Normal-Stable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

Trades

454

lifetime

Volume

$9.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-19 01:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 55% $-5

Politics

6% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 192 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776466500	4	$561	350	343	+7	open	—	04-17 23:00
btc updown 5m 1776465900	6	$496	288	285	+4	open	—	04-17 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776485700	4	$492	337	327	+10	open	—	04-18 04:20
btc updown 5m 1776639900	6	$378	410	390	+19	open	—	04-19 23:09
btc updown 5m 1776639300	7	$366	387	273	+114	open	—	04-19 22:59
btc updown 5m 1776638700	6	$331	218	213	+5	open	—	04-19 22:49
btc updown 5m 1776639000	4	$309	422	403	+19	open	—	04-19 22:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$293	240	240	+0	open	—	04-19 21:18
btc updown 5m 1776640200	5	$291	339	248	+91	open	—	04-19 23:13
btc updown 5m 1776485400	6	$268	248	239	+9	open	—	04-18 04:15
btc updown 5m 1776632400	7	$237	400	236	+164	open	—	04-19 21:04
btc updown 5m 1776485100	2	$236	163	157	+6	open	—	04-18 04:10
btc updown 5m 1776640800	2	$234	147	143	+3	open	—	04-19 23:22
btc updown 5m 1776468300	4	$234	462	439	+23	open	—	04-17 23:31
btc updown 5m 1776466200	4	$220	380	360	+20	open	—	04-17 22:54
btc updown 5m 1776484500	4	$217	155	150	+5	open	—	04-18 04:00
btc updown 5m 1776637500	2	$213	110	110	+0	open	—	04-19 22:29
btc updown 5m 1776483300	6	$205	222	214	+8	open	—	04-18 03:40
btc updown 5m 1776483000	7	$194	262	229	+33	open	—	04-18 03:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$182	259	259	+0	open	—	04-08 23:29
btc updown 5m 1776633600	8	$160	201	192	+9	open	—	04-19 21:24
btc updown 5m 1776483900	5	$151	210	146	+64	open	—	04-18 03:49
btc updown 5m 1776465600	4	$147	92	91	+1	open	—	04-17 22:45
btc updown 5m 1776629400	9	$146	147	124	+23	open	—	04-19 20:13
btc updown 5m 1776630900	4	$140	111	108	+3	open	—	04-19 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776631500	7	$135	610	107	+504	open	—	04-19 20:49
btc updown 5m 1776641700	2	$133	362	344	+18	open	—	04-19 23:37
btc updown 5m 1776482700	4	$121	72	71	+1	open	—	04-18 03:30
btc updown 5m 1776641400	8	$119	383	137	+246	open	—	04-19 23:35
btc updown 5m 1776483600	6	$109	85	83	+3	open	—	04-18 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 01:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xe86bfb…
05-19 01:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc6912c…
05-19 01:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xf15cf4…
05-19 01:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x968593…
05-19 01:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x62fabd…
05-18 00:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xb3e610…
05-18 00:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x051670…
05-18 00:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x036506…
05-18 00:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaeab02…
05-18 00:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x6a3d5a…
05-18 00:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x616e7c…
05-18 00:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x8752a0…
05-18 00:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x358cd6…
05-18 00:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf87168…
05-18 00:29:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	SELL	107	1¢	$1	0x3d69de…
05-18 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xad65d9…
05-18 00:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa1f2b8…
05-18 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0fc7c5…
05-18 00:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x11429b…
05-18 00:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x144a56…
05-14 15:54:05	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x9ae30e…
05-14 15:52:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x4a2941…
05-14 15:32:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x1e10d5…
05-14 15:26:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfd2f39…
05-14 15:24:55	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x44ae41…
05-14 01:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9cf9b8…
05-14 01:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x7abf40…
05-14 01:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x558e7c…
05-14 01:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb12f34…
05-14 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x064932…
05-14 00:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9749f5…
05-14 00:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd3ebcb…
05-14 00:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4aad12…
05-14 00:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x758ec3…
05-14 00:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x513696…
05-14 00:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x54fc4d…
05-14 00:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a1fbd…
05-14 00:44:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xca265c…
05-14 00:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbdbd10…
05-14 00:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3ea4cc…
05-13 22:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xea562b…
05-13 22:25:38	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x725a4a…
05-12 17:16:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x471e0e…
05-12 14:55:15	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7ac1f5…
05-11 22:27:12	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xdcf4f0…
05-11 22:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfbc6b6…
05-11 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x57c8ee…
05-11 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39bb4a…
05-11 22:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x8e774e…
05-11 22:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf98167…
05-11 22:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0x27ee7b…
05-11 22:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa341c4…
05-11 22:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x280e0f…
05-11 22:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcfcd71…
05-11 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfd11d8…
05-11 22:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xf21887…
05-11 22:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xda0ca3…
05-11 22:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x999f65…
05-11 22:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaf5d7d…
05-11 22:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x553e25…
05-11 22:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9524ad…
04-20 22:48:30	btc updown 5m 1776725100	Up	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xfe210c…
04-20 22:47:04	btc updown 5m 1776725100	Down	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x14f760…
04-20 22:46:00	btc updown 5m 1776725100	Down	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x906b6d…
04-20 22:45:42	btc updown 5m 1776725100	Down	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x40d7c4…
04-20 22:45:34	btc updown 5m 1776725100	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb39917…
04-20 22:43:08	btc updown 5m 1776724800	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xab3c5b…
04-20 22:42:34	btc updown 5m 1776724800	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd43a5e…
04-20 22:41:42	btc updown 5m 1776724800	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xa3431b…
04-20 22:41:26	btc updown 5m 1776724800	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa8864e…
04-20 22:41:08	btc updown 5m 1776724800	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xf468c4…
04-20 22:40:54	btc updown 5m 1776724800	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfcd581…
04-20 22:37:30	btc updown 15m 1776724200	Down	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x2665d3…
04-20 22:36:16	btc updown 15m 1776724200	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1bc904…
04-20 22:34:24	btc updown 15m 1776724200	Up	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x491725…
04-20 22:34:06	btc updown 15m 1776724200	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0x33cb47…
04-20 22:32:58	btc updown 5m 1776724200	Down	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x5a18f8…
04-20 22:30:52	btc updown 5m 1776724200	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x19d4ba…
04-20 22:28:18	btc updown 5m 1776723900	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x12dae6…
04-20 22:28:02	btc updown 5m 1776723900	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcfa254…
04-20 22:27:18	btc updown 5m 1776723900	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x56aa92…
04-20 22:27:00	btc updown 5m 1776723900	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2b4acf…
04-19 23:37:56	btc updown 5m 1776641700	Down	SELL	344	6¢	$21	0xbb51ba…
04-19 23:36:24	btc updown 5m 1776641700	Down	BUY	362	31¢	$113	0x6fb6fd…
04-19 23:35:00	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x10c849…
04-19 23:34:12	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x5059c1…
04-19 23:34:04	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Up	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0xfbfe57…
04-19 23:33:56	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc2dd90…
04-19 23:33:16	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Up	SELL	48	36¢	$17	0x882690…
04-19 23:32:14	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x041c7a…
04-19 23:31:48	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Down	SELL	48	54¢	$26	0x4b4650…
04-19 23:31:20	btc updown 5m 1776641400	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x26ffa3…
04-19 23:29:04	btc updown 5m 1776641100	Up	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x748fae…
04-19 23:27:40	btc updown 5m 1776641100	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xebb03d…
04-19 23:27:22	btc updown 5m 1776641100	Down	SELL	73	28¢	$20	0x294047…
04-19 23:25:46	btc updown 5m 1776641100	Down	BUY	76	45¢	$34	0x057551…
04-19 23:22:32	btc updown 5m 1776640800	Down	SELL	143	94¢	$135	0x40d08b…
04-19 23:20:54	btc updown 5m 1776640800	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$99	0xc22e90…
04-19 23:13:10	btc updown 5m 1776640200	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x90b135…
04-19 23:12:28	btc updown 5m 1776640200	Down	SELL	102	50¢	$51	0x464ff6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	116	$32.3K	1,209	05-31 22:54
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	108	$36.9K	2,192	05-19 01:14
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	108	$35.9K	2,117	05-19 01:14
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	108	$23.4K	1,014	05-19 01:14
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	108	$12.7K	1,750	05-19 01:10
Silly-Briefly 0x3f2f…8150	108	$9.05K	1,154	05-19 01:14
Responsible-Carboxyl 0x72ab…e1ee	108	$9.04K	1,038	05-19 01:10
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	107	$8.09K	2,187	05-19 01:14