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xca141f…
10-09 17:29:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7bcfac…
07-29 09:49:54	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x7df26a…
07-29 09:48:08	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x054f14…
07-29 09:47:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x99c0a0…
07-29 09:46:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xe6c868…
07-29 09:46:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xf0052f…
07-29 09:42:45	Epstein storage units raided in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf8e3d9…
07-29 09:40:54	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc2bc89…
07-28 06:04:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x530320…
07-28 06:03:54	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6d2ff2…
07-28 06:02:42	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7d117a…
06-25 17:58:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,089	8¢	$89	0x4517c0…
04-13 18:07:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,266	1¢	$14	0x3e52bd…
04-06 05:42:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$10	0x91986a…
04-05 17:03:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa9e242…
03-24 17:53:55	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xd8f655…
03-24 17:53:55	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x21b22d…
01-23 08:14:28	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2a5919…
01-23 08:13:06	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x026f2f…
01-23 08:12:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x0307a3…
01-20 11:21:22	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 740plus	Yes	BUY	1,931	1¢	$10	0xf301e9…
01-20 11:14:18	Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x130283…
01-20 11:13:24	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd99a89…