Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.86K

Unrealized P&L

-$567

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$39.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$613

Open exposure

$133

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 09-25 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

47% 27% +$3,055

Other

42% 7% -$5,603

Sports

11% 100% +$692

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+1,267	$700	11¢	$133	-$567	07-28 01:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$12.5K	7,908	7,908	+0	Yes	+$2,818	03-08 13:14
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$4.2K	4,940	0	+4,940	Yes	+$692	02-10 15:26
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	2	$3.1K	4,625	0	+4,625	No	-$3,100	07-22 05:49
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	2	$2.5K	6,012	0	+6,012	Yes	+$3,512	06-29 17:31
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	1	$2.3K	4,248	0	+4,248	Yes	+$1,971	02-04 01:41
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	5	$1.9K	7,107	0	+7,107	No	-$1,900	07-22 06:03
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	1	$1.5K	2,885	0	+2,885	Flavio Cobolli	-$1,500	06-03 13:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$1.2K	3,333	3,333	+0	open	—	07-28 01:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$1.2K	3,783	0	+3,783	No	-$1,200	04-15 14:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$1000	2,326	0	+2,326	No	-$1,000	03-14 10:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$700	1,267	0	+1,267	open	—	07-28 01:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$700	2,835	0	+2,835	Yes	+$2,135	04-06 21:52
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$669	806	0	+806	No	-$669	02-23 18:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$600	1,111	0	+1,111	Yes	+$511	05-12 18:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$500	1,282	0	+1,282	No	-$500	04-28 05:01
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	1	$500	2,112	0	+2,112	No	-$500	07-08 13:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$500	2,183	0	+2,183	No	-$500	05-12 18:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$500	3,571	0	+3,571	No	-$500	04-28 04:59
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	3	$300	1,502	0	+1,502	No	-$300	01-29 17:44
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$250	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$750	02-23 18:27
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$200	1,429	0	+1,429	No	-$200	04-07 16:44
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$200	1,112	0	+1,112	No	-$200	03-09 01:25
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$200	2,478	0	+2,478	No	-$200	04-07 16:44
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$200	930	0	+930	No	-$200	03-03 01:16
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the houston rockets	2	$140	2,091	0	+2,091	No	-$140	01-29 17:43
will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	1	$100	644	0	+644	No	-$100	04-22 12:48
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	1	$100	1,799	0	+1,799	No	-$100	06-30 16:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$100	3,812	0	+3,812	No	-$100	07-08 13:21
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the toronto raptors	1	$100	1,812	0	+1,812	No	-$100	01-29 01:22
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	1	$100	244	0	+244	No	-$100	06-29 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 08:10:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	145	67¢	$97	0xc0e320…
07-28 01:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,267	55¢	$700	0xd064d3…
07-28 01:24:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,333	22¢	$733	0x33585b…
07-22 06:03:18	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,234	49¢	$1,100	0xb1ba0b…
07-22 05:49:15	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	661	15¢	$100	0xd43460…
07-08 13:21:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,333	15¢	$500	0xb3cbcc…
07-08 13:21:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	2,384	4¢	$100	0x8d31de…
07-08 13:21:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	3,812	3¢	$100	0x7e3fae…
07-08 13:19:05	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 14 20260626172559969	Yes	BUY	2,127	5¢	$100	0x9d14e2…
07-08 13:19:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 7 20260626172559968	Yes	BUY	1,601	6¢	$100	0xf9cf8c…
07-08 13:17:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	2,112	24¢	$500	0xcbed68…
07-07 13:53:44	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,578	19¢	$500	0xee1d25…
07-05 10:57:20	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,778	4¢	$100	0x7af142…
06-30 16:45:19	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	718	14¢	$100	0x4909e2…
06-30 16:45:16	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,799	6¢	$100	0xa4c4a8…
06-30 16:45:11	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	730	14¢	$100	0x0c83e8…
06-30 16:27:17	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3,963	76¢	$3,000	0x9cd70d…
06-30 16:14:59	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	846	12¢	$100	0xc85c3a…
06-29 17:31:13	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	3,333	30¢	$1,000	0x0bdac9…
06-29 17:31:04	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x072e24…
06-29 16:58:53	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2,679	56¢	$1,500	0x37e2c6…
06-03 13:59:40	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	2,885	52¢	$1,500	0xff8175…
05-12 18:54:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	54¢	$600	0xfa2867…
05-12 18:53:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,183	23¢	$500	0x13e5d3…
05-12 18:53:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	990	10¢	$100	0xd36122…
04-28 05:01:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,282	39¢	$500	0x1e9189…
04-28 04:59:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,571	14¢	$500	0xfc416e…
04-22 12:48:14	will jd vance visit pakistan by april 24	Yes	BUY	644	16¢	$100	0x02c871…
04-19 07:50:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0xb6ec49…
04-15 14:09:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0xaa4dcd…
04-12 15:47:59	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1,541	6¢	$100	0x010105…
04-11 20:19:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,398	36¢	$500	0x722eb2…
04-08 17:50:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,645	30¢	$500	0x84a64f…
04-07 16:44:45	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	2,478	8¢	$200	0x2d48a3…
04-07 16:44:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0xf180ae…
04-06 21:52:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	1,724	29¢	$500	0x95695b…
04-05 09:23:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xf79b1e…
04-05 09:23:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x523919…
03-16 17:14:19	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xb2fb37…
03-14 10:24:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0x1ec8ff…
03-09 01:25:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	1,112	18¢	$200	0xb2520c…
03-08 13:14:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	7,908	97¢	$7,642	0xcbe108…
03-03 01:57:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	6,269	61¢	$3,824	0xa664dd…
03-03 01:56:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x4e7bc9…
03-03 01:56:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x21f271…
03-03 01:16:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	465	21¢	$100	0xde0677…
03-03 01:16:41	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	465	21¢	$100	0x302203…
02-23 18:29:50	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	559	84¢	$469	0xcdcd58…
02-23 18:29:20	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0x50b9bc…
02-23 18:27:32	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x5f57f7…
02-10 15:26:39	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	4,940	86¢	$4,249	0xb9a427…
02-04 01:41:18	will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	Yes	BUY	4,248	54¢	$2,277	0x855bd4…
02-02 15:56:00	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	625	3¢	$20	0x70e01d…
02-02 15:54:46	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0xe5c951…
02-02 15:54:38	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0xbe81a5…
01-29 17:44:14	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	Yes	BUY	436	23¢	$100	0x7ca680…
01-29 17:44:04	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	Yes	BUY	504	20¢	$100	0x96bd61…
01-29 17:43:44	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the oklahoma city thunder	Yes	BUY	622	6¢	$40	0xe35321…
01-29 17:43:32	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the los angeles lakers	Yes	BUY	892	4¢	$40	0x6c0d77…
01-29 17:43:24	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the houston rockets	Yes	BUY	401	10¢	$40	0x17e760…
01-29 17:42:34	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	Yes	BUY	684	15¢	$100	0x361c8d…
01-29 01:22:52	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	Yes	BUY	563	18¢	$100	0xd57e1a…
01-29 01:22:24	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the houston rockets	Yes	BUY	1,690	6¢	$100	0x3a311a…
01-29 01:22:10	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the toronto raptors	Yes	BUY	1,812	6¢	$100	0xfcfb89…