Required-Artery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

911

Trades

6,185

lifetime

Volume

$191.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$145

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Other

53% 51% -$2,659

Crypto

42% 35% -$2,591

Sports

3% 55% -$119

Politics

1% 14% -$819

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No		+123	$76	61¢	$75	-$1	10-27 16:29
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+160	$60	43¢	$69	+$9	10-25 13:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	30	$4.1K	3,374	3,374	+0	No	-$652	03-12 07:52
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	38	$3.7K	33,093	33,093	+0	No	+$277	01-30 16:28
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	142	$3.4K	41,824	36,262	+5,562	No	-$114	01-31 15:05
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	40	$3.4K	7,598	6,898	+700	Yes	+$1,277	03-24 18:04
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	142	$2.5K	8,523	4,023	+4,500	No	-$112	02-01 14:22
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	67	$2.4K	11,522	8,631	+2,892	No	+$360	02-10 16:38
epl ast bre 2026 02 01 bre	1	$2.0K	3,253	0	+3,253	Yes	-$2,029	02-01 15:27
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	35	$1.9K	4,700	3,900	+800	Yes	+$263	03-11 15:50
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	26	$1.7K	2,239	2,239	+0	Yes	+$1,251	03-04 08:50
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	52	$1.7K	25,260	24,935	+324	No	-$64	01-31 16:53
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$1.7K	916	916	+0	France	+$119	07-04 22:49
fl1 aja psg 2026 01 23 psg	2	$1.6K	901	901	+0	Yes	+$233	01-23 20:51
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	33	$1.4K	6,010	3,510	+2,500	No	+$598	03-13 15:29
lal bar ovi 2026 01 25 bar	2	$1.4K	806	806	+0	Yes	+$209	01-25 17:37
ethereum above 2000 on february 26	18	$1.4K	4,806	4,854	-48	No	+$255	02-26 16:46
bitcoin above 68k on february 20	21	$1.4K	9,177	7,733	+1,444	No	+$208	02-20 16:59
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	4	$1.4K	728	728	+0	Argentina	+$29	07-04 00:41
bitcoin above 66k on february 12	7	$1.3K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$673	02-12 16:53
atp bublik etcheve 2026 01 23	3	$1.3K	668	668	+0	Bublik	+$70	01-23 13:55
bitcoin above 68k on february 16	25	$1.3K	2,020	1,020	+1,000	No	+$235	02-16 16:54
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	13	$1.2K	2,520	1,335	+1,185	Yes	-$414	03-12 14:03
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	13	$1.2K	1,130	1,130	+0	Yes	+$830	02-09 16:47
ethereum above 2000 on march 3	16	$1.1K	1,589	1,589	+0	No	+$506	03-03 16:24
bitcoin above 64k on july 29 2026	14	$1.1K	1,364	1,364	+0	No	+$238	07-29 15:45
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	41	$1.1K	8,499	8,499	+0	No	+$314	01-29 16:20
bitcoin above 66k on february 11	18	$1.1K	3,700	3,700	+0	Yes	+$248	02-11 16:59
bitcoin above 64k on february 24	12	$1.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$636	02-24 16:56
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	4	$1.0K	598	598	+0	Yes	+$163	01-21 21:58
sea rom mil 2026 01 25 btts	4	$1.0K	695	695	+0	Yes	+$371	01-25 21:33
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	3	$993	500	500	+0	No	+$6	01-29 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:33:51	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	190	96¢	$182	0x2f02a9…
10-27 22:24:41	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	176	53¢	$93	0x2a09e4…
10-27 22:24:09	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4fabc1…
10-27 22:23:56	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9b05ae…
10-27 21:29:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	212	71¢	$150	0x240dcd…
10-27 21:25:18	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	42¢	$41	0xbed345…
10-27 21:25:03	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe3c210…
10-27 17:13:20	Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	Tristan McCormick	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x593b06…
10-27 17:13:15	Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	Tristan McCormick	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x3199ea…
10-27 16:29:02	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x80e546…
10-27 01:08:41	Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	Tristan McCormick	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1d3c92…
10-27 00:51:14	Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	Tristan McCormick	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x9806ec…
10-26 22:04:41	Guayaquil: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick	Tristan McCormick	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90c3a1…
10-26 07:26:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	250	9¢	$24	0x65e32d…
10-26 05:13:12	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xc53976…
10-25 23:39:27	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1d33e2…
10-25 20:05:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	196	13¢	$26	0xece414…
10-25 20:05:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x664c4e…
10-25 20:05:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x66ab62…
10-25 20:05:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x5f90d8…
10-25 19:55:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x2a3ce1…
10-25 15:26:20	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x97d6e0…
10-25 15:25:29	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2b6dcf…
10-25 15:25:27	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x78d434…
10-25 13:20:08	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	62	62¢	$38	0x978d52…
10-25 13:19:56	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	160	38¢	$60	0xf701cf…
10-25 13:05:47	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x190d29…
10-25 10:12:33	M25 Luanda: Jack Loge vs Eliakim Coulibaly	Eliakim Coulibaly	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xaf8c2f…
10-24 20:19:53	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	SELL	240	25¢	$60	0x189dae…
10-24 18:23:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	240	42¢	$101	0x480236…
10-24 18:23:00	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x02716b…
10-24 18:22:48	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd16d27…
10-24 18:21:41	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	130	56¢	$73	0xc39c1f…
10-24 15:57:23	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	275	51¢	$140	0x5fcbb4…
10-22 15:35:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xa5c68d…
10-22 15:02:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xe0d6b5…
10-22 13:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	270	33¢	$89	0xdb8d18…
10-22 13:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x3f986b…
10-22 13:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x5e6e90…
10-22 13:56:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xf03c80…
10-22 13:50:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x67fe10…
10-22 13:42:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	975	1¢	$8	0x88402a…
10-22 13:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x0debc6…
10-22 13:03:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xffd0cf…
10-22 13:03:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	91	32¢	$29	0xb1ee80…
10-22 12:41:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	296	2¢	$7	0xf1701c…
10-22 12:41:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	409	2¢	$10	0x17389a…
10-22 12:34:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$3	0xf82580…
10-22 12:33:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x3ec200…
10-22 12:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x84db07…
10-22 12:30:06	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe19724…
10-16 13:44:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x126198…
10-16 13:43:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	414	0¢	$2	0xee1340…
10-16 00:54:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0xfc6123…
10-15 23:11:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	94	15¢	$14	0x2ad1c5…
10-15 23:10:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x99dd4a…
10-15 23:06:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xc08658…
10-15 23:00:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	69	20¢	$14	0xf80096…
10-15 22:55:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x6732fd…
10-15 22:54:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x8c21c0…
09-28 09:59:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xcba85e…
09-28 09:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe43500…
09-28 09:56:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?	Yes	SELL	170	3¢	$5	0xb7c818…
09-28 09:56:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	SELL	494	1¢	$3	0x765cb4…
09-28 09:56:38	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	160	6¢	$10	0x7f843b…
09-28 07:45:39	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8f71e6…
09-28 07:44:14	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9eb762…
09-28 07:44:14	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	133	14¢	$19	0x6dfff0…
09-28 07:44:11	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x21cd5f…
09-28 07:44:08	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9381c2…
09-28 07:44:05	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf4ac8a…
09-28 07:44:00	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc20584…
09-28 07:43:57	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1a5b70…
09-28 07:43:54	itf khoroz1 chetve1 2026 09 28	Rodion Chetverikov	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x74eca0…
09-28 07:34:42	atp landalu trungel 2026 09 28	Martin Landaluce	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x90df61…
09-28 07:34:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0xa0cb38…
09-28 00:13:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x1f62e2…
09-28 00:13:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x4012a8…
09-28 00:13:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd1be33…
09-28 00:13:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x98ce97…
09-27 23:44:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x8484b9…
09-27 20:32:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	240	14¢	$34	0x0799da…
09-27 20:27:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb25662…
09-27 20:08:32	Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x64924e…
09-27 13:35:24	atp loureir pagotto 2026 09 27	Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x81b35f…
09-27 12:12:26	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x3e5696…
09-27 11:06:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	81	48¢	$39	0xf020ac…
09-27 06:38:12	atp doubles reynwat kingste 2026 09 26	Reynolds/Watt	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x23605a…
09-27 06:02:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xd620aa…
09-27 04:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0x0094db…
09-27 01:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xd8009b…
09-27 01:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xbecd0b…
09-27 00:24:35	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	133	25¢	$33	0xd15bf3…
09-26 22:48:11	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xb9f106…
09-26 22:39:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x30525e…
09-26 22:37:50	bitcoin above 86k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xd43e13…
09-25 17:59:38	wta pohanko swan 2026 09 25	Mia Pohankova	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x11939d…
09-25 16:02:56	wta pohanko swan 2026 09 25	Mia Pohankova	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9e07a2…
09-25 15:51:42	bitcoin above 84k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	923	1¢	$6	0x1ae5ed…
09-25 15:51:35	bitcoin above 84k on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x424941…