Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

148

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$213.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$640

Open exposure

$74

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 09-08 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 53% +$39,679

Politics

9% 56% -$999

Other

6% 57% +$558

Sports

1% 50% -$1,529

Tech

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+100	$34	31¢	$31	-$2	05-28 20:38
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$34	42¢	$21	-$13	05-07 04:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+100	$24	14¢	$14	-$10	06-09 01:58
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+80	$32	10¢	$8	-$24	05-07 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$15.8K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	-$714	05-09 03:27
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-27 01:00 UTC	3	$10.0K	10,400	0	+10,400	Up	+$416	02-27 03:49
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	3	$8.5K	17,000	0	+17,000	Up	+$8,500	01-30 13:15
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-09 09:00 UTC	4	$6.6K	10,500	0	+10,500	Down	+$1,375	02-09 11:37
bitcoin up or down march 3 8pm et	4	$5.8K	11,537	0	+11,537	Up	+$5,751	03-04 01:38
ethereum up or down march 3 5am et	2	$5.5K	11,080	0	+11,080	Up	+$5,540	03-03 10:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 17:00 UTC	3	$5.5K	11,000	0	+11,000	Up	+$5,500	02-26 16:15
ethereum up or down february 5 2pm et	2	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	+$5,000	02-05 17:13
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-23 01:00 UTC	1	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	+$5,000	01-23 03:12
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-04 17:00 UTC	3	$5.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	Up	-$5,000	02-04 15:05
bitcoin up or down january 30 5am et	1	$4.3K	8,600	0	+8,600	Up	+$4,300	01-30 09:28
xrp up or down february 8 11pm et	1	$4.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Down	+$4,000	02-09 03:51
bitcoin up or down february 9 2am et	3	$3.9K	7,600	0	+7,600	Down	+$3,724	02-09 06:41
bitcoin up or down january 28 8pm et	2	$3.7K	7,200	0	+7,200	Down	-$3,672	01-29 00:08
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-25 09:00 UTC	2	$3.4K	6,800	0	+6,800	Up	-$2,600	01-25 03:27
solana up or down january 22 12pm et	1	$3.2K	6,400	0	+6,400	Up	-$3,200	01-22 16:52
ethereum up or down january 23 1am et	3	$3.1K	6,200	0	+6,200	Down	-$3,100	01-23 05:40
solana up or down march 2 10pm et	1	$3.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Up	+$3,000	03-03 02:05
bitcoin up or down january 12 12pm et	2	$3.0K	5,990	0	+5,990	Down	+$2,995	01-12 15:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-23 13:00 UTC	1	$3.0K	9,900	0	+9,900	Down	-$2,970	02-23 14:44
xrp up or down february 5 12am et	1	$2.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	+$3,060	02-05 04:48
bitcoin up or down january 31 12am et	1	$2.8K	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	-$2,750	01-31 04:07
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-28 13:00 UTC	1	$2.7K	6,500	0	+6,500	Down	+$3,770	01-28 13:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$2.7K	1,976	1,976	+0	Yes	-$143	03-08 06:37
bitcoin up or down january 13 6am et	1	$2.6K	5,300	0	+5,300	Down	-$2,650	01-13 10:20
ethereum up or down march 2 8am et	2	$2.6K	5,200	0	+5,200	Down	-$2,600	03-02 12:46
ethereum up or down january 22 12pm et	2	$2.6K	5,200	0	+5,200	Up	+$2,600	01-22 16:41
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-13 17:00 UTC	1	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Up	-$2,500	02-13 16:09
bitcoin up or down february 5 5am et	20	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$2,500	02-05 09:59
solana up or down february 4 5am et	1	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	+$2,550	02-04 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:37:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	87¢	$24	0xdd26f4…
09-08 02:37:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc5ab98…
09-08 02:37:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x979678…
09-08 02:37:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x209d08…
08-09 00:47:07	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x7626a3…
08-09 00:44:15	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x1f2083…
07-12 02:12:23	Will India win?	Yes	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x0fbb5b…
06-20 04:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x68b948…
06-20 04:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x37bbd0…
06-19 17:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xacc851…
06-09 01:58:39	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x579dcf…
06-02 16:20:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xab929e…
05-28 20:38:44	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xa415a1…
05-28 14:25:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x9b8b94…
05-19 16:34:15	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	146	56¢	$82	0x5b97fe…
05-19 16:34:13	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	152	56¢	$85	0xd81148…
05-19 16:34:13	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc16f26…
05-19 16:34:13	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x01b37e…
05-19 16:34:03	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xef46b4…
05-19 16:33:59	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	114	56¢	$64	0xe134f2…
05-19 16:33:52	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x9e9cd3…
05-19 16:33:52	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2d4232…
05-19 16:33:43	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0xef6a58…
05-18 17:32:36	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x53e2bc…
05-17 18:01:46	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8c96bb…
05-17 17:59:04	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	252	90¢	$227	0x9e8353…
05-17 17:59:04	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x981f26…
05-17 17:59:04	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x945c5d…
05-17 17:59:04	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	517	90¢	$465	0x76f78c…
05-17 17:18:10	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xf65c0a…
05-17 12:34:54	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x385f34…
05-17 12:34:54	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0x244791…
05-17 12:34:51	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x31ee6d…
05-17 12:34:49	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xec68cc…
05-17 12:34:49	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0xc6d0a6…
05-17 12:34:49	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	161	80¢	$129	0xba7ffe…
05-17 12:34:49	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x84e335…
05-17 12:34:44	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x6abd96…
05-17 12:34:30	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	58	80¢	$46	0xd9e476…
05-17 12:34:28	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	53	80¢	$43	0x59f5b0…
05-14 09:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb7e421…
05-10 15:42:21	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe9d38f…
05-09 03:27:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20,000	30¢	$6,086	0xb51bac…
05-09 03:12:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	34¢	$6,800	0x174cd7…
05-07 13:07:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x461779…
05-07 04:56:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xc7ab49…
05-06 16:08:16	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x92e51f…
05-06 15:56:50	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	154	28¢	$43	0xb1371e…
05-06 15:56:50	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0xb11e2b…
05-03 02:34:06	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0xfee25a…
05-03 02:23:22	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x79f45f…
05-03 02:23:12	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0x113179…
05-02 03:42:44	Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x926e72…
04-28 16:44:32	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	290	40¢	$116	0xa0147e…
04-28 15:27:40	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0xe481ba…
04-28 13:53:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,000	29¢	$1,450	0x5d87a0…
04-28 13:32:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	29¢	$1,450	0xa46d5f…
04-21 11:17:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0xd5b940…
04-19 19:43:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0x25daf7…
04-19 13:27:44	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x2e9b31…
04-19 12:01:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x503fef…
04-13 03:59:17	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$9	0xda2b0d…
04-13 03:59:17	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x961579…
04-13 03:59:15	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x214284…
04-13 03:59:13	bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	23	81¢	$18	0x7f5697…
04-12 06:58:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	196	80¢	$157	0x4cb6f3…
04-12 06:52:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xf05307…
04-12 06:51:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	88	80¢	$70	0x0c1dfe…
04-12 06:51:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xab95c4…
04-12 06:51:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x170840…
04-12 06:43:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0xe1eef1…
04-12 06:17:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x0dbf10…
04-12 06:14:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	678	80¢	$543	0x06508d…
04-12 05:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4d3fe0…
04-12 05:44:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xed1a53…
04-12 05:44:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xeab01a…
04-12 05:44:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	991	80¢	$793	0x774d99…
04-10 23:59:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc9a57e…
04-04 17:36:15	cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	Gujarat Titans	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x37a969…
04-04 17:07:51	cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	Gujarat Titans	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x81d3db…
04-04 17:07:49	cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	Gujarat Titans	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x206ab9…
04-04 12:08:35	cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	Delhi Capitals	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x65facb…
04-02 16:34:51	cricipl kol sun 2026 04 02	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x77d512…
03-26 11:41:45	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xb972b5…
03-22 15:23:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 53forbelow	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x963b03…
03-21 07:53:41	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x74a282…
03-18 05:02:51	spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6baaad…
03-18 05:00:55	spx opens up or down on march 18 2026	Up	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xe8f694…
03-18 02:45:41	highest temperature in chicago on march 17 2026 22 23f	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x9f5cae…
03-12 10:04:21	highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 22corhigher	Yes	BUY	800	52¢	$416	0xe5f210…
03-12 10:04:19	highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 22corhigher	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1e2e97…
03-12 10:04:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 13 2026 22corhigher	Yes	BUY	390	52¢	$203	0x32d93f…
03-09 19:14:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-09 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4,400	47¢	$2,068	0x2c9b7c…
03-08 16:46:39	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	India	BUY	2,206	100¢	$2,204	0x10b191…
03-08 15:11:09	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x2bfbd0…
03-08 15:11:05	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0xa96484…
03-08 14:57:07	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x640386…
03-08 14:56:53	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0x171f7d…
03-08 14:56:31	crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	New Zealand	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xaf91b5…
03-08 08:43:31	will india win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	No	BUY	5,100	30¢	$1,530	0x346f39…